TÜRKİYE’DE KAMU VE ÖZEL YATIRIMLAR ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİ: AMPİRİK BİR ANALİZ

Yıl 2006, Cilt: 20 Sayı: 1, 177 - 195, 27.11.2010

İhsan Günaydın

Öz

Bu çalışmanın amacı, Türkiye’de 1987:1-2004:3 dönemi için
kamu yatırımı ve özel yatırım arasında bir ilişkinin olup olmadığını ampirik
olarak incelemektir. Koentegrasyon ve Granger nedensellik metodunun Hsiao
versiyonu uygulanarak yapılan analiz, kamu yatırımının özel yatırım üzerinde
pozitif bir etkiye sahip olduğunu ve ekonomik büyümenin hem kamu hem de
özel yatırımı artırdığını göstermektedir. Temel bulgularımız özel yatırım kamu
yatırımını etkilemezken, kamu yatırımından özel yatırıma tamamlayıcı
(crowding-in) bir etkinin olduğunu açıklamaktadır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Kamu yatırımı, özel yatırım, dışlama etkisi, tamamlayıcılık etkisi, Türkiye

Kaynakça

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