DOĞRUDAN YABANCI YATIRIMLAR VE KİRLİLİK SIĞINAĞI HİPOTEZİ

Yıl 2017, Cilt: 18 Sayı: 2, 99 - 111, 25.11.2017

Metin Yıldırım Mehmet Akif Destek Ferda Nakıpoğlu Özsoy

Öz

Bu
çalışma, Türkiye’de kirlilik sığınağı hipotezinin geçerliliğini 1974-2013
dönemi için incelemeyi amaçlamaktadır. Söz konusu amaç doğrultusunda, kişi başı
karbondioksit emisyonu, kişi başı reel GSYH, kişi başı enerji tüketimi ve kişi
başı doğrudan yabancı yatırımlar arasındaki ilişki, ARDL sınır testi yaklaşımı
ve VECM Granger nedensellik yöntemi aracılığıyla incelenmiştir. ARDL testi sonucunda
artan reel GSYH ve enerji tüketiminin çevresel kirliliği arttırdığı bulgusuna
ulaşılmıştır. Buna karşın, doğrudan yabancı yatırımlardaki artışın belirli bir
düzeye kadar karbondioksit emisyonunu arttırdığı görülmüştür. Belirli bir
düzeyden sonra ise doğrudan yatırımlardaki artış çevre kirliliğini
azaltmaktadır. Ayrıca, VECM Granger nedensellik testi sonuçlarına göre, uzun
dönemde çevre kirliliği, reel GSYH, enerji tüketimi ve doğrudan yabancı
yatırımlar arasında çift yönlü nedensellik ilişkisinin geçerli olduğu bulgusuna
ulaşılmıştır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Doğrudan Yabancı Yatırımlar, Kirlilik Sığınağı Hipotezi, ARDL Sınır Testi

Kaynakça

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