Examining the Impact of Financial Development on Carbon Emissions: Insights from Emerging Economies
Year 2025,
Volume: 75 Issue: 1, 156 - 169, 14.07.2025
Umut Halaç
,
Fatma Deniz Dermenci
,
Seher Gören Yargı
,
Melis Gultekin Aslan
Abstract
This study investigates the impact of financial market development on the environmental quality of emerging countries through an analysis of panel data from 21 Emerging Countries covering the period from 2001 to 2023. To accomplish this objective, we constructed stock market-based and banking sectorbased indices to measure the level of financial market development using principal component analysis. We then identified the cross-sectional dependence and employed unit root testing to ensure accurate estimation. By employing a panel ARDL bound test, we demonstrate that financial development positively impacts environmental quality in emerging countries. The findings provide new insights for researchers and policymakers who seek to develop comprehensive energy supply and economic policies to alleviate the adverse effects of pollution.
JEL Classification : O1 , O13 , F6 , F64
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Year 2025,
Volume: 75 Issue: 1, 156 - 169, 14.07.2025
Umut Halaç
,
Fatma Deniz Dermenci
,
Seher Gören Yargı
,
Melis Gultekin Aslan
References
- Abbasi, F., & Riaz, K. (2016). CO2 emissions and financiaL deveLopment in an emerging economy: an augmented VAR approach. Energy Policy, 90, 102-114. google scholar
- Acheampong, A. O. (2019). ModeLLing for insight: does financial development improve environmental quality? Energy Economics, 83, 156-179. google scholar
- Ahmad, M., Zhang, J., & ul Haq, I. (2025). Nexus Between Financial DeveLopment, Economic Growth, and Carbon Emissions (CO2) in Sub-Saharan Countries. Global Policy. https://doi.org/10.1111/1477-8947.12600 google scholar
- Al-Mulali, U., & Sab, C. N. B. C. (2012). Impact of energy consumption and CO2 emission on economic and financial development in 19 seleeted countries. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 16(7), 4365-4369. google scholar
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- Al-Mulali, U., Tang, C. F., & Ozturk, I. (2015b). Does financial development reduce environmental degradation? Evidence from a panel study of 129 countries. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 22(19), 14891-14900. google scholar
- Al-Mulali, U., Weng-Wai, C., Sheau-Ting, L., & Mohammed, A. H. (2015c). Investigating the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis by using the ecological footprint as an indicator of environmental degradation. Ecological Indicators, 48, 315-323. google scholar
- Ang, J. B., & McKibbin, W. J. (2007). Financial liberalisation, financial sector development and growth: Evidence from Malaysia. Journal of DeveLopment Economies, 84(1), 215-233. google scholar
- Anwar, A., Fang, Y., & Khan, S. (2021). FinanciaL deveLopment, technoLogicaL innovation and CO2 emissions in BRICS countries: Evidence from panel data analysis. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 28(5), 5352-5364. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-10818-5 google scholar
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- Bayar, Y., Diaconu, L., & Maxim, A. (2020). Financial development and CO2 emissions in post-transition European Union countries. Sus-tainability, 12(7), 2640. google scholar
- Boutabba, M. A. (2014). The impact of financial development, income, energy and trade on carbon emissions: evidence from the Indian economy. Economic Modelling, 40, 33-41. google scholar
- Çetin, M. A., & Bakirtas, I. (2020). The long-run environmental impacts of economic growth, Financial development, and energy consumption: evidence from emerging markets. Energy & Environment, 31(4), 634-655. google scholar
- Charfeddine, L., & Khediri, K. B. (2016). Financial development and environmental quality in the UAE: Co-integration with struetural breaks. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 55, 1322-1335. google scholar
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- Hafeez, M., Chunhui, Y., Strohmaier, D., Ahmed, M. and Jie, L. (2018). Does finance affect environmental degradation: evidence from One Belt and One Road Initiative region?. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 25, 9579-9592. google scholar
- Hao, Y., Zhang, Z. Y., Liao, H., Wei, Y. M., & Wang, S. (2016). Is CO 2 emission a side effect of financial development? An empirical analysis for China. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 23(20), 21041-21057. google scholar
- Jamel, L., & Maktouf, S. (2017). The nexus between economic growth, financial development, trade openness, and CO2 emissions in European countries. Powerful Economics & Finance, 5(1), 1341456. google scholar
- Jiang, C., & Ma, X. (2019). The impact of financial development on carbon emissions: a global perspective. Sustainability, 11(19), 5241. Kaiser, H. F. (1960). Application of Electronic computers to factor analysis. Educational and Psychological Measurement, 20(i), 141-151. Khan, M., & Ozturk, I. (2021). Examining the direct and indirect effects of financial development on CO2 emissions for 88 developing countries. Journal of environmental management, 293, 112812. google scholar
- Kirikkaleli, D., Güngör, H., & Adebayo, T. S. (2022). Consumption-based carbon emissions, renewable energy consumption, Financial development and economic growth in Chile. Business Strategy and the Environment, 31(3), 1123-1137. google scholar
- Kripfganz, S., & Schneider, D. C. (2018). ARDL: Estimating autoregressive distributed lag and equilibrium correction models. Proceedings of the 2018 London Stata Conference, 6-7 September 2018. TUPD Discussion Papers No. 18. google scholar
- Kuznets, S. (1955). Economic growth and income inequality. The American Economic Review, 45(i), 1-28. google scholar
- Latif, Y., Shunqi, G., Fareed, Z., Ali, S., & Bashir, M. A. (2023). Do financial development and energy efficiency ensure a green environment? Evidence from RCEP economies. Economic Research-EKonomsKa Istrazivanja, 36(i), 51-72. google scholar
- Lee, J. M., Chen, K. H., & Cho, C. H. (2015). The relationship between CO2 emissions and financial development: evidence from OECD countries. The Singapore Economic Review, 60(05), 1550117. google scholar
- Lv, Z., & Li, S. (2021). How financial development affects CO2 emissions: a spatial econometric analysis. Journal of Environmental Management, 277, 111397. google scholar
- Nasreen, S., Anwar, S., & Ozturk, I. (2017). Financial stability, energy consumption and environmental quality: Evidence from South Asian economies. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 67, 1105-1122. google scholar
- Nazir, M. R., Nazir, M. I., Hashmi, S. H., & Fareed, Z. (2018). Financial development, income, trade, and urbanisation on CO2 emissions: New evidence from Kyoto annexe countries. Journal on Innovation and Sustainability RISUS, 9(3), 17-37. google scholar
- Sunday Adebayo, T., Saint Akadiri, S., Haouas, I., & Rjoub, H. (2023). A time-varying analysis between Financial development and carbon emissions: evidence from the MINT countries. Energy & Environment, 34(5), 1207-1227. google scholar
- Ofori, E. K., Onifade, S. T., Ali, E. B., Alola, A. A., & Zhang, J. (2023). Achieving carbon neutrality in post COP26 in BRICS, MINT, and G7 economies: The roLe of financiaL deveLopment and governance indicators. Journal of Cleaner Production, 135853. google scholar
- Paramati, S. R., Mo, D., & Gupta, R. (2017). The effects of stock market growth and renewabLe energy use on CO2 emissions: evidence from G20 countries. Energy economies, 66, 360-371. google scholar
- Park, Y., Meng, F., & BaLoch, M. A. (2018). The effect of ICT, financiaL deveLopment, growth,and trade openness on CO2emissions: An empirical analysis. EnvironmentaL Science and PoLLution Research InternationaL,25(30), 30708-30719. google scholar
- Pesaran, M. H., & Smith, R. (1995). Estimating Long-run relationships from dynamic heterogeneous panels. Journal of Econometrics, 68(1), 79-113. google scholar
- Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. P. (1999). PooLed mean group estimation of the dynamic heterogeneous paneLs. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 94(446), 621-634. google scholar
- Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the anaLysis of LeveL reLationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289-326. google scholar
- Pesaran. M. H., (2004). General diagnostic tests for eross-seetion dependence in the panels. University of Cambridge, Faculty of Economics, Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, No. 0435. google scholar
- Phong, L. H. (2019). GLobaLisation, financiaL deveLopment, and environmentaL degradation in the presence of environmentaL Kuznets curve: evidence from ASEAN-5 countries. International Journal of Energy Economies and Policy. 4.4 [JP] google scholar
- Prempeh, K. B. (2024). The roLe of economic growth, financiaL deveLopment, gLobaLisation, renewabLe energy, and industriaLisation in reducing environmentaL degradation in the economic community of the West African States. Powerful Economics & Finance, 12(1), 2308675. https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2024.230867 google scholar
- Rahman, S. U., FaisaL, F., Sami, F., ALi, A., Chander, R., & Amin, M. Y. (2022). Investigating the nexus between inflation, financiaL deveLopment, and carbon emission: EmpiricaL evidence from FARDL and the frequency domain approach. Journal of the Knowledge Economy, 15 (1), https://doi.org/l0.1007/s13132-022-01076-w google scholar
- Saidi, K., & Mbarek, M. B. (2017). Impact of income, trade, urbanisation, and financiaL deveLopment on CO 2 emissions in 19 emerging economies. EnvironmentaL Science and Pollution Research, 24(14), 12748-12757. google scholar
- Setiawati, N., & SaLsabiLa, D. (2023). Does IsLamic FinanciaL DeveLopment Reduce Carbon Emissions? Evidence from OIC Countries. Islamic Economies Journal, 8(2), 232-248. google scholar
- Shafik, N., & Bandyopadhyay, S. (1992). Economic Growth and EnvironmentaL Quality: Time-Series and Cross-Country Evidence (VoL. 904). WorLd Bank PubLications. google scholar
- Shahbaz, M., Haouas, I., Sohag, K., & Ozturk, I. (2020). The financial development-environmental degradation nexus in the United Arab Emirates: the importance of growth, globalisation and struetural breaks. EnvironmentaL Science and Pollution Research, 1-15. google scholar
- Sheraz, M., Deyi, X., Mumtaz, M. Z., & Ullah, A. (2022). Exploring the dynamic relationship between financial development, renewable energy, and carbon emissions: A new evidencefrom belt and road countries. Environmental Science and Pollution Research International,29(10), 14930-14947. google scholar
- Solaymani, S., & Montes, O. (2024). The role of financial development and good governance in economic growth and environmental sustainability. Energy Nexus, 13, 100268. Available online 23 December 2023. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nex.2023.100268 google scholar
- Tamazian, A., Chousa, J. P. and Vadlamannati, K. C. (2009). Does higher economic and financial development lead to environmental degradation: evidence from BRİÇ countries. Energy Policy, 37(i), 246-253. google scholar
- Tao, M., Sheng, M. S., & Wen, L. (2023). How does financial development influence carbon emission intensity in the OECD countries: Some insights from the information and communication technology perspective. Journal of Environmental Management, 335, 117553. google scholar
- Yiadom, E. B., Mensah, L., Bokpin, G. A., & Dziwornu, R. K. (2023). Analysing financial and economic development thresholds for carbon emission reduetion: A dynamic panel regime-switching study aeross income levels. Management of EnvironmentaL Quality An International Journal, 35(1), https://doi.org/10.1108/MEQ-12-2022-0338. google scholar
- Yu, X., Kuruppuarachchi, D., & Kumarasin, S. (2024). Financial development, FDI, and CO2 emissions: Does carbon pricing matter? Applied Economics, 56(25), 2959-2974. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2023.2203460. google scholar
- Zaidi, S. A. H., Zafar, M. W., Shahbaz, M., & Hou, F. (2019). Dynamic linkages between globalisation, financial development and carbon emissions: Evidence from the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation countries. Journal of Cleaner Production, 228, 533-543. google scholar
- Zhang, Y. J. (2011). Impact of financial development on carbon emissions: An empirical analysis in China. Energy Policy, 39(4), 2197-2203. google scholar
- Zilibotti, F. (1994). Endogenous growth and intermediation. European Economic Review, 38(3-4), 527-536. https://doi.org/10.1016/0014-2921(94)90088-4 google scholar