Industrialization, CO2 Emission, Economic Growth and Agricultural Nexus in Turkey: An Empirical Investigation

Year 2023, Volume: 29 Issue: 2, 79 - 91, 29.12.2023

Ülkü Özbay

https://doi.org/10.24181/tarekoder.1311715

Abstract

Aim: The aim of this study is to examine the short- and long-term relationship between industrialization, economic growth, total greenhouse gas emissions and agricultural production in Turkey in the 1994-2019 period.
Design/Methodology/Approach: The impact of industrialization, economic growth and greenhouse gas emissions on agricultural production is analyzed with the ARDL bound test.
Findings: According to the results of the study, there is a cointegration relationship between agricultural production, industrialization, economic growth and greenhouse gas emissions. In the short run, industrialization affects agricultural production negatively, while total greenhouse gas emissions and economic growth affect it positively. In the long run, the effects of total greenhouse gas emissions, industrialization and economic growth on agricultural production are statistically significant and positive.
Orginalty/Value: In the literature, the study analyzing the cointegration relationship between agricultural production, industrialization, economic growth and greenhouse gas emissions in Turkey is limited. In addition, in most of the studies, representing agricultural production; agricultural productivity, agricultural income, agricultural added value, etc. variables are used. In this study, unlike other studies, agricultural production index was used to represent agricultural production. In this context, the study will contribute to the literature by filling the gap in this field.

Keywords

Agricultural Economics, Industrialization, Economic Growth, Times Series Analysis

Türkiye'de Sanayileşme, CO2 Emisyonu, Ekonomik Büyüme ve Tarımsal Üretim İlişkisi: Ampirik Bir Uygulama

Abstract

Amaç: Bu çalışmanın amacı, 1994-2019 dönemi için Türkiye’de sanayileşme, ekonomik büyüme ve sera gazı emisyonları ile tarımsal üretim arasındaki kısa ve uzun vadeli ilişkiyi incelemektir.
Tasarım/Metodoloji /Yaklaşım: Sanayileşme, ekonomik büyüme ve sera gazı emisyonlarının tarımsal üretim ile ilişkisi ARDL sınır testi yardımıyla analiz edilmiştir.
Bulgular: Bulgu sonuçları, tarımsal üretim, sanayileşme, ekonomik büyüme ve sera gazı emisyonu değişkenleri arasında eşbütünleşme ilişkisi olduğunu göstermektedir. Kısa dönemde tarımsal üretimi; sanayileşme negatif yönde, ekonomik büyüme ve sera gazı emisyonu pozitif yönde etkilemektedir. Uzun dönemde, sanayileşmenin, ekonomik büyümenin ve sera gazı emisyonlarının tarımsal üretim üzerindeki etkisi istatistiki olarak anlamlı ve pozitiftir.
Özgünlük/Değer: Literatürde, Türkiye'de özelinde tarımsal üretim ile sanayileşme, ekonomik büyüme ve sera gazı emisyonları değişkenleri ile eşbütünleşme ilişkisini ele alan çalışma oldukça sınırlıdır. Ayrıca çalışmaların çoğunda tarımsal üretimi temsilen; tarımsal verimlilik, tarımsal gelir, tarımsal katma değer vb. değişkenler kullanılmaktadır. Bu çalışmada ise konuya ilişkin yapılmış diğer çalışmalardan farklı olarak tarımsal üretimi temsilen tarımsal üretim indeksi kullanılmıştır. Bu bağlamda çalışma bu alanda boşluğu doldurarak literatüre katkı sağlayacaktır.

Keywords

Tarım Ekonomisi, Sanayileşme, Ekonomik Büyüme, Zaman Serileri Analizi

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