Estimating The Term Structure of Interest Rates: A Case of Turkey (1990 - 2001)

Yıl 2011, Cilt: 4 Sayı: 2, 1 - 10, 01.08.2011

Erdinç Karadeniz Ayberk Nuri Berkman

Öz

This study estimates the term structure of interest rates with treasury bills. A transformed model is used for this measurement. In the empirical model, volatility of 12 month maturity treasury bills are used for dependent variable, and volatility of 1, 3, 6 month maturity treasury bills are used for independent variables. Due to macroeconomic policy, treasury bills interest rates and maturities carry a high volatility but, the evidence of this study supported theory of the term structure suggestions such as equivalent volatility of different maturities.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Term structure, Interest rates, Nelson/Siegel model, Swenson model, Treasury bills

Estimating The Term Structure of Interest Rates: A Case of Turkey (1990 - 2001)

Öz

Bu çalışada, hazine bonosu faiz oranlarıı vade yapııhesaplanmaktadı. Bunun için dönüşürülmüşbir modelden faydalanımışı. Ampirik modelde; 12 ay vadeli hazine bonolarıı volatilitesi bağılıdeğşen, 6, 3 ve 1 ay vadeli hazine bonolarıı volatilitesi ise bağısı değşen olarak kullanımışı. Makroekonomik politikalar sonucu olarak hazine bonosu faiz oranlarıyüksek volatiliteye sahip olmakla birlikte, bu çalışanı sonuçlarıfarklıvadelerin eşeğr volatilitesi gibi bir vade yapııönerileri teorisini destekler niteliktedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Faiz oranları, vade yapısı, Nelson/Siegel modeli, Swenson modeli, Hazine bonosu

Kaynakça

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• http://www.tcmb.gov.tr
• http://www.hazine.gov.tr