DOĞRUDAN YABANCI YATIRIM VE SOSYOEKONOMİK DURUM İLİŞKİSİ: Türkiye Çalışması

Yıl 2013, Sayı: 11, 75 - 88, 20.04.2015

N.Zeynep Ökten Ünal Arslan

Öz

Yoksulluk, işsizlik, gelir dağılımı, sağlık ve eğitim seviyesi bir toplumun yaşam kalitesini gösteren sosyal göstergelerdir. Sosyal gelişmenin yaşanması için ekonomik gelişme yeterli olmamaktadır ve ülke kalkınması için yapılan analizlerde sosyal göstergelerin olmaması analizi yetersiz kılmakta ve gerçeklikten uzaklaştırmaktadır. Doğrudan yabancı yatırımın(DYY) ülke ekonomisi üzerindeki etkilerini ekonomik parametreler kullanarak inceleyen çalışmalar hızla artarken sosyal parametreleri kullanarak sosyal gelişim ile DYY arasındaki ilişkinin irdelenmesi ihmal edilmiştir. Bu çalışma ile bu alandaki açığa ilişkin olarak Türkiye’ye ilişkin ekonomik parametrelerin yanı sıra sosyal parametrelerde kullanılarak DYY ‘ın sosyoekonomik üzerindeki etkisi incelenmiştir. Çalışmanın sonucu, yabancı doğrudan yatırım ve sosyoekonomik koşullar arasında eşbütünleşik bir vektörün varlığını göstermetedir. Bu durum iki değişken arasında
uzun dönemli bir denge ilişklisinin bulunduğunu belirtmektedir. Hata düzeltme modeli ise kısa dönemde DYY ve sosyo ekonomik koşullar arasında bir ilişkinin varlığına işaret etmektedir. Aynı zamanda sosyoekonomik koşullar da DYY üzerinde istatistiksel açıdan anlamlı ve pozitif bir etkiye sahiptir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Doğrudan Yabancı yatırım, Sosyoekonomik Durum, Kalkınma

FOREIGN DIRECT INVESMENT AND SOCIOECONOMIC CONDITIONS The Case of Turkey

Öz

Economic development is not enough to improve social development. Social indicators, such as poverty, unemployment, income distribution, health and education are the key elements which show the quality of the life in society. An analysis of country development that does not include social parameters is insufficient and unrealistic. Foreign direct investment (FDI) and its impact on the economy is one of the most studied issues during the past few decades but there is still an untouched area in the literature concerning the relationship between socioeconomic conditions and FDI. With this paper, we investigate the social parameters as well as economic parameters for testing the relationship between FDI and socioeconomic conditions, using Turkish data. The results show that there is a cointegrating vector between FDI and socioeconomic conditions. This indicates that there is long run equilibrium relation between the two variables. The error correction model indicates that in the short-run there is causality between socioeconomic condition and FDI. Socioeconomic conditions have a positive and significant effect on FDI

Anahtar Kelimeler

Foreign Direct Investment, Socioeconomic Conditions, Development

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