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DOĞRUDAN YABANCI YATIRIMLAR VE PORTFÖY YATIRIMLARI VOLATİLİTESİ ARASINDA NEDENSELLİK İLİŞKİSİ

Yıl 2015, Sayı: 15, 269 - 278, 20.06.2015
https://doi.org/10.18092/ijeas.13876

Öz

Ülkeler açısından en az riskli olarak görülen doğrudan yabancı yatırımlar finansal desteğin yanı sıra teknolojik yenilikler ve işletmecilik bilgisi de sağlamaktadır. Portföy yatırımları ise riskli yatırımlar olarak değerlendirildiğinden finansal liberalizasyon, vergi politikaları ve özelleştirme gibi uygulamalar ile doğrudan yabancı yatırımlara dönüştürülmeye çalışılmaktadır. Bu çalışmada portföy yatırım büyüklüğü açısından ilk üç sırada bulunan Britanya, Yunanistan ve Almanya ile birlikte Türkiye üzerinden portföy yatırımları volatilitesi ve doğrudan yabancı yatırımlar arasındaki ilişki Granger Nedensellik Analizi ile test edilmiştir. Portföy yatırımlarında ki volatilite’nin karşılıklı veya tek taraflı olarak doğrudan yabancı yatırımlardan etkilendiği görülmüştür.

Anahtar Kelimeler: Doğrudan Yabancı Yatırımlar, Portföy Yatırımlarının Volatilitesi, Granger Nedensellik Analizi

JELSınıflandırması:F21, F32, C32

 

CAUSALITY BETWEEN FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT AND PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT VOLATILITY

 

Abstract

As the least risky in terms of direct foreign investment as well as financial support for technological innovation and also provides management information about countries. Portfolio investment that is is considered as risky investments are attempting foreign direct investment to convert with financial liberalization, privatization and tax policies. In this study, the size of portfolio investments that is the first three terms of the British, Greece and Germany  with Turkey, together with volatility of portfolio investments on the relationship between foreign direct investment and Granger causality analysis were tested. The volatility of portfolio investments in mutual or unilateral foreign direct investment has been effected.

Keywords: Foreign Direct Investment, Portfolio InvestmentVolatility, GrangerCausality Analysis

JEL Classification:F21, F32, C32

Kaynakça

  • AHMAD, Y., COVA, P., HARRISON R (2004), “Foreign Direct Investment versus Portfolio Investment: A Global Games Approach”, University of Wisconsin, Working Paper 05 – 03.
  • ARCABIC, V.,GLOBAN,T.,RAGUZ, T. (2013), “The Relationship Between the Stock Market and Foreign Direct Investment in Croatia: Evidencefrom VAR andCointegration Analysis”, Financial Theory and Practice, 37(1), 109-126.
  • BACCHETTA, P., WINCOOP, E. (2000), Capital Flows to Emerging Markets: Liberalization, Overshooting, and Volatility”, Capital Flows and the Emerging Economies: Theory, Evidence, and Controversies (Ed: Sebastian Edwards), 61-98, University of Chicago Press.
  • BECKER, C., NOONE, C. (2008), “Volatility and Persistence of Capital Flows, Regional Financial Integration in Asia: Present and Future”, Bank for International Settlements Papers No: 42, 159-180.
  • BOLLERSLEV, T. (1986), “Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity”, Journal of Econometrics, 31, 307-327.
  • BOSWORTH, B.P., COLLINS, S.M., REINHART, C.M. (1999), “CapitalFlowstoDevelopingEconomies: Implications for Saving and Investment”, Brookings Paper on Economic Activity, Vol 1999, No:1, 143-180.
  • BRONER, F.A., RIGOBON, R. (2005), “Why Are Capital Flows So Much More Volatile in Emerging Than in Developing Countries?”, Central Bank of Chile Working Papers, No:328
  • BROTO, C.,CASSOU,J.D.,DOMINGUEZ, A.E. (2008), “Measuring And Explaning The Volatility of Capital Flows Towards Emerging Countries”, Banco De Espana Working Paper Series, No:817
  • CLAESSENS, S., DOOLEY, M., WARNER,A. (1995), “Portfolio Capital Flows: Hot or Cold?”The World Bank Economic Review Vol 9, No:1, 153-174
  • CLAESSENS, S.,GHOSH, S. R.(2013), “Capital Flow Volatility and Systemic Risk in Emerging Markets: ThePolicy Toolkit”, Dealing with the Challenges of Macro Financial Linkages in Emerging Markets Ed: Otaviano Canuto, Swati R. Ghosh, Chapter 3, The World Bank Study.
  • DICKEY,D. A., and FULLER W. A. (1981), “Likelihood Ratio Statistics For Autoregressive Time Series With a Unitroot”,Econometrica 49 (4): 1057–72
  • DURHAM, J.B., (2003), “Foreign Portfolio Investment, Foreign Bank Lending, and EconomicGrowth”, Board of Governors of the Federal ReserveSystem International Finance DiscussionPapers, No: 757
  • ENGLE, R. F. (1982), “Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of theVariance of United Kingdom Inflation”, Econometrica, Vol. 50, No. 4, pp 987-1007.
  • GELOS, G. (2011),“International MutualFunds, Capital Flow Volatility, andContagion–A Survey”, International MonetaryFund Working Paper,11/92
  • GRANGER C. W. J. (1969), “Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods”, Cilt 37, Sayı:3, Jstor,424-438
  • HATTARI,R., RAJAN R.S. (2011), “How Different are FDI and FPI Flows?: Distance and Capital Market Integration”, Journal of Economic Integration, 26(3), 499-525
  • KANG J. K. ve STULZ R. M., (1996), “Why is there a Home Bias? An Analysis of Foreign Portfolio Equity Ownership in Japan”,EmergingTrends in Japanese Financial Markets Conference WorkingPaper.
  • SEVÜKTEKİN, M ve NARGELEÇEKENLER, M. (2007), Ekonometrik Zaman Serileri Analizi: Eviews Uygulaması, Nobel Yayın Dağıtım, 2.Baskı, Anka-ra.

CAUSALITY BETWEEN FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT AND PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT VOLATILITY

Yıl 2015, Sayı: 15, 269 - 278, 20.06.2015
https://doi.org/10.18092/ijeas.13876

Öz

As the least risky in terms of direct foreign investment as well as financial support for technological innovation and also provides management information about countries. Portfolio investment that is is considered as risky investments are attempting foreign direct investment to convert with financial liberalization, privatization and tax policies. In this study, the size of portfolio investments that is the first three terms of the British, Greece and Germany with Turkey, together with volatility of portfolio investments on the relationship between foreign direct investment and Granger causality analysis were tested. The volatility of portfolio investments in mutual or unilateral foreign direct investment has been effected

Kaynakça

  • AHMAD, Y., COVA, P., HARRISON R (2004), “Foreign Direct Investment versus Portfolio Investment: A Global Games Approach”, University of Wisconsin, Working Paper 05 – 03.
  • ARCABIC, V.,GLOBAN,T.,RAGUZ, T. (2013), “The Relationship Between the Stock Market and Foreign Direct Investment in Croatia: Evidencefrom VAR andCointegration Analysis”, Financial Theory and Practice, 37(1), 109-126.
  • BACCHETTA, P., WINCOOP, E. (2000), Capital Flows to Emerging Markets: Liberalization, Overshooting, and Volatility”, Capital Flows and the Emerging Economies: Theory, Evidence, and Controversies (Ed: Sebastian Edwards), 61-98, University of Chicago Press.
  • BECKER, C., NOONE, C. (2008), “Volatility and Persistence of Capital Flows, Regional Financial Integration in Asia: Present and Future”, Bank for International Settlements Papers No: 42, 159-180.
  • BOLLERSLEV, T. (1986), “Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity”, Journal of Econometrics, 31, 307-327.
  • BOSWORTH, B.P., COLLINS, S.M., REINHART, C.M. (1999), “CapitalFlowstoDevelopingEconomies: Implications for Saving and Investment”, Brookings Paper on Economic Activity, Vol 1999, No:1, 143-180.
  • BRONER, F.A., RIGOBON, R. (2005), “Why Are Capital Flows So Much More Volatile in Emerging Than in Developing Countries?”, Central Bank of Chile Working Papers, No:328
  • BROTO, C.,CASSOU,J.D.,DOMINGUEZ, A.E. (2008), “Measuring And Explaning The Volatility of Capital Flows Towards Emerging Countries”, Banco De Espana Working Paper Series, No:817
  • CLAESSENS, S., DOOLEY, M., WARNER,A. (1995), “Portfolio Capital Flows: Hot or Cold?”The World Bank Economic Review Vol 9, No:1, 153-174
  • CLAESSENS, S.,GHOSH, S. R.(2013), “Capital Flow Volatility and Systemic Risk in Emerging Markets: ThePolicy Toolkit”, Dealing with the Challenges of Macro Financial Linkages in Emerging Markets Ed: Otaviano Canuto, Swati R. Ghosh, Chapter 3, The World Bank Study.
  • DICKEY,D. A., and FULLER W. A. (1981), “Likelihood Ratio Statistics For Autoregressive Time Series With a Unitroot”,Econometrica 49 (4): 1057–72
  • DURHAM, J.B., (2003), “Foreign Portfolio Investment, Foreign Bank Lending, and EconomicGrowth”, Board of Governors of the Federal ReserveSystem International Finance DiscussionPapers, No: 757
  • ENGLE, R. F. (1982), “Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of theVariance of United Kingdom Inflation”, Econometrica, Vol. 50, No. 4, pp 987-1007.
  • GELOS, G. (2011),“International MutualFunds, Capital Flow Volatility, andContagion–A Survey”, International MonetaryFund Working Paper,11/92
  • GRANGER C. W. J. (1969), “Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods”, Cilt 37, Sayı:3, Jstor,424-438
  • HATTARI,R., RAJAN R.S. (2011), “How Different are FDI and FPI Flows?: Distance and Capital Market Integration”, Journal of Economic Integration, 26(3), 499-525
  • KANG J. K. ve STULZ R. M., (1996), “Why is there a Home Bias? An Analysis of Foreign Portfolio Equity Ownership in Japan”,EmergingTrends in Japanese Financial Markets Conference WorkingPaper.
  • SEVÜKTEKİN, M ve NARGELEÇEKENLER, M. (2007), Ekonometrik Zaman Serileri Analizi: Eviews Uygulaması, Nobel Yayın Dağıtım, 2.Baskı, Anka-ra.
Toplam 18 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Bölüm MAKALELER
Yazarlar

Mustafa Emir Bu kişi benim

Melih Kutlu Bu kişi benim

Yayımlanma Tarihi 20 Haziran 2015
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2015 Sayı: 15

Kaynak Göster

APA Emir, M., & Kutlu, M. (2015). CAUSALITY BETWEEN FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT AND PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT VOLATILITY. Uluslararası İktisadi Ve İdari İncelemeler Dergisi(15), 269-278. https://doi.org/10.18092/ijeas.13876


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