TY  - JOUR
T1  - Determination of Factors Affecting Textile Employment in Türkiye in the Context of Sectoral Employment: ARDL Bound and Hacker and Hatemi-J (2006) Causality Test
TT  - Sektörel İstihdam Bağlamında Türkiye'de Tekstil İstihdamını Etkileyen Faktörlerin Belirlenmesi: ARDL Sınır ve Hacker ve Hatemi-J (2006) Nedensellik Testi
AU  - Keskin, Abdulkadir
PY  - 2024
DA  - December
Y2  - 2024
JF  - JOEEP: Journal of Emerging Economies and Policy
JO  - JOEEP
PB  - Seyfettin ERDOĞAN
WT  - DergiPark
SN  - 2651-5318
SP  - 374
EP  - 387
VL  - 9
IS  - 2
LA  - en
AB  - Sectoral employment is a vital component of a country's economic structure, with the textile industry playing a crucial role in Türkiye's industrialization and job creation. This study investigates the determinants of textile employment in Türkiye from 2009 to 2023, employing the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bound test and Hacker and Hatemi-J (2006) Causality analysis. The results reveal that the real effective exchange rate negatively impacts employment, while the number of textile workplaces has a significant positive effect. Furthermore, textile imports and Brent oil prices exhibit a strong causal relationship with employment, emphasizing the influence of global economic factors on domestic job creation. The findings highlight the sector's sensitivity to foreign exchange fluctuations and trade dynamics. Long-term policies stabilizing exchange rates and fostering entrepreneurship in the textile industry could enhance employment. Additionally, foreign trade policies that improve Türkiye's global market access through favorable agreements and reduced tariffs are essential for stimulating growth. Addressing energy costs, particularly oil prices, is crucial for maintaining competitiveness in the textile sector, which relies heavily on imported raw materials. These insights underscore the need for coordinated foreign trade, energy, and industrial policies to support sustainable employment growth and resilience against external shocks.
KW  - Sectoral Employment
KW  - Textile Employment
KW  - Employment
N2  - Sektörel istihdam, bir ülkenin ekonomik yapısının hayati bir bileşenidir ve tekstil endüstrisi Türkiye'nin sanayileşmesinde ve istihdam yaratılmasında önemli bir rol oynamaktadır. Bu çalışma, Otoregresif Dağıtılmış Gecikme (ARDL) sınır testi ve Hacker ve Hatemi-J (2006) Nedensellik analizini kullanarak 2009-2023 yılları arasında Türkiye'de tekstil istihdamının belirleyicilerini araştırmaktadır. Sonuçlar, reel efektif döviz kurunun istihdamı negatif yönde etkilediğini, tekstil işyeri sayısının ise anlamlı bir pozitif etkiye sahip olduğunu ortaya koymaktadır. Ayrıca, tekstil ithalatı ve Brent petrol fiyatları istihdam ile güçlü bir nedensellik ilişkisi sergilemekte ve küresel ekonomik faktörlerin yerel istihdam yaratma üzerindeki etkisini vurgulamaktadır. Bulgular, sektörün döviz dalgalanmalarına ve ticaret dinamiklerine olan duyarlılığını vurgulamaktadır. Döviz kurlarını istikrara kavuşturan ve tekstil sektöründe girişimciliği teşvik eden uzun vadeli politikalar istihdamı artırabilir. Ayrıca, Türkiye'nin küresel pazara erişimini elverişli anlaşmalar ve azaltılmış tarifeler yoluyla iyileştiren dış ticaret politikaları büyümeyi teşvik etmek için gereklidir. Başta petrol fiyatları olmak üzere enerji maliyetlerinin ele alınması, büyük ölçüde ithal hammaddelere dayanan tekstil sektöründe rekabet gücünün korunması için çok önemlidir. Bu görüşler, sürdürülebilir istihdam artışını ve dış şoklara karşı dayanıklılığı desteklemek için koordineli dış ticaret, enerji ve sanayi politikalarına duyulan ihtiyacın altını çizmektedir.
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UR  - https://dergipark.org.tr/en/pub/joeep/issue//1580853
L1  - https://dergipark.org.tr/en/download/article-file/4346453
ER  -