TY  - JOUR
T1  - Labour Market Aspirations of Ukrainian Refugees: Determinants and Challenges
TT  - Ukraynalı Mültecilerin İşgücü Piyasası Beklentileri: Belirleyiciler ve Zorluklar
AU  - Karapınar Kocağ, Esra
PY  - 2025
DA  - March
Y2  - 2025
JF  - Ekonomi-tek
JO  - EkonomiTEK
PB  - Türkiye Ekonomi Kurumu Vakfı
WT  - DergiPark
SN  - 2146-6173
SP  - 132
EP  - 153
VL  - 14
IS  - 1
LA  - en
AB  - This study analyses factors influencing Ukrainian refugees’ migration for work, using household-level data from the UNHCR Survey of Intentions and Perspectives of Refugees from Ukraine. Applying logistic regression and propensity score matching (PSM), it examines key determinants, including gender, age, education, residence status, and planned return duration. Results show men are more likely than women to migrate for work (odds ratio: 2.01), highlighting gender-specific barriers. Older individuals and those with higher education levels exhibit lower migration likelihoods. Refugees in private accommodations are less likely to migrate, suggesting housing stability affects mobility. Longer planned return durations increase work-related migration (odds ratio: 1.25), while travelling with a larger family reduces it. These findings highlight the complexity of refugee labour market integration and the need for policies addressing gender disparities, housing stability, and long-term employment prospects to support refugees’ economic inclusion.
KW  - Migration
KW  - Refugees
KW  - Ukraine
KW  - Household Level Analysis
KW  - Labour Market
N2  - Bu çalışma, Ukraynalı mültecilerin iş amaçlı göç kararlarını etkileyen faktörleri, UNHCR Ukraynalı Mültecilerin Niyetleri ve Perspektifleri Anketi’nin hanehalkı düzeyindeki verilerini kullanarak analiz etmektedir. Lojistik regresyon ve olasılık eşleştirme (PSM) yöntemlerini uygulayarak cinsiyet, yaş, eğitim, ikamet durumu ve planlanan dönüş süresi gibi temel belirleyicileri incelemektedir. Sonuçlar, erkeklerin kadınlara kıyasla iş amaçlı göç etme olasılığının daha yüksek olduğunu (olasılık oranı: 2,01) göstermekte ve toplumsal cinsiyete dayalı işgücü piyasası engellerine işaret etmektedir. Yaşlı bireyler ve yüksek eğitim seviyesine sahip olanlar daha düşük göç eğilimi göstermektedir. Özel konutlarda yaşayan mültecilerin göç etme olasılığı daha düşüktür, bu da barınma istikrarının hareketlilik kararlarını etkilediğini düşündürmektedir. Daha uzun planlanan dönüş süreleri iş amaçlı göçü artırırken (olasılık oranı: 1,25), daha büyük ailelerle seyahat etmek bu olasılığı azaltmaktadır. Bulgular, mültecilerin işgücü piyasasına entegrasyonunun karmaşıklığını vurgulayarak toplumsal cinsiyet eşitsizlikleri, barınma istikrarı ve uzun vadeli istihdam olanaklarına yönelik politika gerekliliğini ortaya koymaktadır.
CR  - Aiyar, S., Barkbu, B., Batini, N., Berger, H., Detragiache, E., Dizioli, A., Ebeke, C., Lin, H., Kaltani, L., Sosa, S., Spilimbergo, A., & Topalova, P. (2016). The refugee surge in Europe: Economic challenges (IMF Staff Discussion Note No. 16/02). International Monetary Fund. https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/sdn/2016/sdn1602.pdf
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UR  - https://dergipark.org.tr/en/pub/ekonomitek/issue//1581482
L1  - https://dergipark.org.tr/en/download/article-file/4349253
ER  -