TY  - JOUR
T1  - Türkiye’nin Teknolojik Gelişiminin Ekonomik Büyümeye Etkisinin Modellenmesi ve Tahminlenmesi
TT  - Modeling and Forecasting the Impact of Türkiye's Technological Development on Economic Growth
AU  - Doğan, Ahmet
AU  - Ablay, Mulla Veli
Y2  - 2025
DO  - 10.17153/oguiibf.1589009
JF  - Eskişehir Osmangazi Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi
PB  - Eskişehir Osmangazi University
WT  - DergiPark
SN  - 1306-6730
SP  - 1044
EP  - 1065
VL  - 20
IS  - 3
LA  - tr
AB  - Bu çalışma temelde, ekonomi-teknoloji ilişkisinin incelenmesine dayanmaktadır. Bu kapsamda, 1996-2020 dönemine ait verilerle Türkiye’deki teknolojik yenilik ve gelişimin ekonomik büyümeye etkisinin değerlendirilmesi için, gayri safi yurtiçi hasıla (GSYİH) (bağımlı değişken) ile patent başvuru sayısı (yerleşik olan ve yerleşik olmayan) (PBS) ve bilimsel ve teknik dergilerde yayımlanan makale sayısı (BTM) (bağımsız değişenler) kullanılmıştır. İlgili veri seti Dünya Bankası resmi veri sitesinden elde edilmiştir. Çalışmada yöntem olarak, regresyon analizi ve Bayesyen regresyon analizi kullanılmıştır. Elde edilen bulgulara göre, teknolojik gelişim göstergelerinin ekonomik büyümeye etkisinin pozitif yönlü olduğu sonucuna varılmıştır.
KW  - Bayesyen Regresyon Analizi
KW  - Teknolojik Gelişim
KW  - Monte Carlo Yöntemi
KW  - Ekonomi
N2  - This study fundamentally examines the relationship between the economy and technology. In this context, the impact of technological innovation and development on economic growth in Türkiye was analyzed using data from the period 1996-2020. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was employed as the dependent variable, while the number of patent applications (PA) and the number of articles published in scientific and technical journals (STJ) were used as independent variables Multiple linear regression and Bayesian regression analysis were used as the methodology. According to the findings, it was concluded that the impact of technological development indicators on economic growth is positive.
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UR  - https://doi.org/10.17153/oguiibf.1589009
L1  - https://dergipark.org.tr/en/download/article-file/4383260
ER  -