TY  - JOUR
T1  - How Does the Shadow Dollar Affect International Trade and Global Economies? Discussion from the Perspective of Turkey and other Countries
TT  - Gölge Dolar Uluslararası Ticareti ve Küresel Ekonomileri Nasıl Etkiler? Türkiye ve Diğer Ülkelerin Perspektifinden Tartışılması
AU  - Bardakçı, Hasan
PY  - 2025
DA  - April
Y2  - 2025
DO  - 10.58724/assam.1593036
JF  - ASSAM Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi
JO  - ASSAM-UHAD
PB  - Adaleti Savunanlar Stratejik Araştırmalar Merkezi Derneği
WT  - DergiPark
SN  - 2148-5879
SP  - 29
EP  - 35
IS  - 26
LA  - en
AB  - This paper provides an in-depth analysis of the effects of the “Shadow Dollar” on exchange rates and global trade. In particular, the paper compares the effects of the shadow dollar on Turkey and other economies. Structural challenges such as Turkey's external debt burden and trade deficit can exacerbate the economic effects of the shadow dollar. Moreover, in large economies such as China, a stronger dollar can often be beneficial for exporting sectors. While China may favor the dollar, the European Union and other advanced economies may be more resilient to exchange rate changes. The paper discusses the effects of these global dynamics on trade imbalances, foreign exchange markets and economic relations, and shows that each country responds differently depending on its economic structure. For countries like Turkey, exchange rate hikes create economic pressures, while large economies suffer less from such externalities. Finally, the study emphasizes that the effects of the shadow dollar on world trade and economic structure are an important factor shaping the future of global trade, as they differ according to countries' monetary policies and trade strategies
KW  - Shadow Dollar
KW  - Turkey
KW  - Exchange Rate
KW  - Economy
KW  - Monetary Policy
N2  - Bu çalışma, “Gölge Dolar” kavramının döviz kurları ve küresel ticaret üzerindeki etkilerini derinlemesine incelemektedir. Makalede, gölge doların özellikle Türkiye ve diğer  ekonomiler üzerindeki etkileri karşılaştırılmaktadır. Türkiye’nin dış borç yükü ve ticaret açığı gibi yapısal zorluklar, gölge doların ekonomik etkilerini daha da derinleştirebilmektedir. Dahası, Çin gibi büyük ekonomilerde, doların güçlenmesi genellikle ihracatçı sektörler için faydalı olabilmektedir. Çin, doları lehine çevirebilirken, Avrupa Birliği ve diğer gelişmiş ekonomiler, döviz kuru değişikliklerine karşı daha dirençli olabilmektedir. Çalışma, bu küresel dinamiklerin ticaret dengesizlikleri, döviz piyasaları ve ekonomik ilişkiler üzerindeki etkilerini tartışarak, her ülkenin ekonomik yapısına göre farklı tepkiler verdiğini ortaya koymaktadır. Türkiye gibi ülkeler için döviz kurlarındaki artışlar, ekonomik baskılar yaratırken, büyük ekonomiler bu tür dışsal etkilerden daha az zarar görmektedir. Son olarak çalışma, gölge doların dünya ticaretine ve ekonomik yapıya olan etkilerinin, ülkelerin para politikaları ve ticaret stratejileri doğrultusunda farklılık gösterdiği için küresel ticaretin geleceğini şekillendiren önemli bir faktör olduğunu vurgulamaktadır.
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UR  - https://doi.org/10.58724/assam.1593036
L1  - https://dergipark.org.tr/en/download/article-file/4401746
ER  -