TY  - JOUR
TT  - ANALYSİS OF SHİP MİLK PRODUCTİON AND PRİCE RELATİONSHİP BY KOYCK AND ALMON MODELS: A TURKEY CASE
AU  - Çelik, Şenol
PY  - 2015
DA  - June
JF  - Akademik Bakış Uluslararası Hakemli Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi
PB  - Akademik Bakış
WT  - DergiPark
SN  - 1694-528X
SP  - 137
EP  - 149
IS  - 50
KW  - Koyun Sütü Üretimi
KW  - Koyun Sütü Fiyatı
KW  - Gecikmesi Dağıtılmış Model
KW  - Koyck Modeli
KW  - Almon Modeli
N2  - In this study, the related between sheep milk production and its price from 1994 to 2014 were analyzed using Koyck and Almon approach, one of the distributed lag models. According to Koyck model results, it is determined that production is affected by maximum nine years prices backwards, and for an effective impact of the change in buffalo milk prices on sheep milk production, an interval of 8.71 years is needed. While a TL 1 increase in buffalo milk prices in the t year increased buffalo milk production 72053.98  tons, a TL 1 increase in the prices of t-1 period increased the production 64632.41 tons, a TL 1 increase in the prices of t-2 period increased the production 57975.28  tons, respectively, a TL 1 increase in the prices of t-3, t-4, t-5, t-6, t-7, t-8 and t-9 period 52004, 46647, 41842, 37533, 33667, 30199 and 27089 tons increase in production. It is determined that the change in delayed values of sheep milk prices, has a positive effect on production but this effect reduces gradually. According to Almon model results, product of sheep milk, t, t-1, t-2, t-3, t-4, t-5, t-6, t-7, t-8 and t-9 period price. t, t-1, t-2, t-3 ve t-4 period prices affect product negative, t-5, t-6, t-7, t-8 and t-9 period prices positively influences.
UR  - https://dergipark.org.tr/en/pub/abuhsbd/issue//366044
L1  - https://dergipark.org.tr/en/download/article-file/383049
ER  -