TY  - JOUR
TT  - Investigation Of Seasonal Variation and Trend Effect in Stochastic Model Selection
AU  - Hınıs, Mehmet Ali
PY  - 2011
DA  - February
JF  - Reserach Journal of Agricultural Sciences
JO  - Tarım Bilim. Araşt. Derg. (online)
PB  - Anatolia Bilim Akademisi
WT  - DergiPark
SN  - 1308-027X
SP  - 69
EP  - 75
IS  - 1
KW  - Stochastic model
KW  - AR
KW  - ARMA
KW  - SAR
KW  - SARMA
KW  - trend and seasonal effect
KW  - estimation and diagnostic checking
N2  - Stochastic models are frequently used methods in hydrology. These models are used to produce longer time period synthetic data having the same statistical parameters of limited observed data. Hydrologic data have usually seasonal variation and trend factors which effect to determine the best fit stochastic model.The effects of these parameters on various stochastic models were investigated in this study by using monthly averaged flow data of Demirci  flow observation station in Konya basin in the present study. In various orders of AR, ARMA, SAR and SARMA models were evaluated for different seasonal effect and trend factor. In the second part of the study, several criteria were compared to determine the best fit model
UR  - https://dergipark.org.tr/en/pub/tabad/issue//385103
L1  - https://dergipark.org.tr/en/download/article-file/412832
ER  -