TY  - JOUR
T1  - Reel Döviz Kurunun Dış Ticaret Üzerindeki Etkisi: Kırılgan Beşli Örneği
TT  - Impact of Real Exchange Rate on International Trade: The Case of Fragile Five
AU  - Barak, Doğan
AU  - Naimoğlu, Mustafa
PY  - 2018
DA  - April
Y2  - 2018
DO  - 10.25287/ohuiibf.396831
JF  - Ömer Halisdemir Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi
JO  - ÖHÜİİBFD
PB  - Nigde Omer Halisdemir University
WT  - DergiPark
SN  - 2564-6931
SP  - 82
EP  - 95
VL  - 11
IS  - 2
LA  - tr
AB  - Buçalışmada, kırılgan beşli olarak nitelendirilen ülkelerde dış ticaret, reeldöviz kuru ve ticari açıklık (trade openness) arasındaki kısa ve uzun dönemliilişki, 2000-2014 dönemine ait panel verileri kullanılarak araştırılmaktadır.Ampirik analiz için, Panel ARDL yöntemi, Granger nedensellik testi ve varyansayrıştırma analizi kullanılmıştır. Analizler sonucunda, hem kısa dönemde hem deuzun dönemde dış ticaret ile reel döviz kuru arasında negatif ve istatikselolarak anlamlı bir ilişki mevcuttur. Diğer taraftan dış ticaret ile ticariaçıklık göstergesi arasında pozitif ve istatiksel olarak anlamlı bir ilişkiolduğu sonucuna ulaşılmıştır. Ayrıca, Granger nedensellik testi sonucuna göreticari açıklıktan dış ticarete doğru tek yönlü nedensellik vardır. Ama reeldöviz kurundan dış ticarete doğru bir nedensellik yoktur.
KW  - Dış Ticaret
KW  - Reel Döviz Kuru
KW  - Panel ARDL
KW  - Kırılgan Beşli
N2  - In this study,the short and long-term relationship between international trade, real exchangerate and trade openness in countries that are classified as fragile five isbeing investigated using panel data for the period 2000-2014. For empiricalanalysis, panel ARDL method, Granger causality test and variance decomposition analysisare used. As a result of analysis, there is a negative and statisticallysignificant relationship between international trade and real exchange rate inboth short term and long term. On theother hand, it is concluded that there is a positive and statisticallysignificant relationship between international trade and trade opennessindicator. In addition, the Grangercausality test yield unidirectional causality from trade openness totrade. But there is no a causality fromreal exchange rate to trade.
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UR  - https://doi.org/10.25287/ohuiibf.396831
L1  - https://dergipark.org.tr/en/download/article-file/462107
ER  -