TY - JOUR T1 - Prediction Modeling of Biogas Production with Classification and Regression Tree at Wastewater Treatment Plants AU - Akbas, Halil AU - Ozdemır, Gultekin PY - 2018 DA - December JF - The Eurasia Proceedings of Science Technology Engineering and Mathematics JO - EPSTEM PB - ISRES Publishing WT - DergiPark SN - 2602-3199 SP - 212 EP - 217 IS - 4 LA - en AB - Predicting biogas production is important for energymanagement in wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs). Biogas production quantitydepends on its production system variables, such as, influent flow rate,process temperature, alkalinity, volatile fatty acid, sludge retention time,total suspended solid, etc. WWTPs keep the records of wastewater treatment processvalues with supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) system on aregular basis. The relationship between the biogas production and itsproduction system variables, which are measured continuously with SCADA system,can be identified with classification and regression tree (CART) algorithm byusing the existing data. In this paper, CART approach is presented for theprediction of biogas production at WWTPs. Standard CART algorithm is used toselect split predictor. Curvature and interaction tests are also applied in themodel to search for reducing split predictor selection bias and improving thedetection of important interactions among each predictor and response and amongeach pair of predictors and response in turn.   KW - Prediction KW - Classification and regression tree KW - Biogas production KW - Wastewater treatment plant CR - Akbas, H., Bilgen, B, & Turhan, A.M. (2015). An integrated prediction and optimization model of biogas production system at a wastewater treatment facility. Bioresource Technology, 196, 566-576. Breiman, L., Friedman, J.H., Olshen, R.A., & Stone, C.J. (Eds.). (1984). Classification and regression trees. Florida, FL: Chapman & Hall/CRC Press. Cakmakci, M. (2007). Adaptive neuro-fuzzy modelling of anaerobic digestion of primary sedimentation sludge. Bioprocess Biosystem Engineering, 30, 349-357. Holubar, P., Zani, L., Hager, M., Froschl, W., Zorana, R., & Braun, R. (2002). Advanced controlling of anaerobic digestion by means of hierarchical neural networks. Water Research, 36, 2582-2588. Kusiak, A, & Wei, X. (2011). Prediction of methane production in wastewater treatment facility: A data-mining approach. Annals of Operations Research, 216, 71-81. Kusiak, A., & Smith, M. (2007). Data mining in design of products and production systems. Annual Reviews in Control, 31, 147-156. Kusiak, A., Zheng, H. Y., & Song, Z. (2009). Wind farm power prediction: a data-mining approach. Wind Energy, 12, 275–293. Kusiak, A., Li, M. Y., & Tang, F. (2010). Modeling and optimization of HVAC energy consumption. Applied Energy, 87, 3092–3102. Loh, W. Y. (2002). Regression trees with unbiased variable selection and interaction detection. Statistica Sinica, 12, 361-386. Shah, S., Kusiak, A., & O’Donnell, M. (2006). Patient-recognition data-mining model for BCG-plus interferon immunotherapy bladder cancer treatment. Computers in Biology and Medicine, 36, 634–655. Strik, D., Domnanovich, A.M., Zani, L., Braun, R., & Holubar, P. (2005). Prediction of trace compounds in biogas from anaerobic digestion using the MATLAB neural network toolbox. Environmental Modelling & Software, 20, 803-810. Takada, T., Sanou, K., & Fukumara, S. (1995). A neural network system for solving an assortment problem in the steel industry. Annals of Operations Research, 57, 265–281. Tay, J.H., & Zhang, X. (1999). Neural fuzzy modeling of anaerobic biological wastewater treatment systems. Journal of Environmental Engineering, 125, 1149-1159. Wang, Q., Sun, X., Golden, B. L., & Jia, J. (1995). Using artificial neural networks to solve the problem. Annals of Operations Research, 61, 111–120. Witten, I.H., Frank, E., & Hall, M.A. (3rd Eds.). (2011). Data mining practical machine learning tools and techniques. Burlington, MA: Morgan Kaufmann Publishers. Zhang, Z., Zeng, Y., & Kusiak A., (2012). Minimizing pump energy in a wastewater processing plant. Energy, 47, 505-514. UR - https://dergipark.org.tr/en/pub/epstem/issue//498051 L1 - https://dergipark.org.tr/en/download/article-file/598250 ER -