TY - JOUR T1 - TESTING RANDOM WALK HYPOTHESIS FOR ISTANBUL STOCK EXCHANGE AU - Tas, Oktay AU - Guleroglu Atac, Cigdem PY - 2019 DA - July DO - 10.17261/Pressacademia.2019.1063 JF - PressAcademia Procedia JO - PAP PB - Suat TEKER WT - DergiPark SN - 2459-0762 SP - 48 EP - 53 VL - 9 IS - 1 LA - en AB - Purpose- Thisstudy investigates weak form market efficiency of Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE)via Random Walk Hypothesis (RWH).Methodology- Two random walk tests, Dickey-Fuller and Runs test areused to search for random walk in stock market. Natural log returns of BIST-30index firms, BIST-30 index, participation index firms and participation indexare analysed by both tests over a five year period from 2013 to 2018.Therefore, BIST30 index returns together with BIST100 and BISTTUM indexes areanalysed in a longer period from 2000 to 2018 including 2001 and 2008 financialcrises in Turkey.Findings- Weakform market efficiency is justified according to Dickey Fuller test, but notfor Runs test.Conclusion- WhileDickey Fuller test results reject random walk in ISE, which leads that weakform market efficiency is not justified; Runs test are failed to give certainresults on market efficiency for the same data set and time period. KW - Market efficiency in weak form KW - Dickey Fuller random walk test KW - runs test KW - Istanbul Stock Exchange Indexes KW - efficient market hypothesis CR - Aytekin, S. & Erol, A. (2017). A Testing the Weak–Form Market Efficiency on the Borsa Istanbul (BIST) Sustainability Index (XUSRD): Runs Test Application. International Journal of Business and Management Invention, Volume 6, Issue 5, pp. 68-75. CR - Balaban, E. (1995, February). Informational Efficiency of the Istanbul Securities Exchange and Some Rationale for Public Regulation. The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, Discussion Paper No: 9502, 1-27. CR - Cai, B. M., Cai, C. X. & Keasey, K. (2005). Market efficiency and returns to simple technical trading rules: further evidence from U.S., U.K., Asian and Chinese stock markets. Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, 12(1), 45-60. CR - Chan, K. & Gup, B. (1992). An empirical analysis of stock prices in major Asian markets and the United States. The Financial Review, 27(2), 289–307. CR - Ely, R. A. (2011). Returns predictability and stock market efficiency in Brazil. Brazilian Review of Finance, 9(4), 571-584. CR - Grossman, S. J., Stiglitz, J. E. (1980). On the impossibility of informationally efficient markets. The American Economic Review, 70(3), 393-408. CR - Hamid, K., Suleman, M. T., Shah, S. & Akash, R. (2010). Testing the weak form of efficient market hypothesis: empirical evidence from Asia-Pacific markets. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 58, 121-133.. CR - Jefferis, K., & Graham, S. (2005). The changing efficiency of African stock markets. South African Journal of Economics, 73(1), 54-67. CR - Karahan, M., & Alsu, E. (2016). Are the eastern European markets efficient? Evidence from nonlinear unit root test. International Journal of Academic Research in Economics and Management Sciences. 5(4): 252-263. CR - Khrapko, V. (2013). Testing the weak-form efficiency hypothesis in the Ukranian stock markets versus those of the USA, Russia, and Poland. Ekonomika, 92(2), 108-121. CR - Kumar, S., & Kumar, L. (2015). Market efficiency in India: an empirical study of random walk hypothesis of Indian stock market - NSE midcap. ZENITH International Journal of Multidisciplinary Research, 5(1), 167-177. CR - Lim, T. C., Huang, W., Yun, J. L., & Zhao, D. (2013). Has stock market efficiency improved? Evidence from China. Journal of Finance & Economics, 1(1), 01-09. CR - Onali, E. & John, G. (2011). Are European equity markets efficient? New evidence from fractal analysis. International Review of Financial Analysis, 20(2), 59-67. CR - Pham, V., Nguyen, D. & Tô, T. (2007). Abnormal returns after large stock price changes: evidence from Asia-Pacific markets. CR - Tas, O., & Dursunoglu, S. (2005). Testing Random Walk Hypothesis for Istanbul Stock Exchange. International Trade and Finance Association 15th International Conference (s. 1-17). Istanbul: International Trade and Finance Association Conference Papers. CR - Urrutia, J. L. (1995). Tests of random walk and market efficiency for Latin American emerging equity markets. The Journal of Financial Research, 18(3), 299-309. UR - https://doi.org/10.17261/Pressacademia.2019.1063 L1 - https://dergipark.org.tr/en/download/article-file/769898 ER -