TY - JOUR T1 - The Causal Relationship between Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Returns TT - Ekonomik Politika Belirsizliği İle Borsa Getirileri Arasındaki Nedensellik İlişkisi AU - Karacaer Ulusoy, Merve AU - Pirgaip, Burak PY - 2019 DA - December JF - Atatürk Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi JO - ATASOBED PB - Ataturk University WT - DergiPark SN - 1304-4990 SP - 2239 EP - 2251 VL - 23 IS - 4 LA - en AB - Given the substantially increasedrole of financial markets in the global economy, there is a various empiricalevidence regarding how stock prices respond to changes in economic policyuncertainty (EPU). This study contributes to the literature by employing abootstrap panel Granger causality approach on the relationship between EPU andstock market returns. The results, provide insight into the fact that it mayindeed be the stock market that plays the triggering role in the context ofemerging markets and for majority of developed markets there is no causalrelationship between EPU and stock market returns. KW - Economic policy uncertainty KW - stock market returns KW - Panel Granger causality KW - emerging markets KW - developed markets N2 - Finansal piyasaların küreselekonomideki önemli ölçüde artan rolü göz önüne alındığında, hisse senedifiyatlarının ekonomik politika belirsizliğindeki (EPB) değişimlere nasıl tepkiverdiğiyle ilgili çeşitli ampirik çalışmalar bulunmaktadır. Bu çalışma EPB veborsa getirileri arasındaki ilişkiyi ölçmek için bootstrap panel Grangernedensellik yaklaşımı kullanarak literature katkıda bulunmaktadır. Sonuçlar,gelişmekte olan piyasalar bağlamında tetikleyici rolü borsaların belirlediğini,gelişmiş piyasaların çoğunda ise EPB ile borsa getirileri arasında herhangi birnedensellik ilişkisi olmadığını ortaya koymuştur. CR - Alexopoulos, M., and Cohen, J. (2015). “The power of print: Uncertainty shocks, markets, and the economy”. International Review of Economics & Finance, 40, 8-28. CR - Antonakakis, N., Chatziantoniou, I., and Filis, G. (2013). “Dynamic co-movements of stock market returns, implied volatility and policy uncertainty”. Economics Letters, 120(1), 87-92. CR - Arouri, M., Estay, C., Rault, C., and Roubaud, D. (2016). “Economic policy uncertainty and stock markets: Long-run evidence from the US”. Finance Research Letters, 18, 136-141. CR - Bachmann, R., Elstner, S., and Sims, E. R. (2013).” Uncertainty and economic activity: Evidence from business survey data”. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 5(2), 217-249. CR - Baker, S., Bloom, N. and Davis, S. 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