TY - JOUR T1 - COVID-19, FINANCIAL RISK AND THE AIRLINE INDUSTRY TT - KOVID-19, FİNANSAL RİSK VE HAVAYOLU SEKTÖRÜ AU - Kiracı, Kasım PY - 2021 DA - November DO - 10.30798/makuiibf.911548 JF - Journal of Mehmet Akif Ersoy University Economics and Administrative Sciences Faculty JO - MAKU IIBFD PB - Burdur Mehmet Akif Ersoy University WT - DergiPark SN - 2149-1658 SP - 1557 EP - 1581 VL - 8 IS - 3 LA - en AB - The aim of this study is to investigate which financial variables increases or decreases the risk of the bankruptcy of airlines during periods of crisis when there is a possibility of financial distress. In this study, financial variables that affect financial distress in airlines and the possibility of bankruptcy were analyzed. In the framework of the study, the financial data from 35 airlines were examined. We employed the Altman (1968) Z-score, Springate (1978) S-score and Zmijewski (1984) J-score financial distress prediction models. The findings indicate that in times of crisis, when the probability of financial distress and bankruptcy increases (such as with Covid-19), leverage level, asset structure, firm size, firm profitability and liquidity ratio have a significant effect on an airline’s probability of bankruptcy score. KW - Financial Risk KW - Airline Industry KW - Financial Distress Prediction Models N2 - Bu çalışmanın amacı, finansal sıkıntı olasılığının olduğu kriz dönemlerinde, havayollarının iflas riskini artıran veya azaltan finansal değişkenlerin araştırılmasıdır. Bu çalışmada, havayollarında finansal sıkıntıyı veya iflas olasılığını etkileyen finansal değişkenler incelenmiştir. Çalışma kapsamında 35 havayolunun finansal verileri incelenmiştir. Altman (1968) Z-skor, Springate (1978) S-skor ve Zmijewski (1984) J-skor finansal sıkıntı tahmin modellerinden yararlanılmıştır. Bulgular, kriz zamanlarında diğer bir ifadeyle finansal sıkıntı ve iflas olasılığının arttığı durumlarda (Covid-19 gibi), kaldıraç seviyesi, varlık yapısı, firma büyüklüğü, firma karlılığı ve likidite oranının havayolu finansal sıkıntı veya iflas olasılığını önemli ölçüde etkilediğini göstermektedir. CR - Abate, M., Christidis, P., & Purwanto, A. J. (2020). Government support to airlines in the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic. Journal of Air Transport Management, 89. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jairtraman.2020.101931 CR - Agustia, D., Muhammad, N. P. A., & Permatasari, Y. (2020). Earnings management, business strategy, and bankruptcy risk: evidence from Indonesia. Heliyon. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2020.e03317 CR - Alanis, E., & Quijano, M. (2019). Investment-cash flow sensitivity and the Bankruptcy Reform Act of 1978. North American Journal of Economics and Finance. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2018.08.004 CR - Albers, S., & Rundshagen, V. (2020). 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Journal of Accounting Research, 22, 59. https://doi.org/10.2307/2490859 UR - https://doi.org/10.30798/makuiibf.911548 L1 - https://dergipark.org.tr/en/download/article-file/1691822 ER -