TY - JOUR T1 - Do Agricultural Supports Affect Production? A Panel ARDL Analysis of Turkey AU - Bulut, Erdem AU - Bayraktar, Yüksel PY - 2023 DA - January Y2 - 2022 DO - 10.15832/ankutbd.988246 JF - Journal of Agricultural Sciences JO - J Agr Sci-Tarim Bili PB - Ankara University WT - DergiPark SN - 1300-7580 SP - 249 EP - 261 VL - 29 IS - 1 LA - en AB - One of the controversial issues in the trade negotiations carried out with the World Trade Organization deals with agricultural supports related to production, which is claimed to disrupt the market system by creating an imbalance in supply and demand in the domestic market and to cause world trade contraction. In this context, the aim of this study is to examine the production effect of the deficiency payments and land-based direct supports widely used in Turkey. The study conducts a panel autoregressive distributed lag analysis for 11 selected agricultural products (wheat, corn, sunflower, seed cotton, paddy, soybean, canola, safflower, tea, dried beans, and olives) for the 2002-2019 period. The findings from the study are as follows: i) Increases in deficiency payments and land-based direct supports increase short and long run production. However, land-based direct supports have less of an effect on production. ii) While increases in input prices have a negative short run effect on production, the long run effect is the opposite. iii) Agricultural product price is not an important indicator for producers. This finding can be explained by the fact that farmers accept agricultural supports as a complement to the price variable in their production decisions. iv) Increases in the minimum wage added to the model based on Turkey’s structural characteristics have a negative long run impact on production. v) No statistically significant relationship exists between the number of tractors used to represent agricultural mechanization and the amount of production. KW - Production effects of the agricultural supports KW - Decoupled payments KW - Deficiency payments KW - Land-based direct supports KW - Minimum wage CR - Adams G, Westhoff P, Willott B & Young II R E (2001). Do ‘Decoupled’ Payments Affect U.S. Crop Area? Preliminary Evidence from 1997-2000. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 83(5): 1190-1195 CR - Aktaş E, Altıok M & Songur M (2015). Farklı Ülkelerdeki Tarımsal Destekleme Politikalarının Tarımsal Üretim Üzerine Etkisinin Karşılaştırmalı Analizi. 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Tarımsal Destekleme Politikaları ve Doğrudan Gelir Desteği Sisteminin Değerlendirilmesi, DPT UR - https://doi.org/10.15832/ankutbd.988246 L1 - https://dergipark.org.tr/en/download/article-file/1946483 ER -