<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD JATS (Z39.96) Journal Publishing DTD v1.4 20241031//EN"
        "https://jats.nlm.nih.gov/publishing/1.4/JATS-journalpublishing1-4.dtd">
<article  article-type="research-article"        dtd-version="1.4">
            <front>

                <journal-meta>
                                    <journal-id></journal-id>
            <journal-title-group>
                                                                                    <journal-title>Ankara Hacı Bayram Veli Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi  Dergisi</journal-title>
            </journal-title-group>
                                        <issn pub-type="epub">2667-405X</issn>
                                                                                            <publisher>
                    <publisher-name>Ankara Hacı Bayram Veli University</publisher-name>
                </publisher>
                    </journal-meta>
                <article-meta>
                                        <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.26745/ahbvuibfd.1179683</article-id>
                                                                <article-categories>
                                            <subj-group  xml:lang="en">
                                                            <subject>Behaviour-Personality Assessment in Psychology</subject>
                                                    </subj-group>
                                            <subj-group  xml:lang="tr">
                                                            <subject>Psikolojide Davranış-Kişilik Değerlendirmesi</subject>
                                                    </subj-group>
                                    </article-categories>
                                                                                                                                                        <title-group>
                                                                                                                        <trans-title-group xml:lang="tr">
                                    <trans-title>Siyasi ve Ekonomik Gelişmelerin BİST Yatırımcı Kararlarına Etkisi: Türkiye’den Kanıtlar</trans-title>
                                </trans-title-group>
                                                                                                                                                                                                <article-title>The Impact of Political and Economic Developments on Stock Investors Decisions: Evidence from Turkey</article-title>
                                                                                                    </title-group>
            
                                                    <contrib-group content-type="authors">
                                                                        <contrib contrib-type="author">
                                                                    <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">
                                        https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2293-2808</contrib-id>
                                                                <name>
                                    <surname>Pilatin</surname>
                                    <given-names>Abdulmuttalip</given-names>
                                </name>
                                                                    <aff>Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Üniversitesi</aff>
                                                            </contrib>
                                                                                </contrib-group>
                        
                                        <pub-date pub-type="pub" iso-8601-date="20230918">
                    <day>09</day>
                    <month>18</month>
                    <year>2023</year>
                </pub-date>
                                        <volume>25</volume>
                                        <issue>2</issue>
                                        <fpage>511</fpage>
                                        <lpage>538</lpage>
                        
                        <history>
                                    <date date-type="received" iso-8601-date="20220924">
                        <day>09</day>
                        <month>24</month>
                        <year>2022</year>
                    </date>
                                                    <date date-type="accepted" iso-8601-date="20230824">
                        <day>08</day>
                        <month>24</month>
                        <year>2023</year>
                    </date>
                            </history>
                                        <permissions>
                    <copyright-statement>Copyright © 1999, Ankara Hacı Bayram Veli University Journal of the Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences</copyright-statement>
                    <copyright-year>1999</copyright-year>
                    <copyright-holder>Ankara Hacı Bayram Veli University Journal of the Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences</copyright-holder>
                </permissions>
            
                                                                                                <trans-abstract xml:lang="tr">
                            <p>Bu çalışmanın amacı siyasi ve ekonomik gelişmelerin BİST yatırımcılarının mevcut yatırım kararları üzerinde etkili olup olmadığını belirlemektir. Çalışma sonuçlarına göre, yatırım tavsiyesi, seçim ve başkanlık tartışmaları ile ekonomik ve siyasi açıklamalar değişkenlerinin yatırımcıların yatırım kararları üzerindeki etkisini ölçen H1, H2 ve H4 hipotezleri kabul edilirken öz yeterlilik, borsanın durumunu değişkenlerini ölçen H3, H5, hipotezleri reddedilmiştir. Yatırımcıların hisse senedi yatırımları üzerinde bu üç değişkenin anlamlı bir etkisinin olduğu sonucuna ulaşılmıştır. Bu üç değişkenden yatırımcıların yatırım kararlarını en fazla etkileyen ekonomik ve siyasi açıklamalar (0,432) değişkeni olmuş ardından seçim ve başkanlık tartışmalarının (0,226) üçüncü olarak ise yatırım tavsiyelerinin (0.130) olduğu anlaşılmıştır.</p></trans-abstract>
                                                                                                                                    <abstract><p>The aim of this study is to determine whether political and economic developments have an effect on the current investment decisions of BIST investors. According to the results of the study, H1, H2 and H4 hypotheses, which measure the effect of investment advice, election and presidential debates, and economic and political explanations on investors&#039; investment decisions, were accepted, while H3, H5, hypotheses that measure the variables of self-efficacy and the state of the stock market were rejected. Among these three variables, it was seen that the economic and political explanations (0.432) affected the investment decisions of the investors the most, followed by the election and presidential debates (0.226). It was understood that investment recommendations affected the third place (0.130).</p></abstract>
                                                            
            
                                                                                        <kwd-group>
                                                    <kwd>Investor</kwd>
                                                    <kwd>  Stock Exchange</kwd>
                                                    <kwd>  Behavioral Finance</kwd>
                                                    <kwd>  Elections</kwd>
                                                    <kwd>  Politic</kwd>
                                            </kwd-group>
                            
                                                <kwd-group xml:lang="tr">
                                                    <kwd>Yatırımcı</kwd>
                                                    <kwd>  Borsa</kwd>
                                                    <kwd>  Davranışsal Finans</kwd>
                                                    <kwd>  Seçimler</kwd>
                                                    <kwd>  Siyasi</kwd>
                                            </kwd-group>
                                                                                                                                        </article-meta>
    </front>
    <back>
                            <ref-list>
                                    <ref id="ref1">
                        <label>1</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Aren, S. (2018), Davranışsal Finansa Kurumsal Bakış. Eskişehir Osmangazi Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 13(3), 141-160.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref2">
                        <label>2</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Altunışık, R., Coşkun, R., Bayraktaroğlu, S. and Yıldırım, E. (2005), Sosyal bilimlerde araştırma yöntemleri: SPSS uygulamalı, 4. Baskı. İstanbul: Sakarya Yayıncılık.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref3">
                        <label>3</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Asteriou, D. and Siriopoulos, C. (2000), The role of political instability in stock market development and economic growth: The case of Greece. Economic Notes,  29(3), 355-374.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref4">
                        <label>4</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Baeckström, Y., Marsh, I. W., and Silvester, J. (2021), Variations in investment advice provision),A study of financial advisors of millionaire investors. Journal of Economic Behavior &amp; Organization, 188, 716-735.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref5">
                        <label>5</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Bagozzi, R. and Yi, Y. (1988), On the Evaluation of Structural Equation Models. Journal of the Academy of Marketing Sciences, 16, 74-94. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF02723327</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref6">
                        <label>6</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Białkowski J, Gottschalk K, Wisniewski TP. (2008), Stock market volatility around national elections. Journal of Banking &amp; Finance,  32(9), 1941-53.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref7">
                        <label>7</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Białkowski, G. and Wisniewski, P. (2008), Stock Market Volatility Around National Elections. Journal of Banking &amp; Finance,  32(9), 1941-1953.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref8">
                        <label>8</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Birz, G. (2017), Stale Economic News, Media and the Stock Market. Journal of Economic Psychology,  61, 87–102 http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2136291</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref9">
                        <label>9</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Birz, G., and Lott Jr, J. R. (2011), The effect of macroeconomic news on stock returns),New evidence from newspaper coverage. Journal of Banking &amp; Finance,  35(11), 2791-2800.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref10">
                        <label>10</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Brenner, L., and Meyll, T. (2020), Robo-advisors),A substitute for human financial advice?. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 25, 100275.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref11">
                        <label>11</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Chalmers, J., and Reuter, J. (2020), Is conflicted investment advice better than no advice?. Journal of Financial Economics, 138(2), 366-387.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref12">
                        <label>12</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Chia, R., and Jiun, C. (2018), The effect of political elections on stock market volatility in Malaysia. International Journal of Engineering &amp; Technology, 7(3), 114-119.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref13">
                        <label>13</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Colón-De-Armas, C., Rodriguez, J., and Romero, H. (2017), Investor sentiment and US presidential elections. Review of Behavioral Finance.  9(3),  227-241 DOI 10.1108/RBF-02-2016-0003
De Bondt, W., Mayoral, R. M., and Vallelado, E. (2013), Behavioral decision-making in finance),An overview and assessment of selected research. Spanish Journal of Finance and Accounting/Revista Española de Financiación y Contabilidad,  42(157), 99-118 (10.1080/02102412.2013.10779742)</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref14">
                        <label>14</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Doll, W., Xia, W. and Torkzadeh, G. (1994), A confirmatory factor analysis of the end-user computing satisfaction instrument. MIS Quarterly,  18(4), 453-461.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref15">
                        <label>15</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Döpke, J., and Pierdzioch, C. (2006), Politics and The Stock Market),Evidence from Germany. European Journal of Political Economy,  22(4), 925-943.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref16">
                        <label>16</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Ergör, Z. B. (2017), Yatırımcı Davranışları ve Karar Vermede Çerçeveleme Etkisi), Türkiye’de Yaşayan Karar Vericiler Üzerine Bir Çalışma. Bankacılık ve Sigortacılık Araştırmaları Dergisi,  2(11), 8-20.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref17">
                        <label>17</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Eser, R. and Toıgonbaeva, D. (2011), Psikoloji ve İktisadın Birleşimi Olarak, Davranışsal İktisat. Eskişehir Osmangazi Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi,  6(1), 287-321.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref18">
                        <label>18</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Fama, E. F. (1970), Efficient capital markets: A review of theory and empirical work. The journal of Finance,  25(2), 383-417.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref19">
                        <label>19</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Fang, Y., Yuan, J., Yang, J. J., and Ying, S. (2022), Crash-based quantitative trading strategies. Perspective of behavioral finance. Finance Research Letters,  45, 102185.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref20">
                        <label>20</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Flores, S. A. M., and Vieira, K. M. (2014), Propensity toward indebtedness),An analysis using behavioral factors. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 3, 1-10.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref21">
                        <label>21</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Fornell, C. and Larcker, D. F. (1981), Evaluating structural equation models with unobservable variables and measurement error. Journal of Marketing Research,  18(1), 39-50.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref22">
                        <label>22</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Gartner, M. W, and Wellershoff, K. W. (1995), Is there an election cycle in american stock returns? International Review of Economics &amp; Finance,  4(4), 387-410.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref23">
                        <label>23</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Gültekin, M., &amp; Umutlu, M. (2016), Çesitli yatirimci gruplarının hisse senedi net alım işlem hacimleri ve pazar getirisi arasindaki etkileşim (Interaction between Equity Trading of Various Investor Types and Market Return). Ege Academic Review, 16(3), 451-460.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref24">
                        <label>24</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Gürbüz, S., and Şahin, F. (2017), Sosyal bilimlerde araştırma yöntemleri. Ankara: Seçkin Yayıncılık.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref25">
                        <label>25</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Hair, Jr, J. F., Black, W. C., Babin, B. J., and Anderson, R. E. (2010). Multivariate data analysis. 7. Baskı. Prentice Hall.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref26">
                        <label>26</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Hlobil, T. M., and Van Leuvensteijn, M. (2020), Combining investment advice and asset management. Economics Letters, 197, 109627.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref27">
                        <label>27</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Hopland, A. O., Matsen, E., and Strøm, B. (2016), Income and choice under risk. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 12, 55-64.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref28">
                        <label>28</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Igbaria, M., Guimaraes, T., and Davis, G. B. (1995), Testing the determinants of microcomputer usage via a structural equation model. Journal of management information systems,  11(4), 87-114.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref29">
                        <label>29</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Jiun, R.C.C. (2018), The Effect of Political Elections on Stock Market Volatility in Malaysia. International Journal of Engineering &amp; Technology,  7(3), 114-119.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref30">
                        <label>30</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Kahneman, D. (2011), Hızlı ve Yavaş Düşünme, O.Ç. Deniztekin &amp; F.N. Deniztekin (Çev.), 7. Baskı, İstanbul: Varlık Yayınları.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref31">
                        <label>31</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Kahneman, D., and Tversky, A. (1979), Prospect theory),An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrical Journal of the Econometric Society,  47(2), 263-291.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref32">
                        <label>32</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Kahneman, D., and Tversky, A. (2013), Choices, values, and frames. In Handbook of the fundamentals of financial decision making: Part I (pp. 269-278).</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref33">
                        <label>33</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Kostopoulos, D., Meyer, S., and Uhr, C. (2022), Ambiguity about volatility and investor behavior. Journal of Financial Economics, 145(1), 277-296.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref34">
                        <label>34</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Kumari, J., and Mahakud, J. (2015), Does investor sentiment predict the asset volatility? Evidence from emerging stock market India. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 8, 25-39.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref35">
                        <label>35</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Lean, H. (2010), Political general election ad stock performance),The Malaysian evidence. Research in Mathematics and Economics Penang: Universiti Sains Malaysia, 111:120.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref36">
                        <label>36</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Li, K. (2018), Reaction to news in the Chinese stock market: A study on Xiong’an New Area Strategy. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance,  19, 36-38.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref37">
                        <label>37</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Lobo, B. J. (1999), Jump risk in the US stock market: Evidence using political information. Review of Financial Economics,  8(2), 149-63.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref38">
                        <label>38</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Medovikov, I. (2016), When does the stock market listen to economic news? New evidence from copulas and news wires. Journal of Banking &amp; Finance, 65(C), 27-40.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref39">
                        <label>39</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Mishra P. and Datta, B. (2011), Perpetual asset management of customer-based brand equity-ThePAM evaluator. Current Research Journal of Social Science,  3(1), 34-43.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref40">
                        <label>40</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Nippani, S., and Arize, A. C. (2005), US presidential election impact on Canadian and Mexican stock markets. Journal of Economics and Finance,  29(2), 271-9.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref41">
                        <label>41</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Pástor, Ľ., and Veronesi, P. (2013), Political uncertainty and risk premia. Journal of financial Economics,  110(3), 520-545.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref42">
                        <label>42</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Phan, T. N. T., Bertrand, P., Phan, H. H., and Vo, X. V. (2021), The role of investor behavior in emerging stock markets: Evidence from Vietnam. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref43">
                        <label>43</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Pilatin, A. (2019), Behavioural Finance and Anomalies: A Theoretical Framework. Selected Writings on Financial and Economical Behaviours in the New Economy, (Ed. S.E. Pelenk),  29-44.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref44">
                        <label>44</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Pilatin, A. (2022), In the context of behavioral finance, do investor characteristics affect stock holding period?. KAÜİİBFD, 13(25), 244-266.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref45">
                        <label>45</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Reiter-Gavish, L., Qadan, M., and Yagil, J. (2021), Financial advice: Who Exactly Follows It?. Research in Economics, 75(3), 244-258.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref46">
                        <label>46</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Schmid, A. A. (2004), Conflict and Cooperation),Institutional and Behavioral Economics, 1. Baskı, UK: Blackwell Publishing.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref47">
                        <label>47</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Sipahi, B., Yurtkoru, E. S., and Cinko, M. (2008), Sosyal Bilimlerde SPSS’le Veri Analizi., 2. Baskı, İstanbul: Beta Yayınevi.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref48">
                        <label>48</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Suchanek, M. (2021), The dark triad and investment behavior. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 29, 100457.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref49">
                        <label>49</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Tabachnick, BG., Fidell, LS. and Ullman, JB. (2007), Using multivariate statistics, Boston, MA: Pearson.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref50">
                        <label>50</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Thaler, R. (1999), Mental Accounting Matters. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 12(3), 183-206.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref51">
                        <label>51</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Torun, T., and İlgün, M. F. (2018), Finansal gelişme üzerinde politik faktörlerin etkisi),Az gelişmiş ve gelişmekte olan ülkelere yönelik bir analiz. Eskişehir Osmangazi Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi,  13(3), 181-204.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref52">
                        <label>52</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Voghouei, H. Azali, M. and Law, S.H. (2011), Does The Political Institution Matter for Financial Development?. Economic Papers: A Journal of Applied Economics and Policy,  30(1), 77-98.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref53">
                        <label>53</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Wang Y-H, and Lin C-T. (2009), The political uncertainty and stock market behavior in emerging democracy: the case of Taiwan. Quality &amp; Quantity,  43(2), 237-48.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref54">
                        <label>54</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Wong W-K., and McAleer, M. (2009), Mapping the Presidential Election Cycle in US stock markets. Mathematics and Computers in Simulation,  79(11), 3267-77.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref55">
                        <label>55</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Yalçıner, K., Atan, M., &amp; Boztosun, D. (2005), Finansal oranlarla hisse senedi getirileri arasındaki ilişki. Muhasebe ve Finansman Dergisi, 27, 176-187.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref56">
                        <label>56</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Yılmaz, Y., and Elmas, B. (2019), Politik Seçim Tarihleri Etrafında Anormal Getiri Hareketleri),Borsa İstanbul Örneği. Ekev Akademi Dergisi, 23(80), 569-581.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref57">
                        <label>57</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Youssef, M., and Mokni, K. (2018), On the effect of herding behavior on dependence structure between stock markets: Evidence from GCC countries. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 20, 52-63.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref58">
                        <label>58</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Yurttadur, M., and Ozcelik, H. (2019), Evaluation of the financial investment preferences of individual investors from behavioral finance: The case of Istanbul. Procedia Computer Science, 158, 761-765.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                            </ref-list>
                    </back>
    </article>
