Türkiye'de Bireylerin Sigara Tüketim Olasılığını Belirleyen Faktörlerin Analizi: Rasgele-Etki Sıralı Probit Modeli

Year 2023, Volume: 12 Issue: 2, 239 - 250, 31.12.2023

Faruk Urak

https://doi.org/10.29278/azd.1362360

Abstract

Amaç: Bu çalışma, ailelerin veya aile bireylerinin sosyo-demografik ve ekonomik özellikleri ile sigara tüketme olasılığı arasındaki ilişkiyi anlamayı amaçlamıştır.
Materyal ve Yöntem: Analizde, Türkiye İstatistik Kurumu (TÜİK) tarafından oluşturulan 2019 Türkiye Sağlık Araştırmasından (TSA) elde edilen 8166 hane ve 17000 bireyin verisi kullanılmıştır. Öncelikle ailelerin veya bireylerin sigara içmelerini etkileyen faktörler belirlenmiş, daha sonra bu faktörlerin marjinal etkileri rasgele-etki sıralı probit modeli kullanılarak hesaplanmış ve yorumlanmıştır.
Araştırma Bulguları: Araştırmada aile üyeleri veya ailelerden, düşük eğitime sahip olanların, erkeklerin, fiziksel güç gerektiren mesleklerde çalışanların ile orta ve yüksek gelire sahip olanların sigara tüketimine daha fazla yatkın oldukları tespit edilmiştir. Günlük yürüyüş pratiği, sigara tüketimini sınırlamaya yönelik olumlu bir etki taşımakla birlikte, günde bir veya daha fazla paket sigara tüketme olasılığını 2.83 puan düşürme eğilimi sergilemektedir.
Sonuç: Karar vericiler, tüm paydaşlarla işbirliği içinde, ekonomik seviyeleri, eğitim düzeyleri, coğrafi bölgeler ve sosyoekonomik durumları fark etmeksizin tüm bireyleri hedefleyen özel bir sigara kontrolü stratejisi oluşturabilirler.

Keywords

Hane halkı, birey, kohort, rasgele-etki sıralı probit modeli, sigara içmek

Ethical Statement

Makalede etik kurul izini ve/veya yasal/özel izin alınması gerekmemektedir.

Supporting Institution

Yok

Project Number

Yok

Analysis of Factors Influencing Individuals' Probability of Smoking in Turkey: A Random-Effects Ordered Probit Model

Abstract

Objective: This study aims to understand the relationship between the socio-demographic and economic characteristics of families or family members and the likelihood of smoking.
Material and Method: In this analysis, data from the 2019 Turkey Health Survey (THS) conducted by the Turkish Statistical Institute (TUIK) were utilized, encompassing information from 8,166 households and 17,000 individuals. Initially, the determinants affecting the smoking behavior of families or individuals were identified. Subsequently, these factors' marginal effects were computed and explicated utilizing a random-effects ordered probit model.
Results: The research identified that family members or families with lower education levels, males, those engaged in physically demanding occupations, and individuals with medium to high incomes are more inclined towards smoking. Daily walking practice carries a positive impact on limiting smoking habits, with a tendency to reduce the likelihood of consuming one or more packs of cigarettes by 2.83 points.
Conclusion: Decision-makers can collaborate with all stakeholders to create a specialized tobacco control strategy that targets all individuals, regardless of their economic levels, educational backgrounds, geographic regions, and socioeconomic statuses.

Keywords

Cohort, households, individuals, ordered probit model, random-effects, smoking

Project Number

Yok

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