Doğuş Üniversitesi Dergisi 1308-6979 Dogus University TİCARİ DIŞA AÇIKLIK VE ENERJİ TÜKETİMİ ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİ: TÜRKİYE EKONOMİSİ İÇİN BİR ZAMAN SERİSİ ANALİZİ THE LINK BETWEEN TRADE OPENNESS AND ENERGY CONSUMPTION: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS FOR TURKISH ECONOMY Çetin Murat Tekirdağ Namık Kemal Üniversitesi, İktisadî ve İdarî Bilimler Fakültesi, İktisat Bölümü Çınar Uğur Tekirdağ Namık Kemal Üniversitesi, Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, İktisat Ana Bilim Dalı 01 01 2021 22 1 57 74 Copyright © 2000, Dogus University Journal 2000 Dogus University Journal

Bu çalışmanın temel amacı, Türkiye ekonomisinde ticari dışa açıklık ve enerji tüketimi arasındaki ilişkiyi ampirik olarak analiz etmektir. Çalışma 1975-2015 dönemine ilişkin zaman serisi verilerini kullanarak ekonomik büyüme, finansal gelişme, sermaye ve endüstrileşmeyi enerji tüketimi fonksiyonlarına dâhil etmektedir. Seriler arasındaki eş bütünleşmeyi araştırabilmek için ARDL sınır testi tercih edilmektedir. Seriler arasındaki nedensellik ilişkilerinin belirlenmesinde Toda-Yamamoto nedensellik testi uygulanmaktadır. Değişkenler arasında bir uzun dönem ilişkisi söz konusudur. Ampirik sonuçlar, her üç modelde ticari dışa açıklık ile enerji tüketimi arasında uzun dönemli pozitif bir ilişkisinin varlığını tespit etmektedir. Ampirik sonuçlar, aynı zamanda ticari dışa açıklığın enerji tüketimine neden olduğunu göstermektedir. Çalışmadan elde edilen sonuçlar, enerji politikaları ile ilgili önemli öneriler sunabilecektir.

The main aim of this study is to empirically analyze the link between trade openness and energy consumption in Turkish economy. The study integrates economic growth, financial development, capital and industrialization into the energy consumption functions by using the time series data from 1975 to 2015. The ARDL bounds test is preferred to investigate the cointegration between the series. The TodaYamamoto causality test is applied to determine the causal linkages between the series. There exists a long-run relationship between the variables. The empirical results determine the presence of a long-run positive relationship between trade openness and energy consumption in all three models. The empirical results also determine that trade openness causes energy consumption. The empirical findings will present important suggestions related to energy policies

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