TÜRİYE’DE SANAYİLEME VE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME ARASINDAKİ NEDENSEL İLİŞKİ

Yıl 2004, Cilt: 5 Sayı: 2, 219 - 226, 01.07.2004

Harun Terzi Sabiha Oltulular

Öz

Bu çalışmada ekonometrik modeller kullanılarak Türkiye'de ekonomik büyüme ve sanayileşme arasındaki nedensellik ilişkisi analiz edilmiştir. Birim kök, basit nedensellik, koentegrasyon ve hata düzeltme yöntemleri kullanılarak değişkenler arasındaki nedensellik ilişkisi ve nedenselliğin yönü belirlenmiştir. Ekonometrik testler, ekonomik büyüme ile sanayileşme arasında pozitif ve çift yönlü bir nedensellik olduğunu göstermektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Ekonomik Büyüme, Sanayileşme, Nedensellik ve Koentegrasyon

CAUSAL RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN INDUSTRIALIZATION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN TURKEY

Öz

In this study, econometric models are utilized to analyze the causal relationship between economic growth and industrial growth for Turkey. Unit root, standard Granger causality, cointegration and error correction methods are being employed to determine the direction of causality for the variables. Econometric tests indicate that there is bi-directional causality between economic growth and industrial growth

Anahtar Kelimeler

Economic growth, industrialization, causality and cointegration

Kaynakça

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