A Study on The Projection of Coal-Fired Thermal Power Plants

Year 2023, Volume: 10 Issue: 3, 554 - 570, 30.09.2023

Nagihan Ersoy , Nuri Bingöl , İsmail Ekmekci

https://doi.org/10.31202/ecjse.1271128

Abstract

In this study, the main countries with high coal-fired power plant installation capacity and Türkiye, which are among the first in the world in electricity production in this field, and Türkiye are discussed, and parameters such as the installed power and capacity developments of the coal-fired power plants in these countries, electrical energy production values and CO2 emissions from fossil fuels have been evaluated over the years. Emissions from fossil fuels have been evaluated over the years. In this study, predictions about the future of coal-fired power plants were tried to be made by making projection studies. Analysis results are indicated and interpreted with figures and tables. When projections are made according to the current situation, it is predicted that in 2030 and 2050, China will be the first in coal-fired power plant installed power development and electricity production, and accordingly in CO2 emissions from fossil fuels. In addition, the capacity utilization rates, which are an important parameter regarding the efficient operation of coal-fired thermal power plants and their age, have been determined for certain countries over the years. In this study, the country with the highest capacity ratio, with a capacity ratio of around 90%, was determined as Japan. Today, in connection with the re-emergence of coal with the emergence of the energy crisis, energy production planning, and projection studies gain strategic importance for each country. In the literature, country-based projection studies for coal-fired power plants are insufficient and limited. Comprehensive projection study in this area contributes to the studies in the literature.

Keywords

Coal-fired thermal power plant, energy, fossil fuel, electricity generation, projection, capacity utilization

References

• [1]. International Energy Agency (IEA), “IEA statistics: World energy balances overview”, http://www.iea.org/statistics, (Accessed Jan. 10, 2022).
• [2]. H. J. Chang, and A. Andreoni, “Industrial policy in the 21st century,” Development and Change, pp. 324-351, 2020.
• [3]. Turkish Statistical Institute, https:// www.tuik.gov.tr/Kurumsal/Istatistik Ofisleri , (Accessed Jan. 10, 2021). [4]. M. Balat, “Coal in the global energy scene. Energy Sources, Part B: Economics, Planning, and Policy”, 2009, pp. 50-62.
• [5]. S. Roy, Y. F. Lam, J. C. Chan, N. T. Hung, and J. S. Fu, “Evaluation of Vietnam air emissions and the impacts of revised power development plan (PDP7 rev) on spatial changes in the thermal power sector,” Atmospheric Pollution Research, 101454, 2022.
• [6]. X. Du, X. Jin, N. Zucker, R. Kennedy, and J. Urpelainen, “Transboundary air pollution from coal-fired power generation,” Journal of Environmental Management, 270, 110862, 2020.
• [7]. B. Kichonge, G. R. John, and I. S. Mkilaha, “Modelling energy supply options for electricity generations in Tanzania,” Journal of Energy in Southern Africa, pp. 41-57, 2015.
• [8]. A. Koç, H. Yağlı, Y. Koç, and İ. Uğurlu, “Dünyada ve Türkiye’de enerji görünümünün genel değerlendirilmesi,” Mühendis ve Makina, pp. 86-114, 2018.
• [9]. F. Aydın, “Enerji tüketimi ve ekonomik büyüme,” Erciyes Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, pp. 317-340, 2010.
• [10]. M. Balat, H. Balat, and N. Acici, “Thermal-electricity power plants in Turkey,” Energy Exploration and Exploitation, pp.367-376, 2004.
• [11]. Türkiye Elektrik İletim Anonim Şirketi Raporları, https://www.teias.gov.tr (Accessed Mar. 10, 2022).
• [12]. Carbonbrief, http:// www.carbonbrief.org (Accessed Jan. 10, 2022).