CONTAGION OF VIOLENCE OVERSEAS: THE MEDITERRANEAN BASIN

Year 2018, Volume: 9 Issue: 1, 83 - 98, 31.01.2018

Senem Ertan Murat Bayar

https://doi.org/10.18354/esam.332591

Abstract

The literature indicates that violent conflicts tend to spread across bordering countries via rebel/terrorist networks and refugees. However, this effect has not been tested for “overseas neighbours” that share the same basin. Focusing on the Mediterranean Basin, this study investigates the impact of civil and interstate conflicts in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) on terrorist attacks in Southern European countries. The findings indicate that MENA conflicts increase violence in Southern Europe, whereas this effect does not exist in other European countries. This study contributes to the literature by establishing a theoretical and empirical link for overseas contagion effect. 

Keywords

terrorism, immigrant, refugee, Middle East, North Africa, Mediterranean

ŞİDDETİN DENİZAŞIRI YAYILIMI: AKDENİZ HAVZASI

Abstract

Literatür, şiddetli çatışmaların sınırdaki ülkeler arasında isyancı / terörist ağlar ve mülteciler yoluyla yayılma eğiliminde olduğunu göstermektedir. Buna rağmen, bu etki aynı havzayı paylaşan "deniz aşırı komşular" için test edilmemiştir. Akdeniz Havzasına odaklanan bu çalışma, Ortadoğu ve Kuzey Afrika'daki (MENA) sivil ve devletlerarası çatışmaların, Güney Avrupa ülkelerindeki terörist saldırılar üzerindeki etkilerini araştırıyor. Bu çalışmanın bulguları Ortadoğu ve Kuzey Afrika’daki çatışmalarının Güney Avrupa'daki şiddeti arttırdığını gösteriyor ancak bu etki diğer Avrupa ülkelerinde bulunmamaktadır. Bu çalışma, çatışmaların denizaşırı sirayet etkisinin bağlantısını hem teorik hem de ampirik bir bağ kurarak literatüre katkıda bulunmaktadır.

Keywords

Terrörizm, göçmen, mülteci, Akdeniz, Orta Doğu, Kuzey Afrika, Avrupa

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