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Tamamlayıcı Rekabetçilik: Yapay Zekâ Çağında Teknolojik İşsizlik Problemi ve Bir İstihdam Politikası Önerisi

Year 2024, Issue: 19, 59 - 78, 31.05.2024
https://doi.org/10.29157/etusbed.1390993

Abstract

Teknolojik işsizlik, Sanayi Devrimi'nden bu yana tartışılagelen bir konu olmuştur. Son yıllarda bu sorun makine öğrenmesi ve yapay zekâ teknolojilerindeki hızlı ilerlemelerle tekrar gündeme gelmiştir. Fakat, Sanayi Devrimi döneminin aksine, günümüzdeki yapay zekâ kaynaklı işsizlik olgusu farklıdır. Sanayi Devrimi dönemindeki işsizlik, temel ve basit işlerin otomasyonundan kaynaklanıyordu. Fakat, daha önceleri makinelerin becerebileceğinden çok daha karmaşık olan işleri dahi otomatikleştiren yapay zekâ teknolojisiyle birlikte teknolojik işsizlik olgusu daha da karmaşıklaşmıştır. Bu durum, yapay zekâ destekli makinelerin yeni durumlarda öğrenme ve uyum sağlama yeteneğinden kaynaklanmaktadır. Sonuç olarak, bu yeni gelişmeler ışığında, son yüzyılda uygulananlardan farklı bir istihdam politikası ihtiyacı doğmaktadır. Bu çalışmada, "Tamamlayıcı Rekabetçilik" olarak adlandırılan yeni bir politika önerisi geliştirilmiştir. Bu öneri, yapay zekayı sadece olumlu veya olumsuz olarak basit bir şekilde kategorize etmekten kaçınan bir yaklaşım benimsemektedir. Bunun yerine, sektörler arasındaki farklılıklar göz önüne alınırken, firmaların yapay zekâ tercihlerini de dikkate alan ve teknolojik ilerlemeyi destekleyici bir yaklaşım benimsenmiştir. Bu yaklaşım, literatürde sıkça görüldüğü gibi meslekleri ve yetenekleri gerekliliği veya gereksizliği şeklinde sınıflandırmanın ötesine geçerek istihdam politikalarını yapay zekâ çağının evrilen ihtiyaçlarıyla uyumlu hale getirmeyi amaçlar

References

  • Acemoglu, D., & Restrepo, P. (2018). Artificial intelligence, automation, and work. In The economics of artificial intelligence: An agenda (pp. 197-236). University of Chicago Press.
  • Acemoglu, D., & Restrepo, P. (2020). Robots and jobs: Evidence from US labor markets. Journal of political economy, 128(6), 2188-2244.
  • Aghion, P., Antonin, C., & Bunel, S. (2019). Artificial intelligence, growth and employment: The role of policy. Economie et Statistique/Economics and Statistics, (510-511-512), 150-164.
  • Alhaddad, M. M. (2018). Artificial intelligence in banking industry: A review on fraud detection, credit management, and document processing. ResearchBerg Review of Science and Technology, 2(3), 25-46.
  • Atkinson, R. D. (2018). Testimony of Robert D. Atkinson President Information Technology and Innovation Foundation.
  • Autor, D. (2015). Why are there still so many jobs? The history and future of workplace automation. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 29(3), 3-30.
  • Autor, D., Dorn, D., Katz, L. F., Patterson, C., & Van Reenen, J. (2020). The fall of the labor share and the rise of superstar firms. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 135(2), 645-709.
  • Bao, Y., Hilary, G., & Ke, B. (2022). Artificial intelligence and fraud detection. Innovative Technology at the Interface of Finance and Operations: Volume I, 223-247.
  • Brynjolfsson, E., & McAfee, A. (2014). The second machine age: Work, progress, and prosperity in a time of brilliant technologies. WW Norton & Company.
  • Bughin, J., Hazan, E., Lund, S., Dahlström, P., Wiesinger, A., & Subramaniam, A. (2018). Skill shift: Automation and the future of the workforce. McKinsey Global Institute, 1, 3-84.
  • Bush, P. D. (1983). An exploration of the structural characteristics of a Veblen-Ayres-Foster defined institutional domain. Journal of Economic Issues, 17(1), 35-66.
  • Campa, R. (2017). Technological unemployment: A brief history of an idea. ISA eSymposium for Sociology, 7(1).
  • Choi, D., & Lee, K. (2018). An artificial intelligence approach to financial fraud detection under IoT environment: A survey and implementation. Security and Communication Networks, 2018.
  • Colander, D. (1996). New institutionalism, old institutionalism, and distribution theory. Journal of Economic Issues, 30(2), 433-442.
  • Danaher, J. (2017). Will life be worth living in a world without work? Technological unemployment and the meaning of life. Science and engineering ethics, 23(1), 41-64.
  • Dauth, W., Findeisen, S., Südekum, J., & Woessner, N. (2017). German robots-the impact of industrial robots on workers.
  • Ekelund Jr, R. B., & Hébert Jr, R. F. (2002). Retrospectives: The origins of neoclassical microeconomics. Journal of economic perspectives, 16(3), 197-215.
  • Feldmann, H. (2013). Technological unemployment in industrial countries. Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 23, 1099-1126.
  • Fiorelli, F. (2018). Technological unemployment as frictional unemployment: From Luddite to routine-biased technological change. Kybernetes, 47(2), 333-342.
  • Forstater, M., & Murray, M. J. (2009). Circular and cumulative causation in the classics: anticipations, family resemblances, and the influence on Post Keynesian economics. In The Foundations of Non-Equilibrium Economics (pp. 168-185). Routledge.
  • Frey, C. B., & Osborne, M. A. (2017). The future of employment: How susceptible are jobs to computerisation?. Technological forecasting and social change, 114, 254-280.
  • Georgieff, A., & Hyee, R. (2021). Artificial intelligence and employment: New cross-country evidence.
  • Gera, I., & Singh, S. (2019). A critique of economic literature on technology and fourth industrial revolution: Employment and the nature of jobs. The Indian Journal of Labour Economics, 62(4), 715-729.
  • Goyal, A., & Aneja, R. (2020). Artificial intelligence and income inequality: Do technological changes and worker's position matter?. Journal of Public Affairs, 20(4), e2326.
  • Hamaguchi, N., & Kondo, K. (2018). Regional employment and artificial intelligence in Japan. RIETI.
  • Henry, J. F. (2008). The ideology of the laissez faire program. Journal of Economic Issues, 42(1), 209-224.
  • Hodgson, G. M. (2007). The revival of Veblenian institutional economics. Journal of economic issues, 41(2), 324-340.
  • Hollander, S. (2019). Retrospectives Ricardo on Machinery. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 33(2), 229-242.
  • Huang, X., Wu, X., & Usmani, A. (2022). Perspectives of using artificial intelligence in building fire safety. In Handbook of Cognitive and Autonomous Systems for Fire Resilient Infrastructures (pp. 139-159). Cham: Springer International Publishing.
  • Jackson, W. A. (2015). Distributive justice with and without culture. Journal of Cultural Economy, 8(6), 673-688.
  • Jimenez, Perilla J. R. (2019). Mainstream and evolutionary views of technology, economic growth and catching up. Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 29(3), 823-852.
  • Karabarbounis, L., & Neiman, B. (2014). The global decline of the labor share. The Quarterly journal of economics, 129(1), 61-103.
  • Keefer, P., & Knack, S. (2005). Social capital, social norms and the new institutional economics. In Handbook of new institutional economics (pp. 701-725). Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer Berlin Heidelberg.
  • Keynes, J. M. (1930). Economic possibilities for our grandchildren. In Essays in persuasion (pp. 321-332). London: Palgrave Macmillan UK.
  • Lacasa, I. D. (2014). Ceremonial Encapsulation and the Diffusion of Renewable Energy Technology in Germany. Journal of Economic Issues, 48(4), 1073-1093.
  • Leontief, W. (1979). Is technological unemployment inevitable?. Challenge, 22(4), 48-50.
  • Martens, B., & Tolan, S. (2018). Will this time be different? A review of the literature on the Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Employment, Incomes and Growth.
  • Milchram, C., Märker, C., & Hake, J. F. (2019). The role of values in analyzing energy systems: Insights from moral philosophy, institutional economics, and sociology. Energy Procedia, 158, 3741-3747.
  • Millard, N. J. (2017). Botman vs. Superagent: Man vs. machine in the future of customer experience.
  • Mutascu, M. (2021). Artificial intelligence and unemployment: New insights. Economic Analysis and Policy, 69, 653-667.
  • Neisser, H. P. (1942). Permanent" Technological Unemployment:" Demand for Commodities Is Not Demand for Labor. The American Economic Review, 32(1), 50-71.
  • Noor, A., Saeed, M. A., Ullah, T., Uddin, Z., & Ullah Khan, R. M. W. (2022). A review of artificial intelligence applications in apparel industry. The Journal of The Textile Institute, 113(3), 505-514.
  • Pol, E., & Reveley, J. (2017). Robot induced technological unemployment: Towards a youth-focused coping strategy. Psychosociological Issues in Human Resource Management, 5(2), 169-186.
  • Raj, S. B. E., & Portia, A. A. (2011, March). Analysis on credit card fraud detection methods. In 2011 International Conference on Computer, Communication and Electrical Technology (ICCCET) (pp. 152-156). IEEE.
  • Rifkin, J. (1995). The End of work (p. 400). North Hollywood, CA, USA: Pacifica Radio Archives.
  • Ryman-Tubb, N. F., Krause, P., & Garn, W. (2018). How Artificial Intelligence and machine learning research impacts payment card fraud detection: A survey and industry benchmark. Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence, 76, 130-157.
  • Schumpeter, J. A. (2013). Capitalism, socialism and democracy. routledge.
  • Shen, J., Zhang, C. J., Jiang, B., Chen, J., Song, J., Liu, Z., ... & Ming, W. K. (2019). Artificial intelligence versus clinicians in disease diagnosis: systematic review. JMIR medical informatics, 7(3), e10010.
  • Smith, A. (1991). An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations. Great Minds Series. Prometheus Books. ISBN ‏ : ‎ 0879757051
  • Stöllinger, R. (2018). The Luddite Rebellion: Past and Present. wiiw Monthly Report, 11, 6-11.
  • Thomassey, S., Zeng, X. (2018). Introduction: Artificial Intelligence for Fashion Industry in the Big Data Era. In: Thomassey, S., Zeng, X. (eds) Artificial Intelligence for Fashion Industry in the Big Data Era. Springer Series in Fashion Business. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-0080-6_1
  • TurkStat, Turkish Statistical Institute (2022). Girişimlerde Bilişim Teknolojileri Kullanım Araştırması Mikro Veri Seti / Publication Number: 4674 ISBN 978-625-8368-18-5
  • Vatn, A. (2005). Rationality, institutions and environmental policy. Ecological economics, 55(2), 203-217.
  • Waller Jr, W. T. (1987). Ceremonial encapsulation and corporate cultural hegemony. Journal of Economic Issues, 21(1), 321-328.
  • WEF, World Economic Forum (2018). The Future of Jobs Report 2018. Geneva. ISBN 978-1-944835-18-7 https://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Future_of_Jobs_2018.pdf
  • Wisman, J. D. (2023). The Industrial Degradation of Workers That Thorstein Veblen Overlooked. American University, Department of Economics Working Papers, (2023-5).
  • Yang, C. H. (2022). How artificial intelligence technology affects productivity and employment: firm-level evidence from taiwan. Research Policy, 51(6), 104536.
  • Zafirovski, M. Z. (2000). Economic distribution as a social process. The Social Science Journal, 37 (3), 423-443.

Complementary Competitiveness: Crafting an Employment Policy to Address Technological Unemployment in The Age of Artificial Intelligence

Year 2024, Issue: 19, 59 - 78, 31.05.2024
https://doi.org/10.29157/etusbed.1390993

Abstract

Technological unemployment has been a concern since the Industrial Revolution. Approximately two centuries later, this issue has reemerged with the rapid advancements in machine learning and artificial intelligence technologies (AI). In contrast to the Industrial Revolution era, the unemployment caused by AI in the present age is different. Unlike earlier times, where unemployment primarily resulted from automating basic manual labor, the current challenge arises from AI automating tasks that were previously considered too complex for machines to handle. This is due to the capacity of AI-powered machines to learn and adapt to new situations. As a result, the evolving job market necessitates a different approach to employment policies compared to those applied over the last century. In this study, a new policy suggestion referred to as "Complementary Competitiveness" is discussed, taking a nuanced stance, avoiding simplistic categorizations of AI as purely beneficial or detrimental. Instead, it concentrates on formulating an employment strategy that distinguishes between sectors, taking into account firms resaons’ of AI preferences, all while not impeding technological progress. This approach seeks to align employment policies with the evolving needs of the AI age, which goes beyond the conventional binary classification of professions and competencies as necessary or obsolete as it seen in the literature.

References

  • Acemoglu, D., & Restrepo, P. (2018). Artificial intelligence, automation, and work. In The economics of artificial intelligence: An agenda (pp. 197-236). University of Chicago Press.
  • Acemoglu, D., & Restrepo, P. (2020). Robots and jobs: Evidence from US labor markets. Journal of political economy, 128(6), 2188-2244.
  • Aghion, P., Antonin, C., & Bunel, S. (2019). Artificial intelligence, growth and employment: The role of policy. Economie et Statistique/Economics and Statistics, (510-511-512), 150-164.
  • Alhaddad, M. M. (2018). Artificial intelligence in banking industry: A review on fraud detection, credit management, and document processing. ResearchBerg Review of Science and Technology, 2(3), 25-46.
  • Atkinson, R. D. (2018). Testimony of Robert D. Atkinson President Information Technology and Innovation Foundation.
  • Autor, D. (2015). Why are there still so many jobs? The history and future of workplace automation. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 29(3), 3-30.
  • Autor, D., Dorn, D., Katz, L. F., Patterson, C., & Van Reenen, J. (2020). The fall of the labor share and the rise of superstar firms. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 135(2), 645-709.
  • Bao, Y., Hilary, G., & Ke, B. (2022). Artificial intelligence and fraud detection. Innovative Technology at the Interface of Finance and Operations: Volume I, 223-247.
  • Brynjolfsson, E., & McAfee, A. (2014). The second machine age: Work, progress, and prosperity in a time of brilliant technologies. WW Norton & Company.
  • Bughin, J., Hazan, E., Lund, S., Dahlström, P., Wiesinger, A., & Subramaniam, A. (2018). Skill shift: Automation and the future of the workforce. McKinsey Global Institute, 1, 3-84.
  • Bush, P. D. (1983). An exploration of the structural characteristics of a Veblen-Ayres-Foster defined institutional domain. Journal of Economic Issues, 17(1), 35-66.
  • Campa, R. (2017). Technological unemployment: A brief history of an idea. ISA eSymposium for Sociology, 7(1).
  • Choi, D., & Lee, K. (2018). An artificial intelligence approach to financial fraud detection under IoT environment: A survey and implementation. Security and Communication Networks, 2018.
  • Colander, D. (1996). New institutionalism, old institutionalism, and distribution theory. Journal of Economic Issues, 30(2), 433-442.
  • Danaher, J. (2017). Will life be worth living in a world without work? Technological unemployment and the meaning of life. Science and engineering ethics, 23(1), 41-64.
  • Dauth, W., Findeisen, S., Südekum, J., & Woessner, N. (2017). German robots-the impact of industrial robots on workers.
  • Ekelund Jr, R. B., & Hébert Jr, R. F. (2002). Retrospectives: The origins of neoclassical microeconomics. Journal of economic perspectives, 16(3), 197-215.
  • Feldmann, H. (2013). Technological unemployment in industrial countries. Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 23, 1099-1126.
  • Fiorelli, F. (2018). Technological unemployment as frictional unemployment: From Luddite to routine-biased technological change. Kybernetes, 47(2), 333-342.
  • Forstater, M., & Murray, M. J. (2009). Circular and cumulative causation in the classics: anticipations, family resemblances, and the influence on Post Keynesian economics. In The Foundations of Non-Equilibrium Economics (pp. 168-185). Routledge.
  • Frey, C. B., & Osborne, M. A. (2017). The future of employment: How susceptible are jobs to computerisation?. Technological forecasting and social change, 114, 254-280.
  • Georgieff, A., & Hyee, R. (2021). Artificial intelligence and employment: New cross-country evidence.
  • Gera, I., & Singh, S. (2019). A critique of economic literature on technology and fourth industrial revolution: Employment and the nature of jobs. The Indian Journal of Labour Economics, 62(4), 715-729.
  • Goyal, A., & Aneja, R. (2020). Artificial intelligence and income inequality: Do technological changes and worker's position matter?. Journal of Public Affairs, 20(4), e2326.
  • Hamaguchi, N., & Kondo, K. (2018). Regional employment and artificial intelligence in Japan. RIETI.
  • Henry, J. F. (2008). The ideology of the laissez faire program. Journal of Economic Issues, 42(1), 209-224.
  • Hodgson, G. M. (2007). The revival of Veblenian institutional economics. Journal of economic issues, 41(2), 324-340.
  • Hollander, S. (2019). Retrospectives Ricardo on Machinery. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 33(2), 229-242.
  • Huang, X., Wu, X., & Usmani, A. (2022). Perspectives of using artificial intelligence in building fire safety. In Handbook of Cognitive and Autonomous Systems for Fire Resilient Infrastructures (pp. 139-159). Cham: Springer International Publishing.
  • Jackson, W. A. (2015). Distributive justice with and without culture. Journal of Cultural Economy, 8(6), 673-688.
  • Jimenez, Perilla J. R. (2019). Mainstream and evolutionary views of technology, economic growth and catching up. Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 29(3), 823-852.
  • Karabarbounis, L., & Neiman, B. (2014). The global decline of the labor share. The Quarterly journal of economics, 129(1), 61-103.
  • Keefer, P., & Knack, S. (2005). Social capital, social norms and the new institutional economics. In Handbook of new institutional economics (pp. 701-725). Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer Berlin Heidelberg.
  • Keynes, J. M. (1930). Economic possibilities for our grandchildren. In Essays in persuasion (pp. 321-332). London: Palgrave Macmillan UK.
  • Lacasa, I. D. (2014). Ceremonial Encapsulation and the Diffusion of Renewable Energy Technology in Germany. Journal of Economic Issues, 48(4), 1073-1093.
  • Leontief, W. (1979). Is technological unemployment inevitable?. Challenge, 22(4), 48-50.
  • Martens, B., & Tolan, S. (2018). Will this time be different? A review of the literature on the Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Employment, Incomes and Growth.
  • Milchram, C., Märker, C., & Hake, J. F. (2019). The role of values in analyzing energy systems: Insights from moral philosophy, institutional economics, and sociology. Energy Procedia, 158, 3741-3747.
  • Millard, N. J. (2017). Botman vs. Superagent: Man vs. machine in the future of customer experience.
  • Mutascu, M. (2021). Artificial intelligence and unemployment: New insights. Economic Analysis and Policy, 69, 653-667.
  • Neisser, H. P. (1942). Permanent" Technological Unemployment:" Demand for Commodities Is Not Demand for Labor. The American Economic Review, 32(1), 50-71.
  • Noor, A., Saeed, M. A., Ullah, T., Uddin, Z., & Ullah Khan, R. M. W. (2022). A review of artificial intelligence applications in apparel industry. The Journal of The Textile Institute, 113(3), 505-514.
  • Pol, E., & Reveley, J. (2017). Robot induced technological unemployment: Towards a youth-focused coping strategy. Psychosociological Issues in Human Resource Management, 5(2), 169-186.
  • Raj, S. B. E., & Portia, A. A. (2011, March). Analysis on credit card fraud detection methods. In 2011 International Conference on Computer, Communication and Electrical Technology (ICCCET) (pp. 152-156). IEEE.
  • Rifkin, J. (1995). The End of work (p. 400). North Hollywood, CA, USA: Pacifica Radio Archives.
  • Ryman-Tubb, N. F., Krause, P., & Garn, W. (2018). How Artificial Intelligence and machine learning research impacts payment card fraud detection: A survey and industry benchmark. Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence, 76, 130-157.
  • Schumpeter, J. A. (2013). Capitalism, socialism and democracy. routledge.
  • Shen, J., Zhang, C. J., Jiang, B., Chen, J., Song, J., Liu, Z., ... & Ming, W. K. (2019). Artificial intelligence versus clinicians in disease diagnosis: systematic review. JMIR medical informatics, 7(3), e10010.
  • Smith, A. (1991). An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations. Great Minds Series. Prometheus Books. ISBN ‏ : ‎ 0879757051
  • Stöllinger, R. (2018). The Luddite Rebellion: Past and Present. wiiw Monthly Report, 11, 6-11.
  • Thomassey, S., Zeng, X. (2018). Introduction: Artificial Intelligence for Fashion Industry in the Big Data Era. In: Thomassey, S., Zeng, X. (eds) Artificial Intelligence for Fashion Industry in the Big Data Era. Springer Series in Fashion Business. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-0080-6_1
  • TurkStat, Turkish Statistical Institute (2022). Girişimlerde Bilişim Teknolojileri Kullanım Araştırması Mikro Veri Seti / Publication Number: 4674 ISBN 978-625-8368-18-5
  • Vatn, A. (2005). Rationality, institutions and environmental policy. Ecological economics, 55(2), 203-217.
  • Waller Jr, W. T. (1987). Ceremonial encapsulation and corporate cultural hegemony. Journal of Economic Issues, 21(1), 321-328.
  • WEF, World Economic Forum (2018). The Future of Jobs Report 2018. Geneva. ISBN 978-1-944835-18-7 https://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Future_of_Jobs_2018.pdf
  • Wisman, J. D. (2023). The Industrial Degradation of Workers That Thorstein Veblen Overlooked. American University, Department of Economics Working Papers, (2023-5).
  • Yang, C. H. (2022). How artificial intelligence technology affects productivity and employment: firm-level evidence from taiwan. Research Policy, 51(6), 104536.
  • Zafirovski, M. Z. (2000). Economic distribution as a social process. The Social Science Journal, 37 (3), 423-443.
There are 58 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Employment, Policy of Treasury, Monetary Policy
Journal Section Research Article
Authors

Yahya Algül 0000-0003-3480-9871

Early Pub Date May 29, 2024
Publication Date May 31, 2024
Submission Date November 14, 2023
Acceptance Date January 2, 2024
Published in Issue Year 2024 Issue: 19

Cite

APA Algül, Y. (2024). Complementary Competitiveness: Crafting an Employment Policy to Address Technological Unemployment in The Age of Artificial Intelligence. Erzurum Teknik Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi(19), 59-78. https://doi.org/10.29157/etusbed.1390993