<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD JATS (Z39.96) Journal Publishing DTD v1.4 20241031//EN"
        "https://jats.nlm.nih.gov/publishing/1.4/JATS-journalpublishing1-4.dtd">
<article  article-type="research-article"        dtd-version="1.4">
            <front>

                <journal-meta>
                                                                <journal-id>gujs part c</journal-id>
            <journal-title-group>
                                                                                    <journal-title>Gazi Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Dergisi Part C: Tasarım ve Teknoloji</journal-title>
            </journal-title-group>
                                        <issn pub-type="epub">2147-9526</issn>
                                                                                            <publisher>
                    <publisher-name>Gazi University</publisher-name>
                </publisher>
                    </journal-meta>
                <article-meta>
                                        <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.29109/gujsc.1077377</article-id>
                                                                <article-categories>
                                            <subj-group  xml:lang="en">
                                                            <subject>Engineering</subject>
                                                    </subj-group>
                                            <subj-group  xml:lang="tr">
                                                            <subject>Mühendislik</subject>
                                                    </subj-group>
                                    </article-categories>
                                                                                                                                                        <title-group>
                                                                                                                                                            <article-title>Assessing Unconfined Vapor Cloud Explosions (Uvce) Physical Effects: A Software Built For Modelling With Bst Methodology</article-title>
                                                                                                    </title-group>
            
                                                    <contrib-group content-type="authors">
                                                                        <contrib contrib-type="author">
                                                                    <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">
                                        https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1499-4232</contrib-id>
                                                                <name>
                                    <surname>Kepekli</surname>
                                    <given-names>Tahsin Aykan</given-names>
                                </name>
                                                                    <aff>ISTANBUL YENI YUZYIL UNIVERSITY</aff>
                                                            </contrib>
                                                                                </contrib-group>
                        
                                        <pub-date pub-type="pub" iso-8601-date="20250630">
                    <day>06</day>
                    <month>30</month>
                    <year>2025</year>
                </pub-date>
                                        <volume>13</volume>
                                        <issue>2</issue>
                                        <fpage>512</fpage>
                                        <lpage>525</lpage>
                        
                        <history>
                                    <date date-type="received" iso-8601-date="20220222">
                        <day>02</day>
                        <month>22</month>
                        <year>2022</year>
                    </date>
                                                    <date date-type="accepted" iso-8601-date="20230106">
                        <day>01</day>
                        <month>06</month>
                        <year>2023</year>
                    </date>
                            </history>
                                        <permissions>
                    <copyright-statement>Copyright © 2013, Gazi University Journal of Science Part C: Design and Technology</copyright-statement>
                    <copyright-year>2013</copyright-year>
                    <copyright-holder>Gazi University Journal of Science Part C: Design and Technology</copyright-holder>
                </permissions>
            
                                                                                                                        <abstract><p>The calculation of physical effects of unconfined vapour cloud explosions (UVCE), which are caused by explosive atmosphere, is important for risk assessment studies. During the evaluation of explosive atmospheres, effects of a possible explosion are determined in order to take safety measures. There are various algorithms for calculating the overpressure. In physical effect calculations, evaluation of the surrounding environment and chemical reaction are important criteria for accuracy of the results. Usually, a large portion of risk assessment studies neglect overpressure damage assessment as these algorithms cannot be understood or implemented easily due to difficulties in usage. There are various software used in calculating explosion overpressure, however these software generally are run without assessing operating limits and scenario parameters correctly. Thereby, explosion effects cannot be evaluated properly in many explosive atmosphere risk assessments. Taking this as the basis for our aim, an overpressure calculation software called ExCALc has been coded for use in UVCE risk assessment studies. ExCALc uses Baker-Strehlow-Tang (BST) model. The parameters are input in a user friendly way and the scenario results are calculated for varying distances. It is thought that for complex methodology used in assessments, simplifying tools will benefit industrial safety in the long term.</p></abstract>
                                                            
            
                                                                                        <kwd-group>
                                                    <kwd>Fire and Explosion Analysis</kwd>
                                                    <kwd>  Risk Assessment</kwd>
                                                    <kwd>  Hazards Evaluation</kwd>
                                            </kwd-group>
                            
                                                                                                                                                    </article-meta>
    </front>
    <back>
                            <ref-list>
                                    <ref id="ref1">
                        <label>1</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">[1]	Mannan S. Lees&#039; Loss Prevention in the Process Industries: Hazard Identification, Assessment and Control (4th ed.). Butterworth-Heinemann; 2012.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref2">
                        <label>2</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">[2]	DIRECTIVE 1999/92/EC OF THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT AND OF THE COUNCIL On minimum requirements for improving the safety and health of workers potentially at risk from explosive atmospheres. (2000). Official Journal of the European Communities, L23, 57-64.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref3">
                        <label>3</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">[3]	Van den Bosch C, Weterings R (Eds.). Methods for the Calculation of Physical Effects CPR14E (Yellow Book) (3rd ed.). NL: Committee for the Prevention of Disasters; 2005.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref4">
                        <label>4</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">[4]	Mercx WP, Van den Berg AC, Hayhurst CJ, Robertson NJ, Moran KC. Developments in vapour cloud explosion blast modeling. Journal of Hazardous Materials 2000;71(1-3):301-319. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-3894(99)00085-0</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref5">
                        <label>5</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">[5]	Van den Berg AC. The Multi-Energy Method - a framework for vapor cloud Explosion blast prediction. Journal of Hazardous Materials 1985;12:1-10. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3894(85)80022-4</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref6">
                        <label>6</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">[6]	Van den Berg AC, Eggen J. GAME: Guidance for the Application of the Multi-Energy Method. 2nd International Specialist Meeting on Fuel-Air Explosions. Bergen, Norway: TNO; 1996.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref7">
                        <label>7</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">[7]	Eggen JBMM. TNO Prins Maurits Laboratory. GAME: Development of Guidance for the Application of the Multi-Energy Method. HSE Books; 1998.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref8">
                        <label>8</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">[8]	Alonso FD, Ferradás EG, Perez JF, Aznar AM, Gimeno JR, Alonso JM. Characteristic overpressure-impulse-distance curves for vapour cloud explosions using the TNO Multi-Energy Model. Journal of Hazardous Materials 2006;137(2):734-741. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhazmat.2006.04.005</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref9">
                        <label>9</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">[9]	Tang MJ, Baker QA. Comparison of blast curves from vapor cloud explosions. Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries 2000;13(3-5):433-438. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0950-4230(99)00040-6</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref10">
                        <label>10</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">[10]	Baker QA, Tang MJ, Scheier EA. Vapor cloud explosion analysis. Paper presented at: AIChe 28th Loss Prevention Symposium. 1994, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref11">
                        <label>11</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">[11]	Baker QA, Tang MJ, Scheier EA, Silva GJ. Vapor cloud explosion analysis. Process Safety Progress 1996;15(2):106-109. https://doi.org/10.1002/prs.680150211</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref12">
                        <label>12</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">[12]	Tang MJ, Baker, QA. A new set of blast curves from vapor cloud explosion. Process Safety Progress 1999;18(4):235-240. https://doi.org/10.1002/prs.680180412</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref13">
                        <label>13</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">[13]	Pierorazio AJ, Thomas JK, Baker QA, Ketchum DE. An update to the Baker-Strehlow-Tang vapor cloud explosion prediction methodology flame speed table. Process Safety Progress 2005;24(1):59-65. https://doi.org/10.1002/prs.10048</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref14">
                        <label>14</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">[14]	Melton TA, Marx JD. Estimating flame speeds for use with the BST blast curves. Process Safety Progress 2009;28(1):5-10. https://doi.org/10.1002/prs.10281</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref15">
                        <label>15</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">[15]	Xu Y, Worthington DR, Oke A. Correcting the predictions by Baker-Strehlow-Tang (BST) Model for the ground effect. Paper presented at: Hazards XXI Symposium, November 10-12, 2009, Manchester, UK. </mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref16">
                        <label>16</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">[16]	Sari A. Comparison of TNO Multienergy and Baker-Strehlow-Tang Models. Process Safety Progress 2011;30(1):23-26. https://doi.org/10.1002/prs.10424</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref17">
                        <label>17</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">[17]	Turner T, Sari A. Vapor cloud explosion prediction methods - comparison of TNO Multi-Energy (ME) and Baker-Strehlow-Tang (BST) Models in terms of vulnerability of structural damage caused by an explosion. Paper presented at: Structures Congress. March 29-31, 2012, Chicago, Illinois, USA.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref18">
                        <label>18</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">[18]	Kang HS, Kim SB, Kim MH, No HC. Overpressure predictions by the MEM and the Baker-Strehlow-Tang blast curves for the SRI H2 explosion test in the open space. Paper presented at: Transactions of the Korean Nuclear Society Spring Meeting, May 27-28, 2010, Pyeongchang, Korea.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref19">
                        <label>19</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">[19]	Soman AR, Sundararaj G. Consequence assessment of vapor cloud explosion involving hydrogen release. International Journal of Emerging Technology and Advanced Engineering 2012;2(11):291-296.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref20">
                        <label>20</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">[20]	Jones R, Lehr W, Simecek-Beatty D, Reynolds RM. ALOHA (Areal Locations of Hazardous Atmospheres) 5.4.4 Technical Documentation. Technical Memorandum NOS QR&amp;R. NOAA; 2013.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref21">
                        <label>21</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">[21]	IEC 60079-10-1: 2015-09, Explosive Atmospheres - Part 10-1: Classification of areas - Explosive Gas Atmospheres, International Electrotechnical Commission; 2015.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref22">
                        <label>22</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">[22]	Pitblado R, Alderman J, Thomas JK. Faciliating consistent siting hazard distance predictions using the TNO Multi-Energy Model. Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries 2014;30:287-295. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jlp.2014.04.010</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref23">
                        <label>23</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">[23]	Alonso FD, Ferradás EG, Sánchez TD, Aznar AM, Gimeno JR, Alonso JM. Consequence analysis to determine the damage to humans from vapour cloud explosions using characteristic curves. Journal of Hazardous Materials 2008;150(1):146-152. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhazmat.2007.04.089</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref24">
                        <label>24</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">[24]	Hellas MS, Chaib R, Verzea I. Abacus to determine the probability of death or glass breakage to the overpressure effect by two methods: TNT and TNO Multi-Energy. Scientific Bulletin UPB Series D 2020;82(1):239-254.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref25">
                        <label>25</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">[25]	Cavanagh NJ, Xu Y, Worthington DR. A software model for assessing fatality risk from explosion hazards using the Multi Energy method and Baker Strehlow Tang approach. Paper presented at: Hazards XXI Symposium. November 10-12, 2009, Manchester, UK.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref26">
                        <label>26</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">[26]	Green DW, Perry RH. Perry&#039;s Chemical Engineers&#039; Handbook (8th ed.). McGraw-Hill Education; 2008.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref27">
                        <label>27</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">[27]	Rogers TN, Zei DA, Rowley RL, et. al. DIPPR Data Compilation of Pure Chemical Properties. Design Institute for Physical Properties. New York: AIChE; 2007.</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref28">
                        <label>28</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">[28]	Wilding WV, Rowley RL, Oscarson JL. DIPPR Project 801 evaluated process design data. Fluid Phase Equilibria 1998;150:413-420. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-3812(98)00341-0</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref29">
                        <label>29</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">[29]	Chai T, Draxler RR. Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) or Mean Absolute Error (MAE)? - Arguments against avoiding RMSE in the Literature. Geoscientific Model Development 2014;7(3):1247-1250. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-7-1247-2014</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                                    <ref id="ref30">
                        <label>30</label>
                        <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">[30]	Chicco D, Warrens MJ, Jurman G. The coefficient of determination R-Squared is more informative than SMAPE, MAE, MAPE, MSE and RMSE in regression analysis evaluation. PeerJ Computer Science 2021;7(e623). doi:10.7717/peerj-cs.623 https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj-cs.623</mixed-citation>
                    </ref>
                            </ref-list>
                    </back>
    </article>
