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Obama's Afghanistan Strategy: Continuity and Change

Year 2013, Volume: 9 Issue: 17, 49 - 83, 01.07.2013

Abstract

Soğuk Savaş sonrası uluslararası sistem yapısı içerisinde egemen güç olma vasfını sürdüren yegane ülke olarak ABD'nin dış politikasında dönemler arası süreklilik ya da değişim yaşanıp yaşanmadığı tartışmaları literatürde geniş yer bulmuştur. Bu anlamda Obama'nın dört yıllık iktidarı sürecinde Bush dönemi politikalarıyla kesişme ya da çatışma noktaları mercek altına alınmış ve değişik görüşler öne sürülmüştür. Bu tartışmalara belki de en net kaynaklık edebilecek alan, küresel terörle savaş konsepti ile doğrudan irtibatlı olan ABD'nin Afganistan stratejisidir. Bush ve Obama dönemlerinde ABD'nin Afganistan stratejisinin belirlenmesinde tercihlerden çok, pragmatizmin ağırlıklı rol oynadığı sonucu ortaya çıkmaktadır. Obama dönemi Afganistan stratejisi savunma bağlamında büyük oranda Bush dönemi stratejisini devam ettirmiş, ancak bu stratejiyi başarılı kılacak daha etkin bir yaklaşım benimsenmiştir. Diğer taraftan ilgili stratejinin yalnızca güvenlik boyutunu öne çıkararak başarılı olunamayacağı düşüncesiyle, Afganistan'da sivil kapasiteyi artırarak yerel unsurları kendi yaşam alanlarını kontrol edebilen, daha sonra da ülkelerinin geleceğinde söz sahibi olabilen ortaklar konumuna getirme hedeflenmiştir. Yine, Taliban dahil yerel unsurlarla uzlaşma arayışına gidildiği, diplomatik çabalara ağırlık verilerek bölge ülkelerinin de çözüme dahil edilmeye çalışıldığı bir sürece girilmiştir. Obama dönemi Afganistan politikasının, Bush dönemi ile kıyaslandığında kısmen birbiriyle örtüşen kısmen de farklılaşan boyutlara sahip olduğu, ancak daha başarılı bir sonuç ürettiği görülmektedir.

References

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  • MANN James, The Obamians: The Struggle inside the White House to Redefine American Power, Viking, New York, 2012.
  • PLOUFFE David, The Audacity to Win: The Inside Story and Lessons of Barack Obama’s Historic Victory, Viking, New York, 2009.
  • SANGER David E., Confront and Conceal: Obama’s Secret Wars and Surprising Use of American Power, Crown, New York, 2012.
  • SINGH Robert, Barack Obama’s post-American Foreign Policy: The Limits of Engagement, Bloomsbury Academic, London ve New York, 20 WOODWARD Bob, Obama’s Wars, Simon & Schuster, Washington, DC, 2010. Makaleler:
  • BAPAT Navin A., “A Game Theoretic Analysis of the Afghan Surge”, Foreign Policy Analysis, 2010, Sayı: 6 (3), 217-236.
  • HALPER Stefan, “President Obama at mid-term”, International Affairs, 2011, Sayı: 87 (1), 1-11.
  • LINDSAY James M., “George W. Bush, Barack Obama and the Future of US Global Leadership”, International Affairs, 2011, Sayı: 87 (4), 765-7
  • MILNE David, “Pragmatism or What? The Future of US Foreign Policy”, International Affairs, 2012, Sayı: 88 (5), 935-951.
  • OBAMA Barack, “Renewing American Leadership”, Foreign Affairs, July–August 2007, Sayı: 84 (4), 2-16.
  • TADDEO Valentina, “US Response to Terrorism: A Strategic Analysis of the Afghanistan Campaign”, Journal of Strategic Security, 2010, Sayı: 3 (2), 27-38.
  • WILLIAMS M. J., “The Coming Revolution in Foreign Affairs: Rethinking American National Security”, International Affairs, 2008, Sayı: 84 (6), 1109-1129. İnternet Kaynakları:
  • “Afghanistan Expects Bloody 2009”, AFP, 05 January 2009, http://www.afghanistannewscenter.com/news/2009/january/jan52009.h tml#1, (Erişim tarihi: 03.01.2013).
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  • BELASCO Amy, “The Cost of Iraq, Afghanistan, and Other Global War on Terror Operations Since 9/11”, CRS Report for Congress, Congressional http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/natsec/RL33110.pdf, Research 002013). Service, 29 March (Erişim tarihi:
  • BENNETT John T., “President Obama Goes All In on The Taliban”, US News, 02 May 2012, http://www.usnews.com/news/articles/ 2012/05/02/president-obama-goes-all-in-on-the-taliban, (Erişim tarihi: 02013).
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  • BUSH George W., “Address to a Joint Session of Congress and the American People”, For Immediate Release Office of the Press Secretary, 20 September 2001, http://georgewbush-whitehouse. archives.gov/news/releases/2001/09/20010920-8.html, (Erişim tarihi: 002013).
  • CAMPHAUSEN R. C., “The Spoils of War: China in Afghanistan”, Digital Journal, 30 December 2009, http://digitaljournal.com/ article/284717, (Erişim tarihi: 16.02.2013).
  • CAVALLARO James ve diğerleri, “Living Under Drones_ Death, Injury and Trauma to Civilians from US Drone Practices in Pakistan”, Special Report, International Human Rights and Conflict Resolution Clinic (Stanford Law School) and Global Justice Clinic (NYU School of Law), September 2012, http://livingunderdrones.org/report/, (Erişim tarihi: 11.02.2013).
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  • MASTERS Jonathan, “Targeted Killings”, Council on Foreign Relations, 08 February 2013, http://www.cfr.org/counterterrorism/ targeted-killings/p9627, (Erişim tarihi: 21.02.2013)
  • MILLER Greg, “Plan for Hunting Terrorists Signals U.S. Intends to Keep Adding Names to Kill Lists”, The Washington Post, 23 October 2012, http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2013/feb/19/us-drone-strikes- afghanistan-un-report, (Erişim tarihi: 06.01.2013)
  • “Mullen: Pakistan's ISI Spy Agency has 'Militant Links'”, BBC News, 21 April 13153538, (Erişim tarihi: 14.02.2013). http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-south-asia
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  • “Obama Orders 17,000 US Troops to Afghanistan”, Reuters, 18 February 2009, http://uk.reuters.com/article/2009/02/18/us-usa-afghan- troops-idUKTRE51G6F920090218, (Erişim tarihi: 09.01.2013).
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  • PLANTY Donald J. ve PERITO Robert M., “Police Transition in Afghanistan”, Special Report, United States Institute of Peace, February 2013, http://www.usip.org/files/resources/SR322.pdf, (Erişim tarihi: 01.02.2013).
  • “Remarks by President Obama in Address to the Nation from Afghanistan”, The White House Office of the Press Secretary, 01 May 2012, http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2012/05/01/ remarks-president-address-nation-afghanistan, 02013). (Erişim tarihi:
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Obama'nın Afganistan Stratejisi: Değişim ve Süreklilik

Year 2013, Volume: 9 Issue: 17, 49 - 83, 01.07.2013

Abstract

Soğuk Savaş sonrası uluslararası sistem yapısı içerisinde egemen güç olma vasfını sürdüren yegane ülke olarak ABD'nin dış politikasında dönemler arası süreklilik ya da değişim yaşanıp yaşanmadığı tartışmaları literatürde geniş yer bulmuştur. Bu anlamda Obama'nın dört yıllık iktidarı sürecinde Bush dönemi politikalarıyla kesişme ya da çatışma noktaları mercek altına alınmış ve değişik görüşler öne sürülmüştür. Bu tartışmalara belki de en net kaynaklık edebilecek alan, küresel terörle savaş konsepti ile doğrudan irtibatlı olan ABD'nin Afganistan stratejisidir. Bush ve Obama dönemlerinde ABD'nin Afganistan stratejisinin belirlenmesinde tercihlerden çok, pragmatizmin ağırlıklı rol oynadığı sonucu ortaya çıkmaktadır. Obama dönemi Afganistan stratejisi savunma bağlamında büyük oranda Bush dönemi stratejisini devam ettirmiş, ancak bu stratejiyi başarılı kılacak daha etkin bir yaklaşım benimsenmiştir. Diğer taraftan ilgili stratejinin yalnızca güvenlik boyutunu öne çıkararak başarılı olunamayacağı düşüncesiyle, Afganistan'da sivil kapasiteyi artırarak yerel unsurları kendi yaşam alanlarını kontrol edebilen, daha sonra da ülkelerinin geleceğinde söz sahibi olabilen ortaklar konumuna getirme hedeflenmiştir. Yine, Taliban dahil yerel unsurlarla uzlaşma arayışına gidildiği, diplomatik çabalara ağırlık verilerek bölge ülkelerinin de çözüme dahil edilmeye çalışıldığı bir sürece girilmiştir. Obama dönemi Afganistan politikasının, Bush dönemi ile kıyaslandığında kısmen birbiriyle örtüşen kısmen de farklılaşan boyutlara sahip olduğu, ancak daha başarılı bir sonuç ürettiği görülmektedir.

References

  • Kitaplar: INDYK Martin S., LIEBERTHAL Kenneth G. ve O’HANLON Michael E., Bending History: Barack Obama’s Foreign Policy, Brookings Institution Press, Washington DC, 2012.
  • MANN James, The Obamians: The Struggle inside the White House to Redefine American Power, Viking, New York, 2012.
  • PLOUFFE David, The Audacity to Win: The Inside Story and Lessons of Barack Obama’s Historic Victory, Viking, New York, 2009.
  • SANGER David E., Confront and Conceal: Obama’s Secret Wars and Surprising Use of American Power, Crown, New York, 2012.
  • SINGH Robert, Barack Obama’s post-American Foreign Policy: The Limits of Engagement, Bloomsbury Academic, London ve New York, 20 WOODWARD Bob, Obama’s Wars, Simon & Schuster, Washington, DC, 2010. Makaleler:
  • BAPAT Navin A., “A Game Theoretic Analysis of the Afghan Surge”, Foreign Policy Analysis, 2010, Sayı: 6 (3), 217-236.
  • HALPER Stefan, “President Obama at mid-term”, International Affairs, 2011, Sayı: 87 (1), 1-11.
  • LINDSAY James M., “George W. Bush, Barack Obama and the Future of US Global Leadership”, International Affairs, 2011, Sayı: 87 (4), 765-7
  • MILNE David, “Pragmatism or What? The Future of US Foreign Policy”, International Affairs, 2012, Sayı: 88 (5), 935-951.
  • OBAMA Barack, “Renewing American Leadership”, Foreign Affairs, July–August 2007, Sayı: 84 (4), 2-16.
  • TADDEO Valentina, “US Response to Terrorism: A Strategic Analysis of the Afghanistan Campaign”, Journal of Strategic Security, 2010, Sayı: 3 (2), 27-38.
  • WILLIAMS M. J., “The Coming Revolution in Foreign Affairs: Rethinking American National Security”, International Affairs, 2008, Sayı: 84 (6), 1109-1129. İnternet Kaynakları:
  • “Afghanistan Expects Bloody 2009”, AFP, 05 January 2009, http://www.afghanistannewscenter.com/news/2009/january/jan52009.h tml#1, (Erişim tarihi: 03.01.2013).
  • ARMITAGE Richard L. ve BERGER Samuel R., “US Strategy for Pakistan and Afghanistan”, Independent Task Force Report No. 65, Council on Foreign Relations, November 2010, http://www.cfr.org/ pakistan/us-strategy-pakistan-afghanistan/p23253, 002013). (Erişim tarihi:
  • BELASCO Amy, “The Cost of Iraq, Afghanistan, and Other Global War on Terror Operations Since 9/11”, CRS Report for Congress, Congressional http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/natsec/RL33110.pdf, Research 002013). Service, 29 March (Erişim tarihi:
  • BENNETT John T., “President Obama Goes All In on The Taliban”, US News, 02 May 2012, http://www.usnews.com/news/articles/ 2012/05/02/president-obama-goes-all-in-on-the-taliban, (Erişim tarihi: 02013).
  • BORGER Julian, “US will Appoint Afghan 'Prime Minister' to Bypass Hamid http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/mar/22/us-afghan-plan-to- bypass-karzai, (Erişim tarihi: 13.02.2013). 22 March
  • BUSH George W., “President Delivers State of the Union Address”, For Immediate Release Office of the Press Secretary, 29 January 2002, http://georgewbush-whitehouse.archives.gov/news/releases/2002/01/ 20020129-11.html, (Erişim tarihi: 03.01.2013).
  • BUSH George W., “Address to a Joint Session of Congress and the American People”, For Immediate Release Office of the Press Secretary, 20 September 2001, http://georgewbush-whitehouse. archives.gov/news/releases/2001/09/20010920-8.html, (Erişim tarihi: 002013).
  • CAMPHAUSEN R. C., “The Spoils of War: China in Afghanistan”, Digital Journal, 30 December 2009, http://digitaljournal.com/ article/284717, (Erişim tarihi: 16.02.2013).
  • CAVALLARO James ve diğerleri, “Living Under Drones_ Death, Injury and Trauma to Civilians from US Drone Practices in Pakistan”, Special Report, International Human Rights and Conflict Resolution Clinic (Stanford Law School) and Global Justice Clinic (NYU School of Law), September 2012, http://livingunderdrones.org/report/, (Erişim tarihi: 11.02.2013).
  • CHRISTIA Fotini ve Michael Semple, “Flipping the Taliban: How to Win in Afghanistan”, Foreign Affairs, 2009, 88 (4), 34-45, http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/65151/fotini-christia-and- michael-semple/flipping-the-taliban, (Erişim tarihi: 14.02.2013).
  • COLL Steve, “What If We Fail in Afghanistan”, The New Yorker, 16 November 2009, http://www.newyorker.com/online/blogs/stevecoll/ 2009/11/what-if-we-fail-in-afghanistan.html, 002013). (Erişim tarihi:
  • DE YOUNG Karen, “Neighboring Countries Ponder a post-occupation Afghanistan”, http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/11/04/
  • AR2010110406990.html, (Erişim tarihi: 16.02.2013). 2010,
  • “Fact Sheet: The U.S.-Afghanistan Strategic Partnership Agreement”, The White House Office of the Press Secretary, 01 May 2012, http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2012/05/01/fact-sheet-us- afghanistan-strategic-partnership-agreement, (Erişim tarihi: 13.01.2013).
  • FERRIS-ROTMAN Amie, “Russia Vying for Afghan Relationship amid http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/05/16/russia-afghanistan-security- idAFLDE7360QY20110516?sp=true, (Erişim tarihi: 16.02.2013).
  • FLINTOFF Corey, “Can Obama and Karzai Mend U.S.-Afghan Relations?”, NPR, 11 May 2010, http://www.npr.org/templates/story/ story.php?storyId=126742141, (Erişim tarihi: 13.02.2013).
  • JACKSON David, “Obama’s Surge in Afghanistan Ends”, USA Today, 21 September 2012, http://content.usatoday.com/communities/ theoval/post/2012/09/21/obamas-surge-in-afghanistan-ends/70000832/ 1#.USVIiKVUE2s, (Erişim tarihi: 19.01.2013).
  • KILCULLEN David ve EXUM Andrew McDonald, “Death From Above, Outrage down below”, The New York Times, 16 May 2009, http://www.nytimes.com/2009/05/17/opinion/17exum.html?pagewante d=all, (Erişim tarihi: 11.02.2013).
  • LUBOLD Gordon, “The Surge in Afghanistan Ends”, Foreign Policy, 14 2012/09/14/the_surge_in_afghanistan_ends, 02013). 2012, http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/ (Erişim tarihi:
  • MASTERS Jonathan, “Targeted Killings”, Council on Foreign Relations, 08 February 2013, http://www.cfr.org/counterterrorism/ targeted-killings/p9627, (Erişim tarihi: 21.02.2013)
  • MILLER Greg, “Plan for Hunting Terrorists Signals U.S. Intends to Keep Adding Names to Kill Lists”, The Washington Post, 23 October 2012, http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2013/feb/19/us-drone-strikes- afghanistan-un-report, (Erişim tarihi: 06.01.2013)
  • “Mullen: Pakistan's ISI Spy Agency has 'Militant Links'”, BBC News, 21 April 13153538, (Erişim tarihi: 14.02.2013). http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-south-asia
  • NATO/ISAF, Afghan National Security Forces (ANSF): Training and http://www.nato.int/nato_static/assets/pdf/pdf_2012_12/20121205_121 205-ansf-backgrounder-en.pdf, (Erişim tarihi: 19.01.2013).
  • OBAMA Barack, “The War We Need to Win”, Woodrow Wilson Center, 1 August 2007, http://www.wilsoncenter.org/events/docs/ abgmasp0807.pdf, (Erişim tarihi: 03.01. 2013).
  • “Obama Orders 17,000 US Troops to Afghanistan”, Reuters, 18 February 2009, http://uk.reuters.com/article/2009/02/18/us-usa-afghan- troops-idUKTRE51G6F920090218, (Erişim tarihi: 09.01.2013).
  • “Obama to Send 30,000 More US Troops to Afghanistan”, BBC News, 02 December 2009, http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/8388939.stm, (Erişim tarihi: 09.01.2013).
  • PAULSON Scott, “President Obama Wants to Extend Billions of Dollars in Aid to Afghanistan”, Examiner, 07 July 2012, http://www.examiner.com/article/president-obama-to-extend-billions- of-dollars-aid-to-afghanistan, (Erişim tarihi: 14.02.2013).
  • PLANTY Donald J. ve PERITO Robert M., “Police Transition in Afghanistan”, Special Report, United States Institute of Peace, February 2013, http://www.usip.org/files/resources/SR322.pdf, (Erişim tarihi: 01.02.2013).
  • “Remarks by President Obama in Address to the Nation from Afghanistan”, The White House Office of the Press Secretary, 01 May 2012, http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2012/05/01/ remarks-president-address-nation-afghanistan, 02013). (Erişim tarihi:
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There are 57 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language Turkish
Journal Section Articles
Authors

M. Turgut Demirtepe Ve İbrahim Erdoğan This is me

Publication Date July 1, 2013
Submission Date February 15, 2015
Published in Issue Year 2013 Volume: 9 Issue: 17

Cite

Chicago Erdoğan, M. Turgut Demirtepe Ve İbrahim. “Obama’nın Afganistan Stratejisi: Değişim Ve Süreklilik”. Güvenlik Stratejileri Dergisi 9, no. 17 (July 2013): 49-83.