Kırılganlığın Ekonomik Büyüme Üzerindeki Etkisinin İncelenmesi: Sahra Altı Afrika'dan Yeni Görüşler

Year 2023, Volume: 41 Issue: 4, 700 - 714, 24.12.2023

John Oludamılola Sekunmade , Başak Özarslan Doğan

https://doi.org/10.17065/huniibf.1243397

Abstract

Bu araştırma, kırılganlık endekslerinin 2006'dan 2019'a kadar Sahra Altı Afrika'nın ekonomik büyümesi üzerindeki etkisini incelemektedir. Çalışmanın değişkenleri arasında ekonomik gerileme, ekonomik eşitsizlik, insan kaçışı, beyin göçü, dış müdahale ve ekonomik büyüme yer almaktadır. Araştırmanın amacı, kırılganlık endeksleri ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki bağlantıyı ampirik olarak araştırmak ve kırılganlık endekslerinin ekonomik büyüme üzerindeki etkisini belirlemektir. Westerlund eşbütünleşme testi kullanılarak değişkenler arasında eşbütünleşmenin varlığı tespit edilmiştir. Birinci amaç için FMOLS tahmin tekniği benimsenmiş ve bulgular sadece dış müdahale endekslerinin ekonomik büyümeyi pozitif yönde etkilediğini göstermiştir. İkinci olarak ise, ortalama grubu, artırılmış ortalama grubu ve ortak ilişkili etki ortalama grubu tahmin tekniğini benimsenmiş ve ekonomik gerileme katsayısı, ekonomik eşitsizlik ve insan kaçışı ve beyin göçünün ekonomik büyüme üzerinde olumsuz bir etkisi olduğu ve buna karşılık dış müdahalenin ekonomik büyüme üzerinde olumlu bir etkisi olduğu bulunmuştur.

Keywords

Kırılganlık Endeksleri, Ekonomik Büyüme, Doğrudan Yabancı Yatırım, Sahra Altı Afrika, Panel Veri

Revisiting the Impact of Fragility on Economic Growth: New Insights From Sub-Saharan Africa

Abstract

This research examines fragility impact on Sub-Saharan Africa's economic growth from 2006 to 2019. The variables of interest for this study include economic decline, economic inequality, human flight, brain drain, external intervention, and economic growth. The research objectives are to empirically investigate the connection between fragility indices and economic growth and determine the impact of fragility indices on economic growth. The existence of cointegration was ascertained in our variable using the Westerlund cointegration test. A fully modified ordinary least squares estimation technique was adopted for the first objective, and the findings showed that only external intervention indices positively impacted economic growth. In achieving our second objective, we adopted mean group, augmented mean group, and common correlated effect mean group estimation technique and found that the coefficients of economic decline, economic inequality, and human flight and brain drain had negative impacts on economic growth. In contrast, the external intervention had a positive impact. The research study recommends that fragile countries' governments develop corrective measures to remove these indicators to ensure progressive growth. Also, state administrations must ensure that suitable policies are implemented to encourage research and development. This will limit the problem of human flight and brain drain, which are significant problems in fragile countries.

Keywords

Fragility Indices, Economic Growth, Foreign Direct Investment, Sub-Saharan Africa, Panel Data

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