Sukuk ve Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisi: Türkiye Üzerine Bir Uygulama

Year 2022, Volume: 13 Issue: 2, 343 - 364, 28.11.2022

Caner Dilber

https://doi.org/10.54558/jiss.1137116

Cited By: 2

Abstract

Amaç: Bu çalışmanın amacı Türkiye’de katılım bankaları tarafından ihraç edilen sukuklar ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişkinin incelenmesidir.

Yöntem: Bu çalışmada yöntem olarak Engle-Granger eş-bütünleşme ve Grenger nedensellik yaklaşımlarından faydalanılmıştır. Türkiye’deki tüm katılım bankalarının ihraç etmiş olduğu sukuk ve reel GSYH rakamları 2013Q4-2021Q3 dönemi için analiz edilmiştir.

Bulgular: Yapılan Engle-Granger eş-bütünleşme testinin sonucunda sukuk ihracı ile reel GSYH arasında uzun dönemli istatistiksel olarak anlamlı bir eş- bütünleşme ilişkisi bulunamamıştır. Bununla beraber Grenger nedensellik testi sonuçlarına göre reel GSYH’dan sukuk ihraçlarına doğru tek yönlü Grenger nedensellik ilişkisi bulunmuştur.

Sonuç: Bu çalışmanın sonucuna göre Türkiye’de katılım bankaları tarafından piyasaya sunulan sukuklar ile ekonomik büyüme arasında eş-bütünleşme ilişkisi yoktur. Diğer bir deyişle değişkenler arasında uzun dönemli bir denge ilişkisinin bulunmadığı sonucuna ulaşılmıştır. Ayrıca ekonomik büyümeden sukuk ihracına doğru tespit edilen tek yönlü Grenger nedensellik ilişkisi katılım bankalarının sukuk enstrümanı ile ekonomik büyümeye katkı sunamadıklarını aksine ekonomik büyümeden istifade ettiklerini göstermektedir. Çalışmanın sonuçları beklenen sonuçların tersi yöndedir.

Özgünlük: Çalışmanın özgünlüğü, değişkenler arasındaki ilişkiyi Türkiye bağlamında Engle-Grenger Eşbütünleşme ve Grenger nedensellik yaklaşımını kullanarak inceleyen ilk çalışma olmasıdır.

Keywords

Sukuk, ekonomik büyüme, Engle-Grenger eş-bütünleşme, Grenger nedensellik.

The Relationship between Sukuk and Economic Growth: A case study in Turkey

Abstract

Purpose: The aim of this paper is to investigate the relationship between sukuk issued by participation banks and economic growth in Turkey.

Method: In this paper, Engle-Granger co-integration and Grenger causality approaches were used as methods. The sukuk issued by all participation banks operating in Turkey and real GDP figures have been analyzed for the period of 2013Q4-2021Q3.

Findings: As a result of the Engle-Granger co-integration test, long-term statistically significant co-integration relationship was not found between the issuance of sukuk and real GDP. However, according to the Grenger causality test results, a one-way Grenger causality relationship from real GDP to sukuk issuances was found.

Implications: According to the results of this paper, there is no co-integration relationship between the sukuk issued by participation banks and economic growth in Turkey. In other words, it was concluded that there is no long-term equilibrium relationship between the variables. In addition, the one-way Grenger causality relationship determined from economic growth to sukuk issuance shows that participation banks cannot contribute to economic growth with the sukuk instrument, on the contrary, they benefit from economic growth. The results of the study are in the opposite direction of the expected results.

Originality: The originality of this study is that it is the first study to examine the relationship between variables in the context of Turkey using the Engle-Grenger co-integration and Grenger causality approach.

Keywords

Sukuk, economic growth, Engle-Grenger co-integration, Grenger causality.

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