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A Study On The Relationship Between Welfare Levels And Tax Revenues: Empirical Evidence From The Cities Of The TRC2 And TRC3 Regions

Year 2025, Volume: 18 Issue: 2, 987 - 998, 15.03.2025
https://doi.org/10.35674/kent.1544213

Abstract

ABSTRACT
The relationship between tax revenues and welfare levels is a significant research trend in terms of economic development and social equity. Increasing tax revenues is critical in enabling governments to provide better services to their citizens and, in the long run, enhance the overall welfare level. However, it is known that the policies implemented and the steps taken do not consistently achieve the desired success and may sometimes lead to social unrest. Economic and fiscal policies aimed at reducing regional disparities in development create variable effects on different macroeconomic indicators across regions. The purpose of this study is to empirically examine the impact of tax revenues on welfare levels in the TRC2 (Diyarbakır and Şanlıurfa) and TRC3 (Mardin, Batman, Siirt, and Şırnak) regions located in Türkiye’s Southeastern Anatolia Region. The research covers the period from 2004 to 2022 and employs panel data analysis methods. The findings indicate a cointegration relationship between tax revenues and welfare levels, with causality from tax revenues to welfare levels. Furthermore, coefficient estimations suggest that increases in tax revenues reduce welfare levels for the panel as a whole. However, when examining city-specific results, the opposite outcomes were observed in the Turkish cities of Mardin and Şırnak, where increases in tax revenues positively impacted welfare levels.
Keywords: Tax Revenues, Welfare Levels, TRC2, TRC3, Panel Data Analysis

References

  • Acosta-Ormaechea, S., & Yoo, J. (2012). Tax Composition and Growth: A Broad CrossCountry Perspective. IMF Working Paper, 12(257), 1-35. https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft /wp/2012/wp 12257.pdf
  • Akdoğan, A. (2014). Kamu Maliyesi. Ankara: Seçkin Yayıncılık.
  • Akıncı, A. (2019). The Impact of Tax Revenue on Economic Growth in Turkey. Research of Financial Economic and Social Studies, 4(1), 100-106. https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/724504
  • Ay, Ş. (2021). An Evaluation on Tax Accrual/Collection Rates. Al Farabi International Journal on Social Sciences, 6(2), 40-53. https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/1644239
  • Ay, Ş. & Hacıköylü, C. (2023). Determinants of Tax Morale in TRC3 Regİon (Mardin, Batman, Siirt, Şırnak): A Qualİtative Analysis. Anadolu University Journal of the Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, 24(1), 170-202. https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/2756029
  • Canning, D. & Pedroni, P. (2008). Infrastructure, long-run economic growth and causality tests for cointegrated panels. The Manchester school, 76(5), 504-527.
  • Dam, M. M. & Ertekin, Ş. (2018). The Confusion of Authority in The Implementation of Self-Employment Income Exception. Vergi Raporu (228), 19-32. https://www.vergiraporu.com.tr/upImage/org/2eb0cd2.pdf
  • DİKA (2017). İstatistiklerle TRC3 bölgesi. Ankara: Ütopya Grafik Tasarım. https://www.dika.org.tr/assets/upload/dosyalar/istatisliklerle-trc3-bolgesi.pdf
  • Durkaya, M. & Ceylan, S. (2006). Vergi gelirleri ve ekonomik büyüme. Maliye Dergisi (150), 79-89. https://pdf.trdizin.gov.tr/pdf/V0JhMGl2ckY2R2FRRjBDZUlDUjFmcEc0K2k0czd1dGZBZjVraXRGZHVQM2R6T1RBOE1ZQWZJVnZJakZscjNSZFV0L1hCOEpWcnJJekxFYkx3VHY0L2J5TFVvRHF6Q1BWOUZnbDVwVElwMmdEZTE1cTNhYWFVc0ZocUNRelRaWmRYMldiaU5mNXFkckZSakNvNGxFZUYyN0llNHl0VXZPTmV4VnhDQVU5YmZBL25QdGZPL29TclNPWGdIL2I5L2swL0Z4SlkyeWIveXphMVk5VjZtV1ArdllYODZNQlZZVWNPL0JCcGlnQzVQTT0
  • Durucan, A. (2023). The Relationship between Economic Growth and Direct-Indirect Taxes in Türkiye: From the Republic to Present. Afyon Kocatepe University Journal of Social Sciences, 25(100. Yılında Cumhuriyet Özel Sayısı), 185-198. https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file / 3261396
  • Folster, S. & Henrekson, M. (2001). Growth effects of government expenditure and taxation in rich countries. European Economic Review, 45(8), 1501-1520.
  • Hadri, K. & Kurozumi, E. (2012). A simple panel stationarity test in the presence of serial correlation and a common factor. Economics Letters, 115(1), 31-34.
  • Hoylu, M., & Kara, M. A. (2023). The Effects ff Indirect and Direct Taxes on Economic Growth in the Turkish Economy. Gaziantep Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 5(1), 1-13. https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/2680215
  • Karacadağ Kalkınma Ajansı (2024). https://www.karacadag.gov.tr/yatirim/
  • Karagöz, H. (2023). The Effect of Tax Revenues and Tax Structure on the Sustainability of Economic Growth: An Analysis in a Perspective of Welfare, Efficiency and Competitiveness. İstanbul Ticaret University Journal of Social Sciences, 22(46), 438-457. https://dergipark.org.tr/en/download/article-file/3194415
  • Martinez-Vazquez, J., Vulovic, V. & Liu, Y. (2011). Direct versus indirect taxation: trends, theory, and economic significance. Edward Elgar Publishing.
  • Pesaran, M. H. (2004). General diagnostic tests for cross section dependence in panels, Cesifo Working Paper Series, 1229, Cambridge.
  • Pesaran, M. H. (2006). Estimation and inference in large heterogenous panels with a multi factor error structure. Econometrica, 74(4), 967-1012.
  • Pesaran, M. H.,Ullah, A. & Yamagata, T. (2008). ABias-Adjusted LM Test of Error Cross-Section Independence. Econometrics Journal, 11, 105-127.
  • Pesaran, M. H. & Yamagata, T. (2008). Testing Slope homogeneity in large panels. Journal of Econometrics, 142(1), 50-93.
  • Sameti, M. & Rafie, L. (2010). Interaction of income distribution, taxes and economic growth (The Case of Iran and Some Selected East Asian Countries). Iranian Economic Review, 14(25), 67-81.
  • Selen, U. & Karaş, E. (2018). The Relationship Between Social Welfare and Taxation in The Context ofWelfare Economics: Evaluation of Turkish Revenue Tax. 4th SCF International Conference on “Economics and Social Impacts of Globalization” and “Future Turkey-European Union Relations, (979-993). https://www.researchgate.net/publication/328582_Refah_Iktisadi_Kapsaminda_ Sosyal_Refah_ve_Vergileme_Iliskisi_Turk_Gelir_Vergisinin _Degerlendirilmesi
  • Stoilova, D. (2017). Tax structure and economic growth: Evidence from the European Union. Contaduría administración, 62(3), 1041-1057.
  • Stoilova, D. & Patonov, N. (2012). An Empirical Evidence for The Impact of Taxation on Economy Growth in The European Union. Book of Proceedings- Tourism and Management Studies International Conference (s. 1031-1039). Algarve/Portugal: ESGHT-University of the Algarve.
  • Taşdemir, F. D. (2023). A Research on the Relationship between Some Tax Types, Financial Development and Economic Growth in the Türkiye's Economy. Balkan and Near Eastern Journal of Social Sciences, 09(Special İssue), 185-195. https://ibaness.org/bnejss/2023_09_ special_issue/22_ Tasdemir.pdf
  • Westerlund, J. (2007). Testing for error correction in panel data. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 69(6), 709-748.
  • Zeng, J. & Du, H. (2003). Allocation of tax revenue and growth effects of taxation. Impulse response functions. National University of Singapore, Singapore.

Refah Düzeyi ve Vergi Gelirleri İlişkisinin İncelenmesi: TRC2 ve TRC3 Bölgesi Şehirlerine Yönelik Ampirik Kanıtlar

Year 2025, Volume: 18 Issue: 2, 987 - 998, 15.03.2025
https://doi.org/10.35674/kent.1544213

Abstract

ÖZ
Vergi gelirleri ile refah düzeyi arasındaki ilişki, ekonomik kalkınma ve sosyal eşitlik açısından önemli bir araştırma konusudur. Vergi gelirlerinin arttırılması, devletlerin vatandaşlarına daha iyi hizmet sunabilmesi ve uzun vadede refah seviyesini yükseltebilmesi için kritik bir rol oynamaktadır. Ancak, uygulanan politikaların ve atılan adımların her zaman istenilen başarıya ulaşmadığı ve bazı durumlarda toplumsal huzursuzluğa yol açtığı bilinmektedir. Bölgeler arası gelişmişlik farklarını azaltma amacıyla uygulanan ekonomik ve mali politikalar, farklı bölgelerde çeşitli makroekonomik göstergeler üzerinde değişken etkiler yaratmaktadır. Bu çalışmanın amacı, Türkiye'nin Güneydoğu Anadolu Bölgesi'nde yer alan TRC2 (Diyarbakır ve Şanlıurfa) ve TRC3 (Mardin, Batman, Siirt ve Şırnak) bölgelerindeki vergi gelirlerinin refah düzeyi üzerindeki etkilerini ampirik olarak incelemektir. Araştırma 2004-2022 dönemini kapsamakta olup panel veri analizi yöntemi kullanılmıştır. Elde edilen bulgulara göre vergi gelirleri ile refah düzeyi arasında eşbütünleşme olduğu görülmüş ve vergi gelirlerinden refah düzeyine doğru nedensellik olduğu belirlenmiştir. Ayrıca katsayı tahmincilerinden elde edilen sonuçlar panelin geneli için vergi gelirlerindeki artışın refah düzeyini azalttığı yönündedir. Ancak şehir bazında sonuçlar incelendiğinde Mardin ve Şırnak illerinde tersi sonuçlara ulaşılmıştır. Vergi gelirlerinde meydana gelen artışların bu şehirlerde refah düzeyini pozitif yönde etkilediğini göstermektedir.
Anahtar Kelimeler: Vergi Gelirleri, Refah Düzeyi, TRC2,TRC3,Panel Veri Analizi

References

  • Acosta-Ormaechea, S., & Yoo, J. (2012). Tax Composition and Growth: A Broad CrossCountry Perspective. IMF Working Paper, 12(257), 1-35. https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft /wp/2012/wp 12257.pdf
  • Akdoğan, A. (2014). Kamu Maliyesi. Ankara: Seçkin Yayıncılık.
  • Akıncı, A. (2019). The Impact of Tax Revenue on Economic Growth in Turkey. Research of Financial Economic and Social Studies, 4(1), 100-106. https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/724504
  • Ay, Ş. (2021). An Evaluation on Tax Accrual/Collection Rates. Al Farabi International Journal on Social Sciences, 6(2), 40-53. https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/1644239
  • Ay, Ş. & Hacıköylü, C. (2023). Determinants of Tax Morale in TRC3 Regİon (Mardin, Batman, Siirt, Şırnak): A Qualİtative Analysis. Anadolu University Journal of the Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, 24(1), 170-202. https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/2756029
  • Canning, D. & Pedroni, P. (2008). Infrastructure, long-run economic growth and causality tests for cointegrated panels. The Manchester school, 76(5), 504-527.
  • Dam, M. M. & Ertekin, Ş. (2018). The Confusion of Authority in The Implementation of Self-Employment Income Exception. Vergi Raporu (228), 19-32. https://www.vergiraporu.com.tr/upImage/org/2eb0cd2.pdf
  • DİKA (2017). İstatistiklerle TRC3 bölgesi. Ankara: Ütopya Grafik Tasarım. https://www.dika.org.tr/assets/upload/dosyalar/istatisliklerle-trc3-bolgesi.pdf
  • Durkaya, M. & Ceylan, S. (2006). Vergi gelirleri ve ekonomik büyüme. Maliye Dergisi (150), 79-89. https://pdf.trdizin.gov.tr/pdf/V0JhMGl2ckY2R2FRRjBDZUlDUjFmcEc0K2k0czd1dGZBZjVraXRGZHVQM2R6T1RBOE1ZQWZJVnZJakZscjNSZFV0L1hCOEpWcnJJekxFYkx3VHY0L2J5TFVvRHF6Q1BWOUZnbDVwVElwMmdEZTE1cTNhYWFVc0ZocUNRelRaWmRYMldiaU5mNXFkckZSakNvNGxFZUYyN0llNHl0VXZPTmV4VnhDQVU5YmZBL25QdGZPL29TclNPWGdIL2I5L2swL0Z4SlkyeWIveXphMVk5VjZtV1ArdllYODZNQlZZVWNPL0JCcGlnQzVQTT0
  • Durucan, A. (2023). The Relationship between Economic Growth and Direct-Indirect Taxes in Türkiye: From the Republic to Present. Afyon Kocatepe University Journal of Social Sciences, 25(100. Yılında Cumhuriyet Özel Sayısı), 185-198. https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file / 3261396
  • Folster, S. & Henrekson, M. (2001). Growth effects of government expenditure and taxation in rich countries. European Economic Review, 45(8), 1501-1520.
  • Hadri, K. & Kurozumi, E. (2012). A simple panel stationarity test in the presence of serial correlation and a common factor. Economics Letters, 115(1), 31-34.
  • Hoylu, M., & Kara, M. A. (2023). The Effects ff Indirect and Direct Taxes on Economic Growth in the Turkish Economy. Gaziantep Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 5(1), 1-13. https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/2680215
  • Karacadağ Kalkınma Ajansı (2024). https://www.karacadag.gov.tr/yatirim/
  • Karagöz, H. (2023). The Effect of Tax Revenues and Tax Structure on the Sustainability of Economic Growth: An Analysis in a Perspective of Welfare, Efficiency and Competitiveness. İstanbul Ticaret University Journal of Social Sciences, 22(46), 438-457. https://dergipark.org.tr/en/download/article-file/3194415
  • Martinez-Vazquez, J., Vulovic, V. & Liu, Y. (2011). Direct versus indirect taxation: trends, theory, and economic significance. Edward Elgar Publishing.
  • Pesaran, M. H. (2004). General diagnostic tests for cross section dependence in panels, Cesifo Working Paper Series, 1229, Cambridge.
  • Pesaran, M. H. (2006). Estimation and inference in large heterogenous panels with a multi factor error structure. Econometrica, 74(4), 967-1012.
  • Pesaran, M. H.,Ullah, A. & Yamagata, T. (2008). ABias-Adjusted LM Test of Error Cross-Section Independence. Econometrics Journal, 11, 105-127.
  • Pesaran, M. H. & Yamagata, T. (2008). Testing Slope homogeneity in large panels. Journal of Econometrics, 142(1), 50-93.
  • Sameti, M. & Rafie, L. (2010). Interaction of income distribution, taxes and economic growth (The Case of Iran and Some Selected East Asian Countries). Iranian Economic Review, 14(25), 67-81.
  • Selen, U. & Karaş, E. (2018). The Relationship Between Social Welfare and Taxation in The Context ofWelfare Economics: Evaluation of Turkish Revenue Tax. 4th SCF International Conference on “Economics and Social Impacts of Globalization” and “Future Turkey-European Union Relations, (979-993). https://www.researchgate.net/publication/328582_Refah_Iktisadi_Kapsaminda_ Sosyal_Refah_ve_Vergileme_Iliskisi_Turk_Gelir_Vergisinin _Degerlendirilmesi
  • Stoilova, D. (2017). Tax structure and economic growth: Evidence from the European Union. Contaduría administración, 62(3), 1041-1057.
  • Stoilova, D. & Patonov, N. (2012). An Empirical Evidence for The Impact of Taxation on Economy Growth in The European Union. Book of Proceedings- Tourism and Management Studies International Conference (s. 1031-1039). Algarve/Portugal: ESGHT-University of the Algarve.
  • Taşdemir, F. D. (2023). A Research on the Relationship between Some Tax Types, Financial Development and Economic Growth in the Türkiye's Economy. Balkan and Near Eastern Journal of Social Sciences, 09(Special İssue), 185-195. https://ibaness.org/bnejss/2023_09_ special_issue/22_ Tasdemir.pdf
  • Westerlund, J. (2007). Testing for error correction in panel data. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 69(6), 709-748.
  • Zeng, J. & Du, H. (2003). Allocation of tax revenue and growth effects of taxation. Impulse response functions. National University of Singapore, Singapore.
There are 27 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language Turkish
Subjects Regional Analysis and Planning in Turkiye
Journal Section All Articles
Authors

Şahin Ay 0000-0002-3036-2155

Süleyman Çelik 0000-0001-8999-0095

Publication Date March 15, 2025
Submission Date September 5, 2024
Acceptance Date February 6, 2025
Published in Issue Year 2025 Volume: 18 Issue: 2

Cite

APA Ay, Ş., & Çelik, S. (2025). Refah Düzeyi ve Vergi Gelirleri İlişkisinin İncelenmesi: TRC2 ve TRC3 Bölgesi Şehirlerine Yönelik Ampirik Kanıtlar. Kent Akademisi, 18(2), 987-998. https://doi.org/10.35674/kent.1544213

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