Öneri Dergisi 1300-0845 2147-5377 Marmara University 10.14783/maruoneri.708554 REEL DÖVİZ KURUNUN OTOREGRESİF ANALİZİ VE RASSAL GİDİŞ SÜRECİ Akgül Işıl MARMARA ÜNİVERSİTESİ 06 05 1995 1 3 11 20 05 01 1995 Copyright © 1994, Oneri 1994 Oneri

Türkiye'de yaygın talebi olan ABDDolan ve Alman Markına ait 1980 - 1994dönemini kapsayan nominal döviz kurlarızaman serilerinin ( sırası ile DKTLS veDKTLDM) grafiklerinin incelenmesi sonucu,serilerin sürekli arttığı ve bu artış seyrininTürkiye TEFE (Toptan Eşya Fiat Endeksi) veTEE (Tüketici Fiat Endeksi) endekslerinin seyriile hemen hemen aynı olduğu gözlenmektedir,yani bir ortak hareket etme söz konusudur.

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