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            <front>

                <journal-meta>
                                                                <journal-id>metusd</journal-id>
            <journal-title-group>
                                                                                    <journal-title>ODTÜ Gelişme Dergisi</journal-title>
            </journal-title-group>
                                        <issn pub-type="epub">2980-0870</issn>
                                                                                            <publisher>
                    <publisher-name>Middle East Technical University</publisher-name>
                </publisher>
                    </journal-meta>
                <article-meta>
                                        <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.60165/metusd.v52i2.1</article-id>
                                                                <article-categories>
                                            <subj-group  xml:lang="en">
                                                            <subject>Foreign Trade</subject>
                                                    </subj-group>
                                            <subj-group  xml:lang="tr">
                                                            <subject>Dış Ticaret</subject>
                                                    </subj-group>
                                    </article-categories>
                                                                                                                                                        <title-group>
                                                                                                                        <trans-title-group xml:lang="tr">
                                    <trans-title>Türkiye’nin Dış Ticaret Yapısının Sektör Düzeyinde 1969-2001 Dönemi İçin Zaman Serisi Analizi</trans-title>
                                </trans-title-group>
                                                                                                                                                                                                <article-title>A time series analysis of Turkish trade patterns at the sector level, 1969-2001</article-title>
                                                                                                    </title-group>
            
                                                    <contrib-group content-type="authors">
                                                                        <contrib contrib-type="author">
                                                                    <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">
                                        https://orcid.org/0009-0006-9844-5359</contrib-id>
                                                                <name>
                                    <surname>Erlat</surname>
                                    <given-names>Haluk</given-names>
                                </name>
                                                                    <aff>Middle East Technical University</aff>
                                                            </contrib>
                                                                                </contrib-group>
                        
                                        <pub-date pub-type="pub" iso-8601-date="20251230">
                    <day>12</day>
                    <month>30</month>
                    <year>2025</year>
                </pub-date>
                                        <volume>52</volume>
                                        <issue>2</issue>
                                        <fpage>239</fpage>
                                        <lpage>263</lpage>
                        
                        <history>
                                    <date date-type="received" iso-8601-date="20250422">
                        <day>04</day>
                        <month>22</month>
                        <year>2025</year>
                    </date>
                                                    <date date-type="accepted" iso-8601-date="20251110">
                        <day>11</day>
                        <month>10</month>
                        <year>2025</year>
                    </date>
                            </history>
                                        <permissions>
                    <copyright-statement>Copyright © 2020, ODTÜ Gelişme Dergisi</copyright-statement>
                    <copyright-year>2020</copyright-year>
                    <copyright-holder>ODTÜ Gelişme Dergisi</copyright-holder>
                </permissions>
            
                                                                                                <trans-abstract xml:lang="tr">
                            <p>İhracatın ithalattan fazla olduğu, ithalatın ihracattan fazla olduğu ve ihracatın ithalata denk olduğu durumların sektörler arasındaki dağılımının, ele alınan dönemin başlangıcındaki görünümünün sonundaki görünümden fark gösterip göstermediğini araştırdık. Fark gösteren sektörlere ‘durağan’, göstermeyen sektörlere ise ‘dinamik’ sektörler dedik. Önceki çalışmamızda bu araştırmayı, başlangıç yılındaki görünüm ile bitiş yılındaki görünümü istatistiksel olarak karşılaştırarak yaptık, ancak bu iki dönem arasında söz konusu görünümün nasıl bir seyir izlediğine bakmadık. Bu eksiği gidermek üzere, yine 1969-2001 dönemi 5-basamaklı, Rev.3 sektör verilerinin zaman serisi analizlerini yaptık. Bu yaklaşım hangi sektörlerin dinamik bir yapıya nasıl sahip olduklarını, örneğin dönem başında ithalat fazlası gösterirken dönem sonunda ihracat fazlası bir sektöre nasıl bir yol izleyerek vardıklarını saptama olanağı sağlamıştır.</p></trans-abstract>
                                                                                                                                    <abstract><p>We investigate whether the pattern of Turkish trade has a persistent nature or is dynamic, by considering 5-digit, Rev.3 trade data for the period 1969-2001 and assessing the performance of sectors as to whether their distribution between sectors which are in surplus, in balance or in deficit, have shown persistence over time. As a continuation of previous research we investigate the long run behavior of the trade patterns of each 5-digit sector so as to obtain information of their behavior between the beginning of the sample period and its ending. This allows us to also pinpoint those sectors that have exhibited dynamic behavior during the period under study.</p></abstract>
                                                            
            
                                                                                        <kwd-group>
                                                    <kwd>trade pattern</kwd>
                                                    <kwd>  persistence</kwd>
                                                    <kwd>  dynamic</kwd>
                                                    <kwd>  unit roots</kwd>
                                            </kwd-group>
                            
                                                <kwd-group xml:lang="tr">
                                                    <kwd>dış ticaret</kwd>
                                                    <kwd>  durağan</kwd>
                                                    <kwd>  dinamik</kwd>
                                                    <kwd>  birim kök</kwd>
                                            </kwd-group>
                                                                                                                                        </article-meta>
    </front>
    <back>
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    </article>
