Sektör Düzeyinde Rekabet Edebilirlik ve Dünya Talebine Uyum: Türkiye ve Seçili Ülkeler için Bir Analiz

Year 2018, Volume: 13 Issue: 1, 143 - 166, 15.04.2018

Uğur Aytun Yılmaz Kılıçaslan

https://doi.org/10.17153/oguiibf.372344

Cited By: 1

Abstract

Bu
çalışmada seçili on sekiz ülkenin farklı teknoloji yoğunluklarındaki alt
endüstrilerinin ticaretinin ihracat payı performanslarını, bunların  dünya ticaret payları ile karşılaştırarak
görmeye çalışmamıza imkân veren Sabit Pazar Payı analizi ile irdeledik. BACI
dış ticaret veri tabanının 1995-2014 dönemini kapsayan bulguları, düşük, orta
ve yüksek teknolojili endüstrilerde birçok gelişmekte olan ülkenin pazar
paylarını, kendi çabaları, yani rekabet edebilirlik etkisi yoluyla hızlı bir
biçimde artırdığını göstermektedir. ABD, Japonya ve Almanya başta olmak üzere,
yüksek gelirli ülkeler cephesinde de bu pazar payları ya azalmakta ya da
durağan bir konumdadır. Bu iki bulgu küresel değer zincirlerinin yayılması
sonucunda üretim sürecindeki birçok aşamanın gelişmiş ülkelerden gelişmekte
olan ülkelere kaydığı şeklinde yorumlanabilir. Öte yandan, Vietnam ve bir
dereceye kadar da Çin bu süreçte dünyada talebi artan mallarda da rekabet
edebilirliklerini güçlü bir şekilde artırabilmiş ve toplam ihracat bakımından
yüksek bir yakınsama performansı gösterebilmişlerdir.

Keywords

Rekabet Edebilirlik, Sabit Pazar Payı Analizi, Türkiye, Gelişmekte Olan Ülkeler

Industry Level Competitiveness and Adaptation to World Demand: An Analysis of Turkey and Selected Countries

Abstract

In this paper, we examined
the trade shares performance of selected eighteen countries for each sub-sector
under different technology intensities by using Constant Market Share analysis
which allows us to compare this shares with world trade shares. Model findings
based on BACI trade database covering period 1995-2014 showed that most of
developing countries in low-, medium-, and high-tech industries rapidly
increased their market shares through their attempts, competitiveness effect. Among
High-income countries, especially U.S, Japan and Germany, these trade shares
decrease or have stable position. These two fact can be interpreted that as a
result of spreading global value chains many stages of production process in
developed countries was moved to developing countries. On the other hand,
Vietnam and, to a lesser extent China could improve competitiveness in the
products whose world demand increase and thus exhibit a strong total export
convergence.

Keywords

Competitiveness, Constant Market Share Analysis, Turkey, Developing Countries

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