İklim Değişimi Performans İndeksine Göre Ülkelerin CO2 Salınım Yoğunluk Performansının Yakınsama Analizi

Year 2016, Volume: 11 Issue: 2, 119 - 142, 01.08.2016

Şekip Yazgan M Şükrü Mollavelioğlu Reşat Ceylan

Abstract

Bu çalışmada, İklim Değişim Performans İndeksine Bruck, Marten ve Bals, 2013 göre iyi, orta, kötü ve çok kötü performansa sahip ülkelerin salınım yoğunluk performansı açısından grup ortalamasına doğru yakınsama gösterip göstermedikleri incelenmektedir. Çalışmanın amacı iklim değişiminde aynı performansa sahip ülkelerin salınım yoğunluk performansı açısından da benzer davranışlar sergileyip sergilemediklerini incelemektir. Salınım yoğunluk performans indeksi olarak, ülke salınımının küresel salınım içerisindeki payının, ülke GSYİH’sının küresel GSYİH içerisindeki payına oranı kullanılmaktadır. Analizde doğrusal olmayan zaman serisi tekniğine dayanan KSS ve AESTAR birim kök testleri uygulanmaktadır. Elde edilen bulgulara göre; her bir ülke grubu için salınım yoğunluk performansı açısından ortalamaya yakınsama davranışı bulunmaktadır. Ancak bu yakınsama davranışının, iyi grup ülkelerinde ve kötü grup ülkelerinde daha yoğun olması dikkat çekicidir. Gruplar arası yakınsama davranışına bakıldığında ise AESTAR testine göre yalnızca orta performans düzeyine sahip ülkeler grup ortalamasının, iyi performansa sahip ülkeler grup ortalamasına yakınsadığı görülmektedir. ADF ve KSS testlerine göre ise grup ortalamaları arasında bir yakınsama davranışı bulunmamaktadır. Bundan dolayı, salınım yoğunluk performansının yakınsama analizinde, doğrusal olmayan zaman serisi tekniğine dayanan birim kök testlerinin geleneksel ADF birim kök testlerine göre daha kullanışlı olduğu da ifade edilebilir

Keywords

Karbondioksit emisyonu, Yakınsama Analizi, SalınımYoğunluk Performans Endeksi

The Convergence Analysis of CO2 Emissions Intensity Performance of The Countries According to the Climate Change Performance Index

Abstract

In this study, it is analysed whether the countries with good, moderate, poor and very poor performance according to the Climate Change Performance Index Bruck, Marten and Bals, 2013 converge towards the average group in terms of emission intensity performance. The aim of the study is to examine whether the countries with same performances in climate change also display similar attitudes in terms of emission intensity performance. As the emission intensity performance index, ratio of the country’s share in global emissions release to the share of the country's GDP in global GDP has been used. In the analysis, KSS and AESTAR units root tests based on nonlinear time series analysis techniques have been applied. According to the findings; there is convergence behaviour towards the average in terms of emissions intensity performance for each country group. However, it is noteworthy that, this convergence behaviour is more intense in group of countries performance. Regarding the convergence behaviour between the groups, only the group average of the countries with moderate performance converges towards the group average of the countries with good performance according to the AESTAR test. However, convergence behaviour does not exist between the group averages according to the ADF and KSS tests. For this reason, in the convergence analysis of the emissions intensity performance, unit root tests based on nonlinear time series technique is more useful than the traditional ADF unit root test

Keywords

Carbon Dioxide Emissions, Convergence Analysis, Emission Intensity Performance Index

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