KÜRESELLEŞME SÜRDÜRÜLEBİLİR KALKINMAYI DESTEKLİYOR MU YOKSA ENGELLİYOR MU? KÜRESELLEŞMENİN ÜÇ BOYUTU ÜZERİNE TÜRKİYE'DEN KANITLAR

Year 2025, Issue: 66, 117 - 137

Emre Akusta

https://doi.org/10.30794/pausbed.1559282

Abstract

Bu çalışma, küreselleşmenin Türkiye'de sürdürülebilir kalkınma üzerindeki etkisini analiz etmektedir. Çalışmada 2000-2021 dönemi yıllık verileri ile ARDL yöntemi kullanılmıştır. Sonuçlar, ekonomik küreselleşmenin kısa vadede 0,144 katsayısı ile uzun vadede ise 0,153 katsayısı ile sürdürülebilir kalkınmayı olumlu yönde desteklediğini ortaya koymaktadır. Sosyal küreselleşme kısa vadede -0.150 katsayısı ile negatif bir etkiye sahip olsa da bu etki uzun vadede 0.080 katsayısı ile pozitife dönmektedir. Politik küreselleşme kısa vadede 0,254 ve uzun vadede 2,634 katsayısı ile sürdürülebilir kalkınmayı güçlü bir şekilde desteklemektedir. Son olarak, toplam küreselleşmenin sürdürülebilir kalkınma üzerinde kısa ve uzun vadede sırasıyla 0.339 ve 0.196 katsayıları ile pozitif bir etkisi vardır.

Keywords

Küreselleşme, Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma, ARDL Yöntemi, Zaman Serisi Analizi, Türkiye.

DOES GLOBALIZATION PROMOTE OR HINDER SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT? EVIDENCE FROM TÜRKİYE ON THE THREE DIMENSIONS OF GLOBALIZATION

Abstract

This study analyzes the impact of globalization on sustainable development in Türkiye. We used the ARDL method with annual data for the period 2000-2021. Results reveal that economic globalization promotes positively to sustainable development in the short run with a coefficient of 0.144 and in the long run with a 0.153 coefficient. Although social globalization has a negative impact with a coefficient of -0.150 in the short run, this effect turns positive with a coefficient of 0.080 in the long run. Political globalization strongly supports sustainable development with a coefficient of 0.254 in the short run and 2.634 in the long run. Finally, total globalization has a positive impact on sustainable development in the short and long run with coefficients of 0.339 and 0.196, respectively.

Keywords

Globalization, Sustainable Development, ARDL Method, Time Series Analysis, Türkiye.

References

• Altıner, A., Bozkurt, E., & Toktaş, Y. (2018). Küreselleşme ve ekonomik büyüme: Yükselen piyasa ekonomileri için bir uygulama. Finans Politik ve Ekonomik Yorumlar, (639), 1117-1161.
• Altıner, A., Bozkurt, E., & Toktaş, Y. (2018). Küreselleşme ve ekonomik büyüme: Yükselen piyasa ekonomileri için bir uygulama. Finans Politik ve Ekonomik Yorumlar, (639), 1117-1161.
• Amato, V. (2021). The Sustainable Development Goals: A Framework for Business. Corporate Sustainability in Practice: A Guide for Strategy Development and Implementation, 21-40.
• Behera, J., & Sahoo, D. (2023). Does globalization spur human development at income-group and regional levels? evidence from cross-country data. Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, 7(4), 1395-1436.
• Bilgili, F., Zarali, F., Ilgün, M. F., Dumrul, C., & Dumrul, Y. (2022). The evaluation of renewable energy alternatives for sustainable development in Turkiye using ‌intuitionistic‌ ‌fuzzy‌-TOPSIS method. Renewable Energy, 189, 1443-1458.
• Capper, G., Holmes, J., Jowsey, E., Lilley, S., McGuinness, D., & Robson, S. (2014). 16 Sustainability. Real Estate Concepts: A Handbook, 402.
• Çelik, M. Y., & Ünsür, Z. (2020). Küreselleşme ve büyüme ilişkisinin Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel nedensellik testi ile belirlenmesi. İzmir İktisat Dergisi, 35(1), 201-210.
• Cervantes, P. A. M., López, N. R., & Rambaud, S. C. (2020). The effect of globalization on economic development indicators: An inter-regional approach. Sustainability, 12(5), 1-18.
• Çetin, M., & Çınar, U. (2023). Küreselleşme ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişki: AB örneği. Doğuş Üniversitesi Dergisi, 24(1), 343-363.
• Das, R.C. (Ed.). (2022). Globalization, Income Distribution and Sustainable Development: A theoretical and empirical investigation. Emerald Publishing Limited.
• Destek, M. A., & Ozsoy, F. N. (2015). Relationships between economic growth, energy consumption, globalization, urbanization and environmental degradation in Turkey. International Journal of Energy and Statistics, 3(04), 1550017.
• Destek, M.A. (2020). Investigation on the role of economic, social, and political globalization on environment: evidence from CEECs. Environ Sci Pollut Res 27, 33601–33614. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-019-04698-x
• Dreher, A., Gaston, N., & Martens, P. (2008). Measuring globalisation. Gauging its Consequences Springer, New York.
• Engle, R. F., & Granger, C. W. (1987). Co-integration and error correction: representation, estimation, and testing. Econometrica: journal of the Econometric Society, 251-276.
• Figge, L., Oebels, K., & Offermans, A. (2017). The effects of globalization on Ecological Footprints: an empirical analysis. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 19, 863-876.
• Gasimli, O., Haq, I. U., Munir, S., Khalid, M. H., Gamage, S. K. N., Khan, A., & Ishtiaq, M. (2022). Globalization and sustainable development: empirical evidence from CIS countries. Sustainability, 14(22), 14684.
• Gigliotti, M., Niccolucci, V., Marchi, M., Gagliardi, F., & Pulselli, F. M. (2018). Relationship between the sustainable development goals framework and emergy evaluation for an environmental assessment of the 2030 agenda. WIT Trans. Ecol. Environ, 217, 87-92.
• Gigliotti, M., Schmidt-Traub, G., & Bastianoni, S. (2019). The sustainable development goals. Encyclopedia of ecology, 426-431.
• Góralski, B., Grabowska, M., Studziński, A., Maletic, M., & Maletic, D. (2020). Ecological projects from the perspective of economic and environmental impacts–a case study of galvanic cell manufacturer. Management and Production Engineering Review, 420-41.
• Granger, C. W. J., & Newbold, P. (1974), ”Spurious Regressions in Econometrics”, Journal Of Econometrics, 2, 111-120.
• Grechyna, D. (2020). Current account and international networks. Review of International Economics, 28(5), 1269-1294.
• Gupta, J., & Vegelin, C. (2016). Sustainable development goals and inclusive development. International environmental agreements: Politics, law and economics, 16, 433-448.
• Gürak, H. (2006). Ekonomik büyüme ve küresel ekonomi. Ekin Kitabevi.
• Gygli, S., Haelg, F., Potrafke, N., & Sturm, J. E. (2019). The KOF globalisation index–revisited. The Review of International Organizations, 14, 543-574.
• Hassan, S. T., Xia, E., Huang, J., Khan, N. H., & Iqbal, K. (2019). Natural resources, globalization, and economic growth: evidence from Pakistan. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 26, 15527-15534. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-019-04890-z
• Johansen, S., & Juselius, K. (1990). Maximum likelihood estimation and inference on cointegration--with applications to the demand for money. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and statistics, 52(2), 169-210.
• Johansen, S., & K. Juselius (1990), “Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration With Applications to The Demand for Money”, Oxford Bulletin Of Economics and Statistics, 52, 169-210.
• Jones, A. (2010). Globalization: key thinkers (Vol. 1). Polity.
• Kandil, M., Shahbaz, M., Mahalik, M. K., & Nguyen, D. K. (2017). The drivers of economic growth in China and India: globalization or financial development?. International Journal of Development Issues, 16(1), 54-84. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJDI-06-2016-0036
• Kanivets, U., Murzagalina, G., Prodanova, N., & Gavrilieva, N. (2023). Reducing the risks of anthropogenic impact on the environment in the light of the concept of sustainable development. In E3S Web of Conferences (Vol. 389, p. 02011). EDP Sciences.
• Kennedy, P. (2006). Ekonometri klavuzu. Çev. Muzaffer Sarımeşeli, Şenay Açıkgöz, Ankara: Gazi Kitabevi.
• Khan, N. A., Husain, F., & Chaubey, S. (2023). International Trade and Globalization. Trade Issues, Policies and Laws, 19.
• Koyuncu, T., & Karabulut, T. (2021). Türkiye’de Sürdürülebilir Kalkinma ve Yeşil Ekonomi Açisindan Yenilenebilir Enerji: Ampirik Bir Çalişma. Uluslararası Yönetim İktisat ve İşletme Dergisi, 17(2), 466-482.
• Kumar, R., Kapil, A. K., Athavale, V., Yie, L. W., & Touzene, A. (2023). The catalyst for clean and green energy using blockchain technology. In Modeling for Sustainable Development: A Multidisciplinary Approach (pp. 23-39). Nova Science Publishers, Inc.
• Kutlar, A. (2007). Ekonometriye giriş. Nobel Yayın Dağıtım.
• Lee, K. H., & Min, B. (2014). Globalization and carbon constrained global economy: a fad or a trend?. Journal of Asia-Pacific Business, 15(2), 105-121.
• Liu, D., & Meissner, C. M. (2015). Market potential and the rise of US productivity leadership. Journal of International Economics, 96(1), 72-87.
• Liu, Z., Lam, J. F., Chen, H., Lin, G., & Chen, H. (2023). Can green investment improve China’s regional energy consumption structure? novel findings and implications from sustainable energy systems perspective. Frontiers in Energy Research, 11, 127.
• Loungani, P. (2005). In defense of globalization. Journal of International Economics, 66(2), 544-548.
• Maji, K. (2022). Are Cross-Country per Capita Income Differential and Globalization Cointegrated? An ARDL Bounds Testing Approach. In Globalization, Income Distribution and Sustainable Development (pp. 47-56). Emerald Publishing Limited.
• Mantaeva, E. I., Slobodchikova, I. V., Goldenova, V. S., Avadaeva, I. V., & Nimgirov, A. G. (2021, September). Green technologies as a factor in the sustainable development of the national economy. In IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science (Vol. 848, No. 1, p. 012133). IOP Publishing.
• Martens, P., & Raza, M. (2010). Is globalisation sustainable?. Sustainability, 2(1), 280-293.
• Narayan, P. K., & R. P. Smith (2005), “Trade Liberalization and Economic Growth in Fiji. An Empirical Assessment Using the ARDL Approach”, Journal of The Asia Pacific Economy, 10(1), 96-115.
• Ojaghlou, M., & Tercan, C. (2024). Impact of liberalization and globalization on economic growth: Empirical evidence from Türkiye. Journal of International Studies Vol, 17(1).
• Ojeyinka, T. A., & Osinubi, T. T. (2022). The moderating role of financial development in the globalization-sustainable development nexus in some selected African Countries. Economic Change and Restructuring, 55(4), 2051-2080.
• Oliveira, G. C. D., Wolf, P. J. W., Angelico, D. G., & Laplane, E. G. (2021). External protection, capital controls, and differentiated insertıon of asian and latin american economies into the financial globalization (1995-2016). Revista de Economia Contemporânea, 25, e212527.
• Onaran, Ö., & Boesch, V. (2014). The effect of globalization on the distribution of taxes and social expenditures in Europe: Do welfare state regimes matter?. Environment and Planning A, 46(2), 373-397.
• Öymen, G. (2020). Yenilenebilir enerjinin sürdürülebilirlik üzerindeki rolü. İstanbul Ticaret Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 19(39), 1069-1087.
• Pata, U. K., Tiwari, A. K., & Erdogan, S. (2024). Technological innovation, globalization and ecological quality: A disaggregated ecological footprint approach for BRICS countries. Journal of Environmental Management, 370, 122518.
• Pata, U. K., Yurtkuran, S., & Kalça, A. (2016). Türki̇ye’de enerji̇ tüketi̇mi̇ ve ekonomi̇k büyüme: ardl sinir testi̇ yaklaşimi. M U Iktisadi Ve Idari Bilimler Dergisi, 38(2), 255-255.
• Pekar, Ç. (2020). Turkiye and Sustainable Development Goals: A Nexus Approach to Clean Energy and Climate Action. Discourses on Sustainability: Climate Change, Clean Energy, and Justice, 125-155.
• Peng, R., Huang, H., & Zhang, X. (2023). Study on the influence mechanism of green investment to promote green ecological development: Evidence from the provincial level in China. Energy & Environment, 95, 83-05.
• Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of applied econometrics, 16(3), 289-326.
• Polat, M. A., & Ergün, S. (2023). Türkiye’de Çevresel Kuznets Eğrisi Hipotezinin Ekonomik Büyüme ve Farklı Küreselleşme Türleri Bakımından Analizi. İstanbul İktisat Dergisi, 73(1), 107-142.
• Postolache, A. G., Nastase, M., Vasilache, P. C., & Nastase, G. (2019). Globalization and environment. Calitatea, 20(S2), 517-520.
• Sachs, J.D., Lafortune, G., Fuller, G., & Drumm, E. (2023). Implementing the SDG Stimulus. Sustainable Development Report 2023. Paris: SDSN, Dublin: Dublin University Press, 2023. 10.25546/102924.
• Sardjono, W., Pujadi, T., Sukardi, S., Rahmasari, A., & Selviyanti, E. (2021). Dissemination of sustainable development goals through knowledge management systems utilization. ICIC Express Letters, 15(8), 877-866.
• Schindler, J., Graef, F., & König, H. J. (2015). Methods to assess farming sustainability in developing countries. A review. Agronomy for sustainable development, 35, 1043-1057.
• Sertyesilisik, E. (2022). Assessing and Rethinking Sustainable Development and Globalization from the Aspects of Income Distribution and Labor. In Globalization, Income Distribution and Sustainable Development (pp. 161-171). Emerald Publishing Limited.
• Seydioğulları, H. S. (2013). Sürdürülebilir kalkınma için yenilenebilir enerji. Planlama Dergisi, 23(1), 19-25.
• Shi, J., Xu, L., & Yang, J. (2023). Economic globalization and fiscal performance. Applied Economics Letters, 30(17), 2348-2354.
• Singh, S. (2013). Sustainable development: an earnest hope. Environment and Sustainable Development, 23-29.
• Strezov, V., Evans, A., & Evans, T. J. (2017). Assessment of the economic, social and environmental dimensions of the indicators for sustainable development. Sustainable development, 25(3), 242-253. Sustainable Development Report. (2023). Sustainable Development Report-Country Profiles. https://dashboards.sdgindex.org/profiles (Access: 21.05.2024)
• Tekbaş, M. (2019). BRICS-T ülkelerinde ekonomik büyüme ve küreselleşme ilişkisi. Finans Ekonomi ve Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi, 4(3), 397-412.
• Tekbaş, M. (2021). The impact of economic, social and political globalization on economic growth: evidence from BRICS-T Countries. Gaziantep University Journal of Social Sciences, 20(1), 57-71.
• Tekbaş, M. (2022). Ekonomik Büyüme ve Ekonomik Küreselleşmenin Çevre Kalitesi Üzerindeki Etkisi: Geçiş Ekonomileri Örneği. Finans Ekonomi ve Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi, 7(3), 528-538.
• Wan, Y., & Sheng, N. (2022). Clarifying the relationship among green investment, clean energy consumption, carbon emissions, and economic growth: a provincial panel analysis of China. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 29(6), 9038-9052.
• WCED (1987), Report of the World Commission on Environment and Development: Our Common Future, http://www.un-documents.net/wced-ocf.htm (Erişim tarihi: 01.06.2024).
• Xiong, Y., & Dai, L. (2023). Does green finance investment impact on sustainable development: Role of technological innovation and renewable energy. Renewable Energy, 214, 342-349.