Simulation Methodologies for Post Earthquake Fire as a Secondary Disaster: A Conceptual Framework

Abstract

As a major secondary disaster, post earthquake fires have the potential to significantly enhance the extent of seismic damage caused by earthquakes in terms of fatalities, structural damage and financial loss. Due to possible damage to firefighting equipment, road blockages that restrict the requirement for emergency response and firefighting operations, potential damage to gas and electricity lines that could result in fires and potential disruptions to communication lines, there is a significant risk of post earthquake fire that should be assessed in densely populated urban areas. Simulation methodologies are one of the most widely used techniques in the literature in assessing post earthquake fire risk and determining actions that may improve community resilience against existing risks. This study examines articles published after 2000 that use simulation methodologies to address post earthquake fire risk and evaluate preventative actions that can be taken against these disasters. A conceptual framework is provided to the studies that address post earthquake fire in a simulation focus by displaying the bibliographic features of the studies that are accessed using the relevant keywords.

Keywords

• post earthquake fire
• secondary disaster
• simulation
• bibliographic analysis
• literature review

İkincil Afetlerden Deprem Sonrası Yangına Yönelik Simülasyon Metodolojileri: Kavramsal Bir Bakış Açısı

Abstract

Deprem sonrası yangınlar; önemli bir ikincil afet olarak yaşam kaybı, yapı hasarı ve finansal zarar açısından deprem kaynaklı sismik hasarın boyutlarını büyük ölçüde artırma potansiyeline sahiptir. Yoğun nüfusa sahip kentsel bölgelerde deprem nedeniyle yangınla mücadele ekipmanlarının zarar görmesi, yolların gerekli itfaiye ve acil müdahale faaliyetlerini engelleyecek biçimde tıkanması, yangına sebebiyet verebilecek elektrik ve gaz hatlarında meydana gelebilecek hasarlar ve iletişim hatlarındaki olası kesintiler sebebiyle deprem sonrası yangın riski üzerinde durulması gereken önemli bir risktir. Simülasyon metodolojileri, deprem sonrası yangın riskinin değerlendirilmesinde ve mevcut risklere karşı topluluk direncini artırabilecek önlemlerin belirlenmesinde literatürde en yaygın kullanılan yöntemlerden biridir. Bu çalışmada, 2000 yılı sonrasında yayımlanan, deprem sonrası yangın riskinin ele alınmasında ve bu afetlere karşı yürütülebilecek faaliyetlerin değerlendirilmesinde simülasyon metodolojilerini kullanan makaleler incelenmiştir. İlgili anahtar kelimeler kullanılarak ulaşılan çalışmaların bibliyografik özellikleri sunularak, deprem sonrası yangını simülasyon odağında ele alan çalışmalara kavramsal bir bakış açısı sunulmuştur.

Keywords

• deprem sonrası yangın
• ikincil afet
• simülasyon
• bibliyografik analiz
• literatür araştırması

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