Research Article
BibTex RIS Cite

2020 YILI DAĞLIK KARABAĞ ÇATIŞMASI BAĞLAMINDA GÜNEY KAFKASYA'DA YENİ GÜÇ DENGESİ

Year 2021, Volume: 4 Issue: 1, 49 - 60, 31.01.2021
https://doi.org/10.33723/rs.842487

Abstract

Önemli bir tarihsel geçmişi olmasına ragmen, Soveytler Birliği’nin dağılmasından sonra egemenliğini kazanmış olan Azerbaycan ve Ermenistan arasındaki Dağlık Karabağ sorunu 1992’den günümüze kadar Güney Kafkasya’daki en önemli çatışma konusunu oluşturmuştur. BM Güvenlik Konseyinin birden çok kararına ve ulusularası topluma ragmen buradaki Azerbaycan topraklarını işgal etmiş olan Ermenistan ABD ve AB’deki güçlü diasporasının etkisiyle bu de facto durumdan geri adım atmamış, bu çerçevede oluşturulan Minsk Grubunun çalışmaları da bu soruna bir çözüm getirememiştir. Bu çalışmayla 2020 yılında yaşanan son çatışmanın analizi amaçlanmıştır. Bu kapsamda, ilk bölümde tarihsel arka plan ortaya konarak tüm taraflar ve etkileri ortaya konmuş, sonrasında çatışmada yaşananlar ve barış anlaşmasına yer verilerek, anlaşma sonrası oluşan son durum incelenmiştir. Sonuçta, çatışmanın bir analizi yapılarak Güney Kafkasya’da ortaya çıkan yeni durum hakkında bir değerlendirmede bulunulmuştur.

References

  • Akman, Ş. (2020). “Şah Deniz 2’den Doğalgaz Sevkiyatı Başladı”, https://www.enerjiportali.com/sah-deniz-2den-dogalgaz-sevkiyati-basladi/, (Accessed: 22.10.2020).
  • Aliyev, N. (2018). “Russia’s Arms Sales: A Foreign Policy Tool in Relations With Azerbaijan and Armenia”, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 15, (47), https://jamestown.org/program/russias-arms-sales-foreign-policy-tool-relations-azerbaijan-armenia/, (Accessed: 28.10.2020).
  • Baranec, T. & Juraj B. (2020). “Nagorno-Karabakh and The Military Balance”, Analytical Articles, https://www.cacianalyst.org/publications/analytical-articles/item/13362-nagorno-karabakh-and-the-military-balance.html, (Accessed:10.11.2020).
  • BBC News, “Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict: Missile Strike on Azeri Town Kills 21 civilians”, https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-54722120, (Accessed: 25.11.2020).
  • CIA, https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/resources/the-world-factbook/, (Accessed: 20.10.2020).
  • CIA, Iran, https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/attachments/summaries/IR-summary.pdf, (Accessed: 20.10.2020).
  • Çelikpala, M. (2007). “1990’lardan Günümüze Türk-Rus İlişkileri”, Avrasya Dosyası, 13 (1): 267-298.
  • DW, “Nagorno-Karabakh Reports Civilian Casualties Amid Shelling”, https://www.dw.com/en/nagorno-karabakh-reports-civilian-casualties-amid-shelling/a-55525542, (Accessed: 25.11.2020).
  • Eckel, M. (2020). “Drone Wars: In Nagorno-Karabakh, The Future Of Warfare Is Now”, Radio Free For Europe, https://www.rferl.org/a/drone-wars-in-nagorno-karabakh-the-future-of-warfare-is-now/30885007.html, (Accessed: 20.10.2020).
  • Erendor, M. E. & Öztarsu, M. F. (2019). “Iranian Relatıons With Azerbaijan And Armenia: A Comparative Approach in The Case Of Pragmatist Politics”, BAİBÜ Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 19 (1): 157-176.
  • EU, ENP Action Plans, https://eeas.europa.eu/headquarters/headquarters-homepage/8398/enp-action-plans_en, (Accessed: 20.11.2020).
  • EU Neighbours, https://www.euneighbours.eu/en/east/eu-in-action, (Accessed: 24.11.2020).
  • Jiráček, M. (2020). “Three Eastern Partnership Neighbours In The South Caucasus”, Fact Sheets on the European Union-2020: 3-4, https://www.europarl.europa.eu/ftu/pdf/en/FTU_5.5.6.pdf, (Accessed: 24.11.2020).
  • Kamel, A. (2014). 1923’ten Günümüze Türk Dış Politikası ve Diplomasisi, İstanbul: İnkılap Kitabevi.
  • Kofman, M. & Nersisyan L. (2020). “The Second Nagorno-Karabakh War, Two Weeks In”, War On the Rocks, https://warontherocks.com/2020/10/the-second-nagorno-karabakh-war-two-weeks-in/, (Accessed: 20.10.2020).
  • McCarthy, N. (2020). “Armenian & Azerbaijani Military Strength Compared”, https://www.statista.com/chart/23056/estimated-military-strength-of-armenia-and-azerbaijan/, (Accessed: 20.10.2020).
  • Mike, Eckel, “Drone Wars: In Nagorno-Karabakh, The Future Of Warfare Is Now”, Radio Free For Europe, https://www.rferl.org/a/drone-wars-in-nagorno-karabakh-the-future-of-warfare-is-now/30885007.html, (Accessed: 20.10.2020).
  • Moniquet, C. & Racimore, W. (2013). “The Armenia-Iran Relationship”, European Strategic, Intelligence and Securitiy Center, http://www.esisc.org/upload/publications/analyses/the-armenian-iran-relationship/Armenian-Iran%20relationship.pdf, (Accessed: 10.10.2020).
  • Nuriyev, E. (2007). “The EU Policy in the South Caucaus: The Case of Post Soviet Region”, CEPS Working Document, No.272: 1-2, http://aei.pitt.edu/7544/1/272.pdf, (Accessed: 20.11.2020).
  • Republic of Azerbajian Cabinet of Ministers, “Armenia-Azerbajian Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict”, https://nk.gov.az/en/page/69/, (Accessed: 26.11.2020).
  • Президент России, “Заявление Президента Азербайджанской Республики, Премьер-министра Республики Армения и Президента Российской Федерации”, http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/64384, (Accessed: 25.11.202).
  • Semercioğlu, H. (2020). Yeni Dünya Düzeninde Türk Dış Politikası: Türkiye-Rusya İlişkileri Örneği, İstanbul: Gece Kitaplığı.
  • Singh, J. (2020). “Turkey Transferred Troops to Azerbaijan Against Armenia, Why?”, The Eastern Herald, https://www.easternherald.com/war/turkish-military-support-to-azerbaijan-74439/, (Accessed: 20.10.2020).
  • The New York Times, “Facing Military Debacle, Armenia Accepts a Deal in Nagorno-Karabakh War”, https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/09/world/middleeast/armenia-settlement-nagorno-karabakh-azerbaijan.html, (Accessed: 24.11.2020).
  • The Economist, “A Peace Deal Ends a Bloody War Over Nagorno-Karabakh”, https://www.economist.com/europe/2020/11/14/a-peace-deal-ends-a-bloody-war-over-nagorno-karabakh, (Accessed: 24.11.2020).
  • Yapıcı M., İ. (2014). “1990’lar Boyunca Türkiye-Rusya İlişkileri: İstikrarsızlık İçinde İstikrar”, Uluslararası Hukuk ve Politika, 40: 121-153.
  • Yesevi, C. G. & Tiftikçigil, B. Y. (2015). “Turkey-Azerbaijan Energy Relations: A Political and Economic Analysis”, International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 5 (1): 27-44.
  • Yüce, A. (2016). “The Caucasus and The World”, International Scientific Journal, Tblisi, , 21: 56-64.

THE NEW BALANCE OF POWER IN THE SOUTHERN CAUCASUS IN THE CONTEXT OF THE NAGORNO-KARABAKH CONFLICT IN 2020

Year 2021, Volume: 4 Issue: 1, 49 - 60, 31.01.2021
https://doi.org/10.33723/rs.842487

Abstract

Although it has an important historical background, the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia, which gained its sovereignty after the dissolution of the Soviet Union, has been the most important conflict issue in the South Caucasus from 1992 until today. Despite the multiple resolutions of the UN Security Council and the international community, Armenia which occupied the Azerbaijani territories there did not take a step back from this de facto situation with the influence of the strong diaspora in the USA and the EU, and the work of the Minsk Group established within this framework could not bring a solution to this problem. It is aimed in this paper to analyze the above-mentioned conflict in 2020. In this context, in the first part, the historical background is set forth and all parties and their effects are revealed. Later on, the events of the conflict and the peace agreement are included, and the final situation after the agreement is examined. Lastly, an analysis of the conflict has been made in conclusion, and also the new situation that emerged in the South Caucasus has been evaluated

References

  • Akman, Ş. (2020). “Şah Deniz 2’den Doğalgaz Sevkiyatı Başladı”, https://www.enerjiportali.com/sah-deniz-2den-dogalgaz-sevkiyati-basladi/, (Accessed: 22.10.2020).
  • Aliyev, N. (2018). “Russia’s Arms Sales: A Foreign Policy Tool in Relations With Azerbaijan and Armenia”, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 15, (47), https://jamestown.org/program/russias-arms-sales-foreign-policy-tool-relations-azerbaijan-armenia/, (Accessed: 28.10.2020).
  • Baranec, T. & Juraj B. (2020). “Nagorno-Karabakh and The Military Balance”, Analytical Articles, https://www.cacianalyst.org/publications/analytical-articles/item/13362-nagorno-karabakh-and-the-military-balance.html, (Accessed:10.11.2020).
  • BBC News, “Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict: Missile Strike on Azeri Town Kills 21 civilians”, https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-54722120, (Accessed: 25.11.2020).
  • CIA, https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/resources/the-world-factbook/, (Accessed: 20.10.2020).
  • CIA, Iran, https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/attachments/summaries/IR-summary.pdf, (Accessed: 20.10.2020).
  • Çelikpala, M. (2007). “1990’lardan Günümüze Türk-Rus İlişkileri”, Avrasya Dosyası, 13 (1): 267-298.
  • DW, “Nagorno-Karabakh Reports Civilian Casualties Amid Shelling”, https://www.dw.com/en/nagorno-karabakh-reports-civilian-casualties-amid-shelling/a-55525542, (Accessed: 25.11.2020).
  • Eckel, M. (2020). “Drone Wars: In Nagorno-Karabakh, The Future Of Warfare Is Now”, Radio Free For Europe, https://www.rferl.org/a/drone-wars-in-nagorno-karabakh-the-future-of-warfare-is-now/30885007.html, (Accessed: 20.10.2020).
  • Erendor, M. E. & Öztarsu, M. F. (2019). “Iranian Relatıons With Azerbaijan And Armenia: A Comparative Approach in The Case Of Pragmatist Politics”, BAİBÜ Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 19 (1): 157-176.
  • EU, ENP Action Plans, https://eeas.europa.eu/headquarters/headquarters-homepage/8398/enp-action-plans_en, (Accessed: 20.11.2020).
  • EU Neighbours, https://www.euneighbours.eu/en/east/eu-in-action, (Accessed: 24.11.2020).
  • Jiráček, M. (2020). “Three Eastern Partnership Neighbours In The South Caucasus”, Fact Sheets on the European Union-2020: 3-4, https://www.europarl.europa.eu/ftu/pdf/en/FTU_5.5.6.pdf, (Accessed: 24.11.2020).
  • Kamel, A. (2014). 1923’ten Günümüze Türk Dış Politikası ve Diplomasisi, İstanbul: İnkılap Kitabevi.
  • Kofman, M. & Nersisyan L. (2020). “The Second Nagorno-Karabakh War, Two Weeks In”, War On the Rocks, https://warontherocks.com/2020/10/the-second-nagorno-karabakh-war-two-weeks-in/, (Accessed: 20.10.2020).
  • McCarthy, N. (2020). “Armenian & Azerbaijani Military Strength Compared”, https://www.statista.com/chart/23056/estimated-military-strength-of-armenia-and-azerbaijan/, (Accessed: 20.10.2020).
  • Mike, Eckel, “Drone Wars: In Nagorno-Karabakh, The Future Of Warfare Is Now”, Radio Free For Europe, https://www.rferl.org/a/drone-wars-in-nagorno-karabakh-the-future-of-warfare-is-now/30885007.html, (Accessed: 20.10.2020).
  • Moniquet, C. & Racimore, W. (2013). “The Armenia-Iran Relationship”, European Strategic, Intelligence and Securitiy Center, http://www.esisc.org/upload/publications/analyses/the-armenian-iran-relationship/Armenian-Iran%20relationship.pdf, (Accessed: 10.10.2020).
  • Nuriyev, E. (2007). “The EU Policy in the South Caucaus: The Case of Post Soviet Region”, CEPS Working Document, No.272: 1-2, http://aei.pitt.edu/7544/1/272.pdf, (Accessed: 20.11.2020).
  • Republic of Azerbajian Cabinet of Ministers, “Armenia-Azerbajian Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict”, https://nk.gov.az/en/page/69/, (Accessed: 26.11.2020).
  • Президент России, “Заявление Президента Азербайджанской Республики, Премьер-министра Республики Армения и Президента Российской Федерации”, http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/64384, (Accessed: 25.11.202).
  • Semercioğlu, H. (2020). Yeni Dünya Düzeninde Türk Dış Politikası: Türkiye-Rusya İlişkileri Örneği, İstanbul: Gece Kitaplığı.
  • Singh, J. (2020). “Turkey Transferred Troops to Azerbaijan Against Armenia, Why?”, The Eastern Herald, https://www.easternherald.com/war/turkish-military-support-to-azerbaijan-74439/, (Accessed: 20.10.2020).
  • The New York Times, “Facing Military Debacle, Armenia Accepts a Deal in Nagorno-Karabakh War”, https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/09/world/middleeast/armenia-settlement-nagorno-karabakh-azerbaijan.html, (Accessed: 24.11.2020).
  • The Economist, “A Peace Deal Ends a Bloody War Over Nagorno-Karabakh”, https://www.economist.com/europe/2020/11/14/a-peace-deal-ends-a-bloody-war-over-nagorno-karabakh, (Accessed: 24.11.2020).
  • Yapıcı M., İ. (2014). “1990’lar Boyunca Türkiye-Rusya İlişkileri: İstikrarsızlık İçinde İstikrar”, Uluslararası Hukuk ve Politika, 40: 121-153.
  • Yesevi, C. G. & Tiftikçigil, B. Y. (2015). “Turkey-Azerbaijan Energy Relations: A Political and Economic Analysis”, International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 5 (1): 27-44.
  • Yüce, A. (2016). “The Caucasus and The World”, International Scientific Journal, Tblisi, , 21: 56-64.
There are 28 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects International Relations
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Harun Semercioğlu 0000-0003-4732-5032

Publication Date January 31, 2021
Submission Date December 17, 2020
Acceptance Date January 31, 2021
Published in Issue Year 2021 Volume: 4 Issue: 1

Cite

APA Semercioğlu, H. (2021). THE NEW BALANCE OF POWER IN THE SOUTHERN CAUCASUS IN THE CONTEXT OF THE NAGORNO-KARABAKH CONFLICT IN 2020. R&S - Research Studies Anatolia Journal, 4(1), 49-60. https://doi.org/10.33723/rs.842487
R&S - Research Studies Anatolia Journal 

https://dergipark.org.tr/rs