Research Article
BibTex RIS Cite

Nuclear Powerplay: Traditional and Emerging State Dynamics in the United Nations General Assembly (1990-2017)

Year 2024, Volume: 33 Issue: 1, 19 - 33, 19.04.2024
https://doi.org/10.26650/siyasal.2024.33.1417411

Abstract

This article deals with the specific topic of nuclear non-proliferation under the umbrella of global governance- namely the United Nations’ General Assembly. First, this work will present an account of the evolution of the nuclear nonproliferation regime and, secondly, examine the contemporary situation through a realist lens. More specifically, it is aimed to test powerful states’ probability to shape the global agenda, through alignment. By establishing the theoretical bases and proposition on which the study is grounded, the following part will focus on methodology and hypotheses. By utilizing ANOVA analysis and Ordinary Least Square (OLS) regression, this paper aims to uncover the relationship -if any- between the factors affecting state behavior on global platforms under the issue area of nuclear weapons and nonproliferation efforts.

References

  • Abernethy, D. B. (2001). The Dynamics of Global Dominance: European Overseas Empires, 1415-1980. New Haven: Yale University Press. google scholar
  • Anderson, G. L. (2001, 18 4). GLOBAL GOVERNANCE AFTER SEPTEMBER 11, 2001. International Journal on World Peace, s. 73-86. google scholar
  • Avner Cohen, B. F. (2019, 13 3). Opaque Nuclear Proliferation. The Journal of Strategic Studies, s. 14-44. google scholar
  • Bailey, M. A. (2017, 61 2). Estimating Dynamic State Preferences from United Nations Voting Data. Journal of Conflict Resolution, s. 430-456. google scholar
  • Barnett, M., & Duvall, R. (2005). Power in International Politics. International Organization, 59(1), 39-75. http://www.jstor.org/stable/3877878 google scholar
  • Brawley, M. R. (2019). Liberal Leardership: Great Powers and Their Challengers in Peace and War. New York: Cornell University Press. google scholar
  • Carothers, T. (2020, 31 1). Rejuvenating Democracy Promotion. Journal ofDemocracy, s. 114-123. google scholar
  • Cimbala, S. J. (2017, 11 1). Nuclear Proliferation in the Twenty-first Century: Realism, Rationality, or Uncertainty? Strategic Studies Quarterly, s. 129-146. google scholar
  • Cooper, R. (2003). The Breaking ofNations - Order and Chaos in Twenty First Century. London Atlantic. google scholar
  • Çicek, A. E. (2020). Global governance constellations, challenges, and trajectories in the 21st century :an issue based empirical analysis of voting in the united nations. İstanbul: Sabancı University. google scholar
  • Davis, Z. S. (1993, 2: (3-4)). The Realist Nuclear. Security Studies, s. 79-99. google scholar
  • Deen, T. (2005, 6 25). Global Policy Forum. IPSNews net: https://archive.globalpolicy.org/empire/terrorwar/ un/2005/0725define.htm adresinden alındı google scholar
  • Duvall, M. B. (2004). Power in Global Goverance. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. google scholar
  • Gavin, F. J. (2010). Nuclear Proliferation and Non-proliferation During the Cold War. In The Cambridge History ofthe Cold War Volume 2: Crises and Detente (s. 395-416). içinde Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. google scholar
  • General, D. (2011). Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement and relevant provisions of Security Council resolutions in the Islamic Republic ofIran. IAEA Board of Governors. google scholar
  • Grau, L. W. (2004, 17 1). The Soviet-Afghan War: A Superpower Mired in the Mountains. Journal of Slavic Military Studies, s. 129-151. google scholar
  • Hymans, J. E. (2006, 13 3). Theories of Nuclear Proliferation: The State of the Field. Nonproliferation Review, s. 455-465. google scholar
  • Jervis, R. (1999, 24 1). Realism, neoliberalism and cooperation: Understandinf the debate. International Security, s. 6-42. google scholar
  • Jochnick, R. N. (1994, 35 1). The legitimation of violence: A critical history of the laws of war. Harvard International Law Journal, s. 49-95. google scholar
  • Kolk, G. (1997). Century of War: Politics, Conflit and Society since 1914. New York: The New Press. google scholar
  • Matthes, A. F. (2009, 41 3). Computational procedures for probing interactions in OLS and logistic regression: google scholar
  • SPSS and SAS implementations. Behavior Research Methods, s. 924-936. google scholar
  • Mearsheimer, J. J. (1993, 72 3). The Case for a Ukrainian Nuclear Deterrent. Foreign Affairs, pp. 50-66. google scholar
  • Morgenthau, H. J. (1985). Politics Among Nations: The Struggle for Power and Peace. Missouri: Knopf. google scholar
  • Myrdal, A. (1977). The Game of Disarmament: How the United States and Russia Run the Arms Race. Manchester: Manchester University. google scholar
  • Paul, Z. H. (2020, 13 1). China’s Rise and Balance of Power Politics. The Chinese Journal of International Politics, s. 1-26. google scholar
  • Pinto, J. M. (2013). The European Union and Emerging Powers in the 21st Century: How Europe Can Shape a New Global Order. Taylor & Francis. google scholar
  • Poast, T. M. (2019, 98). War is not over. Foreign Aff. google scholar
  • Rosenthal, J. H. (1988). Righteous Realists: Political Realism, Responsible Power, and American Culture in Nuclear Age. London: LSU Press. google scholar
  • Ruzicka, J. (2018, 55 3-4). Behind the Veil of Good Intentions: Power Analysis of the Nuclear Non-proliferation Regime. International Politics, s. 369-385. google scholar
  • Sagan, S. D. (1997, 21 3). Why do states build nuclear weapons? Three models in search of a bomb. International Security, s. 54-86. google scholar
  • Schlesinger, S. C. (2003). Act of creation: The founding of the United Nations: A story of superpowers, secret agents, wartime allies and enemies, and their quest for a peacuful world. Colorado: Westview Press. google scholar
  • Strange, S. (1982, 36 2). Cave! Hic Dragones: A Critique of Regime Analysis. International Organization, s. 479-496. google scholar
  • Temples, J. R. (1980, 95 2). The Politics of Nuclear Power: A Subgovernment in Trasition. Political Science Quarterly, s. 239-260. google scholar
  • Thazha Varkey Paul, J. J. (2004). Balance of Power: Theory and Practice in the 21st Century. California: Stanford University Press. google scholar
  • Udum, Ş. (2017, 22 2). Nuclear Energy and International Relations: Outlook and Challenges for Newcomers. Perceptions: Journal of International Affairs, s. 57-84. google scholar
  • Walt, S. M. (1990). The Origins of Alliance. New York: Cornell University Press. google scholar
  • Waltz, K. N. (1996). Fighting Proliferation: New Concerns for the Nineties. Policy Paper 15: Peace, Stability, and Nuclear Weapons (s. 32-33). içinde Michigan: Michigan University Press. google scholar
  • Warren, J. M. (2018, 29 1). The Nuclear Non-Proliferation Regime: An Historical Perspective. Diplomacy & Statecraft, s. 3-28. google scholar
  • Xuetong, Y. (2019). Leadership and the rise of great powers. Washington: Princeton University Press. google scholar

Nükleer Güç Oyunu: Birleşmiş Milletler Genel Kurulunda Geleneksel ve Yükselen Devlet Dinamikleri (1990-2017)

Year 2024, Volume: 33 Issue: 1, 19 - 33, 19.04.2024
https://doi.org/10.26650/siyasal.2024.33.1417411

Abstract

Bu makale, küresel yönetişim şemsiyesi, yani Birleşmiş Milletler Genel Kurulu kapsamında, nükleer silahların yayılmasının önlenmesine ilişkin spesifik konuyu ele almaktadır. Birincisi, bu çalışma nükleer silahların yayılmasının önlenmesi rejiminin evrimini sunacak ve ikinci olarak güncel durumu gerçekçi bir mercekle inceleyecektir. Spesifik olarak, güçlü devletlerin uyum yoluyla küresel gündemi şekillendirme olasılıklarının test edilmesi amaçlanıyor. Bir sonraki bölümde çalışmanın dayandığı kuramsal temeller ve önermeler belirlenerek yöntem ve hipotezler üzerinde durulacaktır. Bu makale, ANOVA analizi ve Olağan En Küçük Kareler (OLS) regresyonunu kullanarak, nükleer silahlar ve nükleer silahların yayılmasını önleme çabaları kapsamında, küresel platformlarda devlet davranışını etkileyen faktörler arasındaki ilişkiyi -varsa- ortaya çıkarmayı amaçlamaktadır.

References

  • Abernethy, D. B. (2001). The Dynamics of Global Dominance: European Overseas Empires, 1415-1980. New Haven: Yale University Press. google scholar
  • Anderson, G. L. (2001, 18 4). GLOBAL GOVERNANCE AFTER SEPTEMBER 11, 2001. International Journal on World Peace, s. 73-86. google scholar
  • Avner Cohen, B. F. (2019, 13 3). Opaque Nuclear Proliferation. The Journal of Strategic Studies, s. 14-44. google scholar
  • Bailey, M. A. (2017, 61 2). Estimating Dynamic State Preferences from United Nations Voting Data. Journal of Conflict Resolution, s. 430-456. google scholar
  • Barnett, M., & Duvall, R. (2005). Power in International Politics. International Organization, 59(1), 39-75. http://www.jstor.org/stable/3877878 google scholar
  • Brawley, M. R. (2019). Liberal Leardership: Great Powers and Their Challengers in Peace and War. New York: Cornell University Press. google scholar
  • Carothers, T. (2020, 31 1). Rejuvenating Democracy Promotion. Journal ofDemocracy, s. 114-123. google scholar
  • Cimbala, S. J. (2017, 11 1). Nuclear Proliferation in the Twenty-first Century: Realism, Rationality, or Uncertainty? Strategic Studies Quarterly, s. 129-146. google scholar
  • Cooper, R. (2003). The Breaking ofNations - Order and Chaos in Twenty First Century. London Atlantic. google scholar
  • Çicek, A. E. (2020). Global governance constellations, challenges, and trajectories in the 21st century :an issue based empirical analysis of voting in the united nations. İstanbul: Sabancı University. google scholar
  • Davis, Z. S. (1993, 2: (3-4)). The Realist Nuclear. Security Studies, s. 79-99. google scholar
  • Deen, T. (2005, 6 25). Global Policy Forum. IPSNews net: https://archive.globalpolicy.org/empire/terrorwar/ un/2005/0725define.htm adresinden alındı google scholar
  • Duvall, M. B. (2004). Power in Global Goverance. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. google scholar
  • Gavin, F. J. (2010). Nuclear Proliferation and Non-proliferation During the Cold War. In The Cambridge History ofthe Cold War Volume 2: Crises and Detente (s. 395-416). içinde Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. google scholar
  • General, D. (2011). Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement and relevant provisions of Security Council resolutions in the Islamic Republic ofIran. IAEA Board of Governors. google scholar
  • Grau, L. W. (2004, 17 1). The Soviet-Afghan War: A Superpower Mired in the Mountains. Journal of Slavic Military Studies, s. 129-151. google scholar
  • Hymans, J. E. (2006, 13 3). Theories of Nuclear Proliferation: The State of the Field. Nonproliferation Review, s. 455-465. google scholar
  • Jervis, R. (1999, 24 1). Realism, neoliberalism and cooperation: Understandinf the debate. International Security, s. 6-42. google scholar
  • Jochnick, R. N. (1994, 35 1). The legitimation of violence: A critical history of the laws of war. Harvard International Law Journal, s. 49-95. google scholar
  • Kolk, G. (1997). Century of War: Politics, Conflit and Society since 1914. New York: The New Press. google scholar
  • Matthes, A. F. (2009, 41 3). Computational procedures for probing interactions in OLS and logistic regression: google scholar
  • SPSS and SAS implementations. Behavior Research Methods, s. 924-936. google scholar
  • Mearsheimer, J. J. (1993, 72 3). The Case for a Ukrainian Nuclear Deterrent. Foreign Affairs, pp. 50-66. google scholar
  • Morgenthau, H. J. (1985). Politics Among Nations: The Struggle for Power and Peace. Missouri: Knopf. google scholar
  • Myrdal, A. (1977). The Game of Disarmament: How the United States and Russia Run the Arms Race. Manchester: Manchester University. google scholar
  • Paul, Z. H. (2020, 13 1). China’s Rise and Balance of Power Politics. The Chinese Journal of International Politics, s. 1-26. google scholar
  • Pinto, J. M. (2013). The European Union and Emerging Powers in the 21st Century: How Europe Can Shape a New Global Order. Taylor & Francis. google scholar
  • Poast, T. M. (2019, 98). War is not over. Foreign Aff. google scholar
  • Rosenthal, J. H. (1988). Righteous Realists: Political Realism, Responsible Power, and American Culture in Nuclear Age. London: LSU Press. google scholar
  • Ruzicka, J. (2018, 55 3-4). Behind the Veil of Good Intentions: Power Analysis of the Nuclear Non-proliferation Regime. International Politics, s. 369-385. google scholar
  • Sagan, S. D. (1997, 21 3). Why do states build nuclear weapons? Three models in search of a bomb. International Security, s. 54-86. google scholar
  • Schlesinger, S. C. (2003). Act of creation: The founding of the United Nations: A story of superpowers, secret agents, wartime allies and enemies, and their quest for a peacuful world. Colorado: Westview Press. google scholar
  • Strange, S. (1982, 36 2). Cave! Hic Dragones: A Critique of Regime Analysis. International Organization, s. 479-496. google scholar
  • Temples, J. R. (1980, 95 2). The Politics of Nuclear Power: A Subgovernment in Trasition. Political Science Quarterly, s. 239-260. google scholar
  • Thazha Varkey Paul, J. J. (2004). Balance of Power: Theory and Practice in the 21st Century. California: Stanford University Press. google scholar
  • Udum, Ş. (2017, 22 2). Nuclear Energy and International Relations: Outlook and Challenges for Newcomers. Perceptions: Journal of International Affairs, s. 57-84. google scholar
  • Walt, S. M. (1990). The Origins of Alliance. New York: Cornell University Press. google scholar
  • Waltz, K. N. (1996). Fighting Proliferation: New Concerns for the Nineties. Policy Paper 15: Peace, Stability, and Nuclear Weapons (s. 32-33). içinde Michigan: Michigan University Press. google scholar
  • Warren, J. M. (2018, 29 1). The Nuclear Non-Proliferation Regime: An Historical Perspective. Diplomacy & Statecraft, s. 3-28. google scholar
  • Xuetong, Y. (2019). Leadership and the rise of great powers. Washington: Princeton University Press. google scholar
There are 40 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Political Science (Other)
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Aylin Ece Çiçek 0000-0002-9606-509X

Publication Date April 19, 2024
Submission Date January 10, 2024
Acceptance Date March 4, 2024
Published in Issue Year 2024 Volume: 33 Issue: 1

Cite

APA Çiçek, A. E. (2024). Nuclear Powerplay: Traditional and Emerging State Dynamics in the United Nations General Assembly (1990-2017). Siyasal: Journal of Political Sciences, 33(1), 19-33. https://doi.org/10.26650/siyasal.2024.33.1417411