BibTex RIS Cite

Which Group of Individuals are subjected to Get Long-Term Unemployed During and After a Recession? Evidence from Turkey

Year 2015, Volume: 23 Issue: 24, 143 - 162, 21.04.2015

Hacı Taşçı , Ali Özdemir , Burak Darıcı

Abstract

This study tests the effects of individual characteristics on the incidence of being long-term unemployed in Turkey using data from Turkey’s Household Labor Force Surveys of 2010 and 2011 which are the first two following years of Global Economic Recession. The results indicate that females are more likely to be long-term unemployed than males and this result hinders for “gender discrimination” against women. The results also indicate that increases in education as well as age increases the probability of being long-term unemployed and this indicates inadequacy of education and experience in Turkish labor market.

Keywords

-

References

  • Acs, G. (2013), Responding to Long-Term Unemployment, Washington, DC: The Urban Institute, <http://www.urban.org/research/publication/responding-long-term-unemployment>, 16.01.2015.
  • Barnette, J. & A. Michaud (2012), “Wage Scars from Job Loss”, Working Paper, University of Akron, <http://www.uakron.edu/dotAsset/2264615.pdf>, 16.4.2015.
  • Blanco, A. & S. de la Rica (2002), Unemployed Older Workers Versus Prime Age Workers Differences in Their Re-Employment Determinants in Spain, <http://www.ehu.eus/SaradelaRica/docs/rea1.PDF>, 16.04.2015.
  • Biçerli, M.K. & N. Gündoğan (2001), “Profiling and Identification of Long-Term Unemployment in Turkey”, Ekonomik Yaklaşım, 12(41), 51-76.
  • Bildirici M. & Ö.Ö. Ersin & C. Türkmen & Y. Yalçınkaya (2012), “The Persistence Effect of Unemployment in Turkey: An Analysis of 1980-2010 Period”, Journal of Business Economics and Finance, 1(3).
  • Borie-Holtz, D. & C. Van Horn & C. Zukin (2010), No End in Sight: The Agony of Prolonged Unemployment, New Brunswick, NJ: John J. Heldrich Center for Workforce Development, Rutgers University.
  • Brown, S. & J.G. Sessions (1997), “A Profile of UK Unemployment: Regional Versus Demographic Influences”, Regional Studies, 31(4), 351–366.
  • Cameron, A.C. & P. Trivedi, (2005), Microeconometrics: Methods and Applications, Cambridge University Press.
  • Chilosi A. (2013), “Long-term Unemployment in the Varieties of Capitalism”, MPRA Paper No: 58553, posted at 14 September 2014, <http://mpra.ub.uni.muenchen.de/58553/>, 16.4.2015.
  • Erol H. & A. Özdemir (2012), “The Effectiveness of the Employment Policies Implemented in Turkey in the Times of Economic Crisis”, TODAIE’s Review of Public Administration, 6(2), 71-104.
  • Evans G.W. (1993), “Sectoral Imbalance and Unemployment in the United Kingdom: 1963-84”, Oxford Economic Papers, 45, 440-456.
  • Fagan, J. & R.B. Freeman (1999), “Crime and Work”, in: M. Tonry (Ed.), Crime and Justice: A Review of Research, 25,113-178. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
  • Folmer H. & J. Van Dijk (1988), “Differences of Unemployment Duration: A Regional or a Personal Problem?”, Applied Economics, 20, 1233-1251.
  • Geewax, M. (2011), “The Impacts of Long-Term Unemployment”, Part of an NPR special series, Still No Job: Over a Year without Enough Work, <http://www.npr.org/2011/12/09/143438731/the-impacts-of-long-termunemployment>.
  • Godofsky, J, & C. van Horn & C. Zukin (2010), American Workers Assess an Economic Disaster, New Brunswick, NJ: John J. Heldrich Center for Workforce Development, Rutgers University.
  • Greene, W.H. (2012), Econometric Analysis, Seventh Edition, Prentice-Hall, New Jersey, USA.
  • Heckman, J.J. (1979), “Sample Selection Bias as a Specification Error”, Econometrica, 47(l), 53-161.
  • Hornstein, A. & T.A. Lubik (2010), “The Rise in Long-Term Unemployment Potential Causes and Implications”, 2010 Annual Report, The Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
  • ICF GHK (2012), “Tackling Long-Term Unemployment– Effective Strategies and Tools to Address Long-Term Unemployment”, Seminar Report, Brussels, <http://ec.europa.eu/social/main.jsp?catId=327>.
  • ILO (2014), Global Employment Trends: Risk of a Jobless Recovery?, International Labour Offıce, Geneva.
  • ILO (2013), Global Employment Trends for Women, International Labour Office, Geneva.
  • Jackman, R. & R. Layard (1991), “Does Long-Term Unemployment Reduce a Person’s Chance of a Job? A Time-series Test”, Economica, 58, 107–121.
  • Johnson, R.W. & A. Feng (2013), Financial Consequences of Long-Term Unemployment during the Great Recession and Recovery, Washington, DC: The Urban Institute. <http://www.urban.org/publications/412800.html>.
  • Klobuchar, A. (2013), Long-term Unemployment in the United States, Joint Economic Committee, United States Congress.
  • Kroft, K. & L. Fabian & M.J. Notowidigdo (2012), “Duration Dependence and Labor Market Conditions: Theory and Evidence from a Field Experiment”, Working Paper, Nr. 18387, Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, <http://papers.nber.org/papers/w18387>.
  • Krueger, A. & C. Cramer & D. Cho (2014), “Are the Long-Term Unemployed on the Margins of the Labor Market?”, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity.
  • Krugman, Paul, (2015), Targeting Two: Long-term Unemployed Struggle as Economy Improves, <http://economistsview.typepad.com/economistsview/2014/09/long-term-unemployed-struggle-as-economy-improves.html>.
  • Lancaster, T. & S. Nickell (1980), “The Analysis of Re-Employment Probabilities for the Unemployed”, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, 143, 141-165.
  • Layard R. & S. Nickell & R. Jackman (1991), “Unemployment: Macroeconomic Performance and the Labour Market”, Journal of Economic Literature, 45(2), 410-418.
  • Lee, Lung-fei (2001), “Self-Selection”, in: Baltagi, B. (ed), A Companion to Theoretical Econometrics, Blackwell Publishers, Oxford, UK.
  • Ljungqvist, L. & T.J. Sargent (1998), “The European Unemployment Dilemma”, Journal of Political Economy, 106, 514.
  • Machin, S. & A. Manning (1999), “The Causes and Consequences of Long-term Unemployment in Europe”, in: Handbook of Labor Economics 3, edited by Orley Ashenfelter and David Card, 3085–3139, Amsterdam: Elsevier.
  • Mincer, J. (1991), “Education and Unemployment”, NBER Working Paper, No. 3838.
  • Narendranathan, W. & S. Nickell (1985), “Modelling the Process of Job Search”, Journal of Econometrics, 28(1) 29-49.
  • Nichols A. & J. Mitchell & S. Lindner (2013), Consequences of Long-Term Unemployment, Washington, DC: The Urban Institute.
  • Nickell, S.J. (1979), “Estimating the Probability of Leaving Unemployment”, Econometrica, 47(5), 1249-1266.
  • OECD (2012), “Structural Policy Reforms in Times of Crises”, Chapter 1 in Economic Policy Reforms, Going for Growth.
  • Payne C. & J. Payne (2000), “Early Identification of the Long-Term Unemployed”, PSI Research Discussion Paper 4, <http://www.psi.org.uk/publications/Research%20Discussion_Paper_4.pdf>.
  • Skirbekk, V. (2004), “Age and Individual Productivity: A Literature Survey”, Vienna Yearbook of Population Research, 133–153.
  • Tansel, A. & H.M. Taşçı (2010), “Hazard Analysis of Unemployment Duration by Gender in a Developing Country: The Case of Turkey”, Labour, 24(4), 501–530.
  • Taşçı, H.M. & A.R. Özdemir (2005), “Trends in Long-Term Unemployment and Determinants of Incidence of Long-Term Unemployment in Turkey”, Journal of Economic and Social Research, 7(2), 1-33.
  • TURKSTAT (Turkish Statistical Institute) (2013), <http://www.tuik.gov.tr>, September 15, 2013.
  • Van Ours, J.C. & L. Stoeldraijer (2010), “Age, Wage and Productivity”, Center Discussion Paper, No. 12, Tilburg University.
  • Verbeek, M. (2004), A Guide to Modern Econometrics, 2nd Edition, Erasmus University Rotterdam.
  • White House Press Office (2014), “Getting Long-Term Unemployed Americans Back to Work”, <http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2014/10/15/fact-sheet-getting-long-term-unemployed-americans-back-work>.
  • Wooldridge, J.M. (2010), Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data, The MIT Press. Cambridge.
  • World Bank Report (2006), “Turkey Labor Market Study”, by Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Unit for Europe and Central Asia Region, Report No. 33254-TR.

Which Group of Individuals are subjected to Get Long-Term Unemployed During and After a Recession? Evidence from Turkey

Year 2015, Volume: 23 Issue: 24, 143 - 162, 21.04.2015

Hacı Taşçı , Ali Özdemir , Burak Darıcı

Abstract

This study tests the effects of individual characteristics on the incidence of being long-term unemployed in Turkey using data from Turkey’s Household Labor Force Surveys of 2010 and 2011 which are the first two following years of Global Economic Recession. The results indicate that females are more likely to be long-term unemployed than males and this result hinders for “gender discrimination” against women. The results also indicate that increases in education as well as age increases the probability of being long-term unemployed and this indicates inadequacy of education and experience in Turkish labor market.

Keywords

-

References

  • Acs, G. (2013), Responding to Long-Term Unemployment, Washington, DC: The Urban Institute, <http://www.urban.org/research/publication/responding-long-term-unemployment>, 16.01.2015.
  • Barnette, J. & A. Michaud (2012), “Wage Scars from Job Loss”, Working Paper, University of Akron, <http://www.uakron.edu/dotAsset/2264615.pdf>, 16.4.2015.
  • Blanco, A. & S. de la Rica (2002), Unemployed Older Workers Versus Prime Age Workers Differences in Their Re-Employment Determinants in Spain, <http://www.ehu.eus/SaradelaRica/docs/rea1.PDF>, 16.04.2015.
  • Biçerli, M.K. & N. Gündoğan (2001), “Profiling and Identification of Long-Term Unemployment in Turkey”, Ekonomik Yaklaşım, 12(41), 51-76.
  • Bildirici M. & Ö.Ö. Ersin & C. Türkmen & Y. Yalçınkaya (2012), “The Persistence Effect of Unemployment in Turkey: An Analysis of 1980-2010 Period”, Journal of Business Economics and Finance, 1(3).
  • Borie-Holtz, D. & C. Van Horn & C. Zukin (2010), No End in Sight: The Agony of Prolonged Unemployment, New Brunswick, NJ: John J. Heldrich Center for Workforce Development, Rutgers University.
  • Brown, S. & J.G. Sessions (1997), “A Profile of UK Unemployment: Regional Versus Demographic Influences”, Regional Studies, 31(4), 351–366.
  • Cameron, A.C. & P. Trivedi, (2005), Microeconometrics: Methods and Applications, Cambridge University Press.
  • Chilosi A. (2013), “Long-term Unemployment in the Varieties of Capitalism”, MPRA Paper No: 58553, posted at 14 September 2014, <http://mpra.ub.uni.muenchen.de/58553/>, 16.4.2015.
  • Erol H. & A. Özdemir (2012), “The Effectiveness of the Employment Policies Implemented in Turkey in the Times of Economic Crisis”, TODAIE’s Review of Public Administration, 6(2), 71-104.
  • Evans G.W. (1993), “Sectoral Imbalance and Unemployment in the United Kingdom: 1963-84”, Oxford Economic Papers, 45, 440-456.
  • Fagan, J. & R.B. Freeman (1999), “Crime and Work”, in: M. Tonry (Ed.), Crime and Justice: A Review of Research, 25,113-178. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
  • Folmer H. & J. Van Dijk (1988), “Differences of Unemployment Duration: A Regional or a Personal Problem?”, Applied Economics, 20, 1233-1251.
  • Geewax, M. (2011), “The Impacts of Long-Term Unemployment”, Part of an NPR special series, Still No Job: Over a Year without Enough Work, <http://www.npr.org/2011/12/09/143438731/the-impacts-of-long-termunemployment>.
  • Godofsky, J, & C. van Horn & C. Zukin (2010), American Workers Assess an Economic Disaster, New Brunswick, NJ: John J. Heldrich Center for Workforce Development, Rutgers University.
  • Greene, W.H. (2012), Econometric Analysis, Seventh Edition, Prentice-Hall, New Jersey, USA.
  • Heckman, J.J. (1979), “Sample Selection Bias as a Specification Error”, Econometrica, 47(l), 53-161.
  • Hornstein, A. & T.A. Lubik (2010), “The Rise in Long-Term Unemployment Potential Causes and Implications”, 2010 Annual Report, The Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
  • ICF GHK (2012), “Tackling Long-Term Unemployment– Effective Strategies and Tools to Address Long-Term Unemployment”, Seminar Report, Brussels, <http://ec.europa.eu/social/main.jsp?catId=327>.
  • ILO (2014), Global Employment Trends: Risk of a Jobless Recovery?, International Labour Offıce, Geneva.
  • ILO (2013), Global Employment Trends for Women, International Labour Office, Geneva.
  • Jackman, R. & R. Layard (1991), “Does Long-Term Unemployment Reduce a Person’s Chance of a Job? A Time-series Test”, Economica, 58, 107–121.
  • Johnson, R.W. & A. Feng (2013), Financial Consequences of Long-Term Unemployment during the Great Recession and Recovery, Washington, DC: The Urban Institute. <http://www.urban.org/publications/412800.html>.
  • Klobuchar, A. (2013), Long-term Unemployment in the United States, Joint Economic Committee, United States Congress.
  • Kroft, K. & L. Fabian & M.J. Notowidigdo (2012), “Duration Dependence and Labor Market Conditions: Theory and Evidence from a Field Experiment”, Working Paper, Nr. 18387, Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, <http://papers.nber.org/papers/w18387>.
  • Krueger, A. & C. Cramer & D. Cho (2014), “Are the Long-Term Unemployed on the Margins of the Labor Market?”, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity.
  • Krugman, Paul, (2015), Targeting Two: Long-term Unemployed Struggle as Economy Improves, <http://economistsview.typepad.com/economistsview/2014/09/long-term-unemployed-struggle-as-economy-improves.html>.
  • Lancaster, T. & S. Nickell (1980), “The Analysis of Re-Employment Probabilities for the Unemployed”, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, 143, 141-165.
  • Layard R. & S. Nickell & R. Jackman (1991), “Unemployment: Macroeconomic Performance and the Labour Market”, Journal of Economic Literature, 45(2), 410-418.
  • Lee, Lung-fei (2001), “Self-Selection”, in: Baltagi, B. (ed), A Companion to Theoretical Econometrics, Blackwell Publishers, Oxford, UK.
  • Ljungqvist, L. & T.J. Sargent (1998), “The European Unemployment Dilemma”, Journal of Political Economy, 106, 514.
  • Machin, S. & A. Manning (1999), “The Causes and Consequences of Long-term Unemployment in Europe”, in: Handbook of Labor Economics 3, edited by Orley Ashenfelter and David Card, 3085–3139, Amsterdam: Elsevier.
  • Mincer, J. (1991), “Education and Unemployment”, NBER Working Paper, No. 3838.
  • Narendranathan, W. & S. Nickell (1985), “Modelling the Process of Job Search”, Journal of Econometrics, 28(1) 29-49.
  • Nichols A. & J. Mitchell & S. Lindner (2013), Consequences of Long-Term Unemployment, Washington, DC: The Urban Institute.
  • Nickell, S.J. (1979), “Estimating the Probability of Leaving Unemployment”, Econometrica, 47(5), 1249-1266.
  • OECD (2012), “Structural Policy Reforms in Times of Crises”, Chapter 1 in Economic Policy Reforms, Going for Growth.
  • Payne C. & J. Payne (2000), “Early Identification of the Long-Term Unemployed”, PSI Research Discussion Paper 4, <http://www.psi.org.uk/publications/Research%20Discussion_Paper_4.pdf>.
  • Skirbekk, V. (2004), “Age and Individual Productivity: A Literature Survey”, Vienna Yearbook of Population Research, 133–153.
  • Tansel, A. & H.M. Taşçı (2010), “Hazard Analysis of Unemployment Duration by Gender in a Developing Country: The Case of Turkey”, Labour, 24(4), 501–530.
  • Taşçı, H.M. & A.R. Özdemir (2005), “Trends in Long-Term Unemployment and Determinants of Incidence of Long-Term Unemployment in Turkey”, Journal of Economic and Social Research, 7(2), 1-33.
  • TURKSTAT (Turkish Statistical Institute) (2013), <http://www.tuik.gov.tr>, September 15, 2013.
  • Van Ours, J.C. & L. Stoeldraijer (2010), “Age, Wage and Productivity”, Center Discussion Paper, No. 12, Tilburg University.
  • Verbeek, M. (2004), A Guide to Modern Econometrics, 2nd Edition, Erasmus University Rotterdam.
  • White House Press Office (2014), “Getting Long-Term Unemployed Americans Back to Work”, <http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2014/10/15/fact-sheet-getting-long-term-unemployed-americans-back-work>.
  • Wooldridge, J.M. (2010), Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data, The MIT Press. Cambridge.
  • World Bank Report (2006), “Turkey Labor Market Study”, by Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Unit for Europe and Central Asia Region, Report No. 33254-TR.
There are 47 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Hacı Taşçı

Ali Özdemir

Burak Darıcı

Publication Date April 21, 2015
Submission Date April 21, 2015
Published in Issue Year 2015 Volume: 23 Issue: 24

Cite

APA Taşçı, H., Özdemir, A., & Darıcı, B. (2015). Which Group of Individuals are subjected to Get Long-Term Unemployed During and After a Recession? Evidence from Turkey. Sosyoekonomi, 23(24), 143-162. https://doi.org/10.17233/se.14138
AMA Taşçı H, Özdemir A, Darıcı B. Which Group of Individuals are subjected to Get Long-Term Unemployed During and After a Recession? Evidence from Turkey. Sosyoekonomi. April 2015;23(24):143-162. doi:10.17233/se.14138
Chicago Taşçı, Hacı, Ali Özdemir, and Burak Darıcı. “Which Group of Individuals Are Subjected to Get Long-Term Unemployed During and After a Recession? Evidence from Turkey”. Sosyoekonomi 23, no. 24 (April 2015): 143-62. https://doi.org/10.17233/se.14138.
EndNote Taşçı H, Özdemir A, Darıcı B (April 1, 2015) Which Group of Individuals are subjected to Get Long-Term Unemployed During and After a Recession? Evidence from Turkey. Sosyoekonomi 23 24 143–162.
IEEE H. Taşçı, A. Özdemir, and B. Darıcı, “Which Group of Individuals are subjected to Get Long-Term Unemployed During and After a Recession? Evidence from Turkey”, Sosyoekonomi, vol. 23, no. 24, pp. 143–162, 2015, doi: 10.17233/se.14138.
ISNAD Taşçı, Hacı et al. “Which Group of Individuals Are Subjected to Get Long-Term Unemployed During and After a Recession? Evidence from Turkey”. Sosyoekonomi 23/24 (April 2015), 143-162. https://doi.org/10.17233/se.14138.
JAMA Taşçı H, Özdemir A, Darıcı B. Which Group of Individuals are subjected to Get Long-Term Unemployed During and After a Recession? Evidence from Turkey. Sosyoekonomi. 2015;23:143–162.
MLA Taşçı, Hacı et al. “Which Group of Individuals Are Subjected to Get Long-Term Unemployed During and After a Recession? Evidence from Turkey”. Sosyoekonomi, vol. 23, no. 24, 2015, pp. 143-62, doi:10.17233/se.14138.
Vancouver Taşçı H, Özdemir A, Darıcı B. Which Group of Individuals are subjected to Get Long-Term Unemployed During and After a Recession? Evidence from Turkey. Sosyoekonomi. 2015;23(24):143-62.
 Download Cover Image