Otuz Yıl Krizi: ABD Hegemonyasının Gerileyişi ve Çin'in Yükselişi

Year 2024, , 557 - 590, 25.07.2024

Haşim Türker

https://doi.org/10.30626/tesamakademi.1337511

Abstract

Bu makale, ABD hegemonyasının gerileyişi ve Çin'in yükselişi ile karakterize edilen mevcut küresel ortamı incelemekte ve Carr'ın "Yirmi Yıl Krizi" ile paralellikler kurmaktadır. Realizmin yeniden canlanması, Çin'in küresel bir güç olarak yükselişi, ABD liderliğine yönelik meydan okumalar ve küresel bir askeri çatışmanın potansiyel riskleri de dahil olmak üzere bu değişimlerin sonuçları araştırılmaktadır.

Güç politikalarının yeniden canlanması, Soğuk Savaş sonrası dönemde azaldığı yönündeki yaygın inanca meydan okumaktadır. Rusya ve Çin gibi büyük güçlerin toprak anlaşmazlıkları ve ulusal çıkar arayışları, realizmin süregelen geçerliliğini vurgulamaktadır. Çin'in küresel bir güç olarak hızlı yükselişi, geçmişte Amerika Birleşik Devletleri'nin süper güç olarak ortaya çıkışının bir yansımasıdır. Bu arada ABD, ekonomik ve teknolojik üstünlüğünün gerileyişi ve Çin'in ABD’nin liderliğine yönelik önemli bir tehdit oluşturması nedeniyle zorluklarla karşı karşıyadır. Sonuç olarak, Carr'ın "Yirmi Yıl Kriz"ine benzer şekilde, mevcut küresel ortam, çağımızın karmaşıklıklarını anlamak ve ele almak için bütüncül bir yaklaşımı gerekli kılmaktadır.

Keywords

Yirmi Yıl Krizi, Amerika Birleşik Devletleri, Çin, Çin, Carr

Thirty Years' Crisis: The Decline of U.S. Hegemony and the Rise of China

Abstract

This article examines the current global landscape, characterized by the decline of US hegemony and the rise of China, and draws parallels to Carr's "Twenty Years' Crisis." The implications of these shifts are explored, including the resurgence of realism, China's ascent as a global power, challenges to US leadership, and the potential risks of a global military conflict.

The resurgence of power politics challenges the prevailing belief that it had diminished in the post-Cold War era. Territorial disputes and the pursuit of national interests by major powers such as Russia and China highlight the enduring relevance of realism. China's rapid rise as a global power echoes the emergence of the United States as a superpower in the past. Meanwhile, the United States faces challenges as its economic and technological superiority wanes, with China posing a significant threat to its leadership. In conclusion, the current global landscape, similar to Carr's "Twenty Years' Crisis," demands a holistic approach to understanding and addressing the complexities of our time.

Keywords

Twenty Years, United States, China, Rise of China, Carr

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