Nitelikli Karton Üretiminde Üretim Hattı Modellemesinin Güvenilirlik Analizi ile Değerlendirilmesi

Year 2025, Volume: 59 Issue: 1, 167 - 184, 22.01.2025

Aykut Güleryüz , Hüseyin Ünözkan , Mehmet Yılmaz

https://doi.org/10.51551/verimlilik.1465934

Abstract

Amaç: Üretim hatlarının uzun vadeli üretim beklentisini hesaplamak için yeni bir model geliştirmek ve bu modelin üretim planlama ve kontrolünde nasıl kullanılabileceğini göstermektir.
Yöntem: Üretim hattında mekanik birimlerin değerlendirilmesi ve performans ölçümü üzerine odaklanarak iyileştirme çabalarını ölçmek için gerçek veri setlerinden yararlanarak geçiş olasılıklarının hesaplanması ve uzun vadeli üretim kapasitesinin belirlenmesini içermektedir. Bu hesaplamalar, Markov Zinciri ve güvenilirlik analizi gibi yöntemler kullanılarak yapılmaktadır.
Bulgular: Altı üretim hattına sahip bir işletme için uzun vadeli bir üretim beklentisini yüksek doğruluk oranı ile kestirebilmektedir.
Özgünlük: Çalışmada önerilen modelin ve metodun, düzenli verinin tutulduğu herhangi bir üretim hattı problemini etkili bir şekilde çözebileceği düşünülmektedir.

Keywords

Uzun Vadeli Beklenti, Markov Zinciri, Üretim Hattı, Güvenilirlik Analizi, Geçiş Matrisi

Evaluation of Production Line Modelling in Qualified Cardboard Production with Reliability Analysis

Abstract

Purpose: To develop a new model for calculating the long-term production expectation of production lines and to show how this model can be used in production planning and control.
Methodology: The methodology leverages real-world data to assess mechanical unit performance and improvement efforts. By calculating transition probabilities and employing Markov Chain and reliability analysis, it predicts long-term production capacity for the production line.
Findings: It can predict long-term production expectations with high accuracy for a business with six production lines.
Originality: The proposed model and method in this current study are capable of effectively addressing any production line problem where regular data is maintained.

Keywords

Long-Term Expectation, Markov Chain, Production Line, Reliability Analysis, Transition Matrix

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