TÜRKİYE’DE YENİLENEBİLİR ENERJİ TÜKETİMİNİN EKONOMİK BÜYÜME ÜZERİNDEKİ ASİMETRİK ETKİLERİ

Yıl 2019, Cilt: 6 Sayı: 1, 117 - 134, 29.04.2019

Şükrü Apaydın Afşin Güngör Celal Taşdoğan

https://doi.org/10.30798/makuiibf.505104

Cited By: 10

Öz

Ekonomik büyüme ve kalkınma, tüm dünya ülkelerinin en temel amacıdır. Artan enerji talebinin önemli bir kısmı birincil enerji kaynaklarından karşılanmasına rağmen, son yıllarda yenilenebilir enerji kaynaklarının üretim ve tüketimi de giderek artmaktadır. Bu çalışmanın amacı yenilenebilir enerji tüketiminin ekonomik büyüme üzerindeki asimetrik etkilerini ampirik olarak analiz etmektir. Türkiye’nin 1965-2017 dönemine ait verileri kullanılarak yapılan analizde, doğrusal olmayan gecikmesi dağıtılmış otoregresif model kullanılmıştır. Elde edilen bulgulara göre, yenilenebilir enerji tüketimi ile ekonomik büyüme arasında doğru orantılı bir ilişki vardır. Ancak yenilenebilir enerji tüketiminde meydana gelen pozitif ve negatif şoklar, büyüme üzerinde asimetrik etkiler ortaya koymaktadır. Çalışmada yenilenebilir enerji tüketimindeki pozitif şoklarının etkisinin, negatif şokların etkisine göre daha küçük olduğu bulunmuştur. Yenilenebilir enerji tüketimindeki yüzde birlik artış ekonomik büyümeyi yaklaşık olarak yüzde 0.4 oranında artırırken, yüzde birlik azalışlar büyümeyi yüzde 0,7 oranında azaltmaktadır. 

Anahtar Kelimeler

Yenilenebilir Enerji, Ekonomik Büyüme, NARDL Modeli, Türkiye

THE ASYMMETRIC EFFECTS OF RENEWABLE ENERGY CONSUMPTION ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN TURKEY

Öz

Economic growth and development is the main aim of all countries worldwide. Although an important part of the increasing demand is met by primary energy sources, the production and the consumption of renewable energy sources have risen in recent years. The objective of this study is to empirically analyze the asymmetric effects of renewable energy consumption on economic growth. In the analysis conducted using Turkey's 1965-2017 period data, the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model was used. According to the results, there is a direct correlation between renewable energy consumption and economic growth. However, positive and negative shocks in renewable energy consumption have asymmetric effects on growth. In the study, it has found that the impact of positive shocks in renewable energy consumption was smaller than the effect of negative shocks.The one percent increase in renewable energy consumption increases economic growth by approximately 0.4 percent, while the one percent fall decreases growth by 0.7 percent.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Renewable energy, Economic growth, NARDL Model, Turkey

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