TY  - JOUR
T1  - الشراكة الاقتصادية بين تركيا ودول مجلس التعاون الخليجي: نهج التكامل المشترك
TT  - Unveiling the Türkiye-GCC Economic Partnership: ARDL Cointegration Approach
AU  - Akkaş, Erhan
PY  - 2024
DA  - September
Y2  - 2024
DO  - 10.36360/1560-013-003-003
JF  - Rouya Türkiyyah
PB  - SETA Siyaset Ekonomi ve Toplum Araştırmaları Vakfı
WT  - DergiPark
SN  - 2458-8458
SP  - 47
EP  - 68
VL  - 13
IS  - 3
LA  - ar
AB  - تتناول هذا الدراسة تحليل العلاقة الاقتصادية بين تركيا ودول مجلس التعاون الخليجي، مع التركيز بشكل خاص على الروابط الاقتصادية والتجارية. وتزعم أنه في حين زادت العلاقات المتبادلة خلال عهد حزب العدالة والتنمية، فإنّ العلاقات التجارية التاريخية كانت عرضة للتقلبات أكثر؛ بسبب تفضيلات السياسة الإقليمية والخارجية. والتحليل الوصفي باستخدام البيانات الثانوية يدعم هذا الادعاء. كما أنه يجري في هذا البحث استخدام تقنيات التكامل المشترك لتحليل العلاقة التجارية بين الجانبين تجريبيًّا من عام 1994 إلى عام 2020.
KW  - تركيا
KW  - مجلس التعاون الخليجي
KW  - الترابط الاقتصادي
KW  - العلاقات الاقتصادية
N2  - This analysis examines the economic relationship between Türkiye and the GCC countries, focusing notably on the economic and trade ties. It argues that while mutual relations have increased during the AK Party era, historical commercial relations have been subject to fluctuations due to regional and foreign policy preferences. Descriptive analysis using secondary data supports this claim. Cointegration techniques are also employed to empirically analyze the trade relationship between the two sides from1994to2020.
CR  - Serhat S. Çubukçuoğlu and Mouza Hasan Almarzooqi, “What’s Behind Growing Ties between Turkey and the Gulf States,” Atlantic Council, (July 21, 2023), retrieved April 10, 2024, from https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/turkeysource/whats-behind-growing-ties-between-turkey-and-the-gulf-states/#:~:text=Turkey%20and%20the%20GCC%20countries,beneficial%2C%20in%20a%20volatile%20world.
CR  - Dorothée Schmid and Jules Subervie, “Turkey/GCC Economic Relations,” IFRI, (September 2014), retrieved April 15, 2024, from https://www.ifri.org/sites/default/files/atoms/files/article-subervie-final.pdf.
CR  - Erdal Tanas Karagöl, “The Turkish Economy During the Justice and Development Party Decade,” Insight Turkey, Vol. 15, No. 4 (October 5, 2013), pp. 115-129.
CR  - Nader Habibi, “Turkey-GCC Trade Talks Mark another Step toward Rapprochement with Arab World,” Stimson, (April 11, 2024), retrieved June 10, 2024, from https://www.stimson.org/2024/turkey-gcc-trade-talks-mark-another-step-toward-rapprochement-with-arab-world/.
CR  - Pramod Kumar, “Turkey and GCC to Create $2.4trn Free Trade Area,” Arabian Gulf Business Inside, (March 22, 2024), retrieved April 5, 2024, from https://www.agbi.com/trade/2024/03/turkey-and-gcc-set-to-create-2-4trn-free-trade-area/.
CR  - Emilie Rutledge and Efstathios Polyzos, “The Rise of GCC‐East Asian Trade: A Cointegration Approach to Analysing Trade Relationships,” The World Economy, Vol. 46,
  İnsel and Tekçe, “Econometric Analysis of the Bilateral Trade Flows in the Gulf Cooperation Council Countries.”
CR  - Erhan Akkaş and Süleyman Orhun Altıparmak, “The Reshaping Oil and Arms Trade between the United States and GCC: Is the Theory of Complex Interdependence Still Prevailing?” Journal of Asian and African Studies, Vol. 57, No. 7 (202), pp. 1430-1445.
CR  - Ahmed Saddam and Fatimah Kari, “Size of Economy, Cost of Transport and Their Impact on Trade in GCC Countries: Evidence from Qualitative and Quantitative Approaches,” Journal of Finance and Investment Analysis, Vol. 1, No. 3 (2012), pp. 137-169; Imran Alam and Shahid Ahmed, “Prospects of India-GCC Trade Relations: An Empirical Investigation,” Foreign Trade Review, Vol. 52, No. 2 (March 30, 207), pp. 118-129.
CR  - Sean Foley, “Turkey and the Gulf States in the Twenty-first Century,” Middle East Review of International Affairs (MERIA), Vol. 14, No. 3 (September 2010), pp. 29-37.
CR  - Hürsoy, “Turkey’s Foreign Policy and Economic Interests in the Gulf.”
CR  - Harunoğlu, “Turkey’s Intensifying Partnership with Qatar and Its Implications for Turkish-American Relations.”
CR  - “Qatar-Gulf Crisis: How It All Got Started on June 5,” Al Jazeera, (November 26, 2017), retrieved April 20, 2024, from https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/11/26/qatar-gulf-crisis-how-it-all-got-started-on-june-5.
CR  - “Turkey and Qatar: Behind the Strategic Alliance,” Al Jazeera, (August 16, 2018) retrieved April 20, 2024 from https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2018/8/16/turkey-and-qatar-behind-the-strategic-alliance.
CR  - When collecting secondary data, it is expected that in bilateral trade, Türkiye’s exports to GCC countries will be numerically equal to GCC countries’ imports from Türkiye, or vice versa. However, depending on the base country’s data, the figures announced by the countries may differ. Therefore, there may be discrepancies between Türkiye’s export to the GCC countries and the GCC countries’ import from Türkiye, depending on the countries used as the basis for analysis. This numerical difference arises from this reason in the following tables and figures.
CR  - Rouya Turkiyyah, vol. 12, no. 3, 2023. https://rouyaturkiyyah.com/
CR  - “Trade Map,” International Trade Center, retrieved April 5, 2024 from https://www.trademap.org/Index.aspx.
CR  - “Trade Map,” International Trade Center.
CR  - “Foreign Direct Investments,” Türkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankası, retrieved April 1, 2024 from https://evds2.tcmb.gov.tr/index.php?/evds/dashboard/4944.
CR  - للمزيد حول المعادلات الرياضية المستخدمة في حسابات التكامل المشترك يرجى الاطلاع على: https://www.insightturkey.com/article/unveiling-the-turkiye-gcc-economic-partnership-ardl-cointegration-approach
CR  - “Saudi Lifts Unofficial Ban on Turkish Goods,” Middle East Monitor, (January 26, 2022), retrieved April 5, 2024 from https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20220126-saudi-lifts-unofficial-ban-on-turkish-goods/.
UR  - https://doi.org/10.36360/1560-013-003-003
L1  - http://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/4398001
ER  -