TY - JOUR T1 - Küreselleşmenin Hisse Senedi Piyasası Oynaklığı Üzerindeki Etkisi: BRICS-T Ülkeleri Örneği TT - The Impact of Globalization on Stock Market Volatility: The Case of BRICS-T Countries AU - Kurt, Pınar AU - Kılıç, Metin PY - 2025 DA - September Y2 - 2025 DO - 10.30784/epfad.1642047 JF - Ekonomi Politika ve Finans Araştırmaları Dergisi JO - EPF Journal PB - Ekonomi ve Finansal Araştırmalar Derneği WT - DergiPark SN - 2587-151X SP - 1263 EP - 1292 VL - 10 IS - 3 LA - tr AB - Küreselleşme, ekonomik, finansal, ticari, politik ve sosyal ilişkilerin yoğunlaştığı bir süreç olup, dünya ekonomisi ve finans piyasaları üzerinde önemli etkilere sahiptir. 1980’lerden itibaren birçok ülke ekonomilerini küreselleştirmeye yönelmiş ve bu süreç hisse senedi piyasalarının hareketliliğini artırarak fiyat oynaklığına (volatilite) neden olmuştur. Bu araştırmada, BRICS-T (Brezilya, Rusya, Hindistan, Güney Afrika, Çin ve Türkiye) ülkelerinde küreselleşmenin hisse senedi piyasası oynaklığı üzerindeki etkilerinin incelenmesi amaçlanmıştır. Araştırmada, hisse senedi piyasası oynaklığı bağımlı değişken, ekonomik, ticari, politik, finansal, sosyal ve kültürel küreselleşme ile ekonomik özgürlük endeksleri bağımsız değişkenler olarak kullanılmıştır. Değişkenlere ait veriler KOF İsviçre Ekonomi Enstitüsü, The Heritage Foundation ve World Bank/Bloomberg veri tabanından 1996-2020 dönemi için derlenmiştir. Verilerin analizinde panel veri analizlerinden yararlanılmıştır. Araştırmanın elde edilen sonuçlarına göre, küreselleşmenin hisse senedi piyasası üzerinde negatif yönlü azaltıcı bir etkisi olduğu, politik küreselleşmenin ise en fazla hisse senedi piyasası volatilitesi üzerinde etkisi olduğu bulunmuştur. Araştırmanın diğer bir sonucunda küreselleşme endekslerinde meydana gelen bir artış en fazla Rusya, en az ise Güney Afrika ülkesinin hisse senedi volatilitesi etkilediği sonucuna ulaşılmıştır. KW - Küreselleşme KW - Hisse Senedi KW - Oynaklık KW - BRICS N2 - Globalization is a process in which economic, financial, trade, political, and social relations intensify, significantly impacting the global economy and financial markets. Since the 1980s, many countries have pursued economic globalization, increased stock market activity, and led to price volatility. This study aims to examine the effects of globalization on stock market volatility in the BRICS-T countries (Brazil, Russia, India, South Africa, China, and Turkey). In the study, stock market volatility is used as the dependent variable, while economic, trade, political, financial, social, and cultural globalization, along with economic freedom indices, are used as independent variables. Data for the variables were collected from the KOF Swiss Economic Institute, the Heritage Foundation, and the World Bank/Bloomberg Database for the period 1996-2020. The data analysis employed panel data analysis methods. The findings indicate that globalization has a negative, volatility-reducing effect on stock markets, with political globalization having the most significant impact on stock market volatility. Another finding of the study suggests that an increase in globalization indices affects Russia's stock market volatility the most, while South Africa's stock market volatility is impacted the least. CR - Adıgüzel, M. (2011). Ekonomik, kültürel ve politik küreselleşme ve sonuçları (1.bs) Ankara: Nobel Yayınları. CR - Akkaya, G.C., Güney, S., Mocan, S. ve Tezcan, Ö. (2012). Enerji ve banka sektörlerine ait hisse senetleri üzerinde risk ayrıştırma çalışması. Ekonomi ve Yönetim Araştırmaları Dergisi, 1(1), 9–24. Erişim adresi: https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/eyad/ CR - Allazov, M. (2020). Impact of globalization on the World financial stock market. Paper presented at the 19th RSEP International Economics, Finance & Business Conference, Prague, Czechia. Retrieved from https://rsepconferences.com/past-conferences/19-th-rsep/ CR - Ballester, L., Escrivá, A.M. and González-Urteaga, A. (2021). The nexus between sovereign CDS and stock market volatility: New evidence. Mathematics, 9(11), 1201. https://doi.org/10.3390/math9111201 CR - Baltagi, B.H., Feng, Q. and Kao, C. (2012). A Lagrange multiplier test for cross-sectional dependence in a fixed effects panel data model. Journal of Econometrics, 170(1), 164–177. doi:10.1016/j.jeconom.2012.04.004 CR - Bayar, G., Güloğlu, B. ve Tokpunar, S. (2011). Türkiye ekonomisinin dinamikleri: Politika arayışları. 7. Ekonomik Yaklaşım Kongresi’nde sunulan bildiri, Gazi Üniversitesi, Ankara Erişim adresi: www.eykongre2011.org CR - BBC News. (2014). Brezilya’da seçim. Retrieved from https://www.bbc.com/turkce/ozeldosyalar/2014/09/140910_brezilya_secim CR - Bezgin, M.S. ve Karaçayır, E. (2022). Dow Jones Sukuk endeksiyle seçilmiş İslami hisse senedi endeksleri arasındaki volatilite etkileşimi. Ekonomi, Politika ve Finans Araştırmaları Dergisi, 7(3), 697–712. https://doi.org/10.30784/epfad.1116773 CR - Breusch, T.S. and Pagan, A.R. (1980). The Lagrange multiplier test and its applications to model specification in econometrics. The Review of Economic Studies, 47(1), 239–253. https://doi.org/10.2307/2297111 CR - Bulut, H. (2020). A panel cointegration study of the effect of R&D expenditures on innovation: The case of BRICS-T countries. In E. Sarıdoğan, B. Güloğlu, & C. Hannum (Eds.), The effects of technological innovations on competitiveness and economic growth (pp. 57–72). Istanbul: Istanbul University Press. CR - Cano-Berlanga, S. and Giménez-Gómez, J.M. (2018). On Chinese stock markets: How have they evolved over time? Annals of Operations Research, 266(1), 499–510. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-017-2532-9 CR - Carrion-i-Silvestre, J.L. (2005). Health care expenditure and GDP: Are they broken stationary? Journal of Health Economics, 24(5), 939–854. doi:10.1016/j.jhealeco.2005.01.001 CR - Castells, M. (1996). The rise of the network society (The Information Age: Economy, Society and Culture, Cilt 1). Cambridge (MA): Blackwell Publishers. CR - Chinzara, Z. (2011). Macroeconomic uncertainty and conditional stock market volatility in South Africa. South African Journal of Economics, 79(1), 27–49. doi:10.1111/j.1813-6982.2011.01262.x CR - Cordella, T. and Ospino Rojas, A. (2017). Financial globalization and market volatility: An empirical appraisal (World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8091). Retrieved from https://ssrn.com/abstract=2985517 CR - Çetintaş, Y. ve Aydın, C. (2022). Yenilenebilir enerji bağlamında çevre ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi: OECD ülkeleri örneği. Journal of Management and Economics Research, 20(1), 292–312. https://doi.org/10.11611/yead.1061056 CR - Çiğdem, G. and Altaylar, M. (2020). Cointegration evidences from the new fragile five. Journal of Life Economics, 7(3), 269-282. https://doi.org/10.15637/jlecon.7.020 CR - Dabwor, D.T., Lorember, P.T. and Danjuma, S.Y. (2020). Stock market returns, globalization and economic growth in Nigeria: Evidence from volatility and cointegrating analyses. Journal of Public Affairs, 22(2), e2393. https://doi.org/10.1002/pa.2393 CR - De Hoyos, R.E. and Sarafidis, V. (2006). Testing for cross-sectional dependence in panel-data models. The Stata Journal, 6(4), 482-496. https://doi.org/10.1177/1536867X0600600403 CR - Değirmenci, N. ve Abdioğlu, Z. (2018). Gelişmiş ülkeler ve kırılgan beşlilerin hisse senedi piyasaları arasındaki oynaklık yayılımı. Anadolu İktisat ve İşletme Dergisi, 2(2), 82-95. Erişim adresi: https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/anadoluiid CR - Demir, F., Karabıyık, A. ve Ayhan Küçük, E.E. (2008). ABD Mortgage krizi (BDDK Çalışma Tebliği Sayı No. 3). Erişim adresi: https://www.bddk.org.tr/Duyuru/EkGetir/325?ekId=327 CR - Demir, M.A. (2020). BRICS ülkelerinde ticari dinamikler: Türkiye ile BRICS grubu ülkelerin ticari yoğunluk analizi. Bilecik Şeyh Edebali Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 5 (TBMM 100. Yıl Özel Sayısı), 109-133. https://doi.org/10.33905/bseusbed.748704 CR - Deschamps, B., Fei, T., Jiang, Y. and Liu, X. (2022). Procyclical volatility in Chinese stock markets. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 58, 1117-1144. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11156-021-01020-0 CR - Di Iorio, F. and Fachin, S. (2008). A note on the estimation of long-run relationships in dependent cointegrated panels (MPRA Paper No. 12053). Retrived from https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/12053/ CR - Dobnik, F. (2011). Energy consumption and economic growth revisited: Structural breaks and cross-section dependence (SSRN Paper No. 1981869). http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1981869 CR - Doman, M. and Doman, R. (2013). Dynamic linkages between stock markets: The effects of crises and globalization. Portuguese Economic Journal, 12, 87-112. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10258-012-0085-8 CR - Dreher, A. (2006). Does globalization affect growth? Evidence from a new index of globalization. Applied Economics, 38(10), 1091-1110. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036840500392078 CR - Dritsaki, C. and Stiakakis, E. (2014). Foreign direct investments, exports, and economic growth in Croatia: A time series analysis. Procedia Economics and Finance, 14, 181-190. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2212-5671(14)00701-1 CR - Engle, R.F. and Granger, C.W. (1987). Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing. Econometrica, 55(2), 251-276. https://doi.org/10.2307/1913236 CR - Esqueda, O.A., Assefa, T.A. and Mollick, A.V. (2012). Financial globalization and stock market risk. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 22(1), 87-102. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2011.07.006 CR - Friedman, T.L. (2000). The Lexus and the olive tree. New York: Anchor Books. CR - Ghani, M., Guo, Q., Ma, F. and Li, T. (2022). Forecasting Pakistan stock market volatility: Evidence from economic variables and the uncertainty index. International Review of Economics & Finance, 80, 1180-1189. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2022.08.012 CR - Goel, K. and Gupta, R. (2011). Impact of globalization on stock market development in India. Delhi Business Review, 12(1), 69-84. doi:10.51768/dbr.v12i1.121201106 CR - Granger, C.W. and Newbold, P. (1974). Spurious regressions in econometrics. Journal of Econometrics, 2(2), 111-120. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4076(74)90034-7 CR - Gupta, R. and Modise, M.P. (2013). Macroeconomic variables and South African stock return predictability. Economic Modelling, 30, 612-622. doi:10.1016/j.econmod.2012.10.015 CR - Guven, M., Cetinguc, B., Guloglu, B. and Calisir, F. (2022). The effects of daily growth in COVID-19 deaths, cases, and governments response policies on stock markets of emerging economies. Research in International Business and Finance, 61, 101659. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2022.101659 CR - Güler, D.A. (2009). Finansal küreselleşmenin sermaye piyasaları üzerinde etkileri (Yayımlanmamış doktora tezi). Marmara Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, İstanbul. CR - Güloğlu, B. ve İspir, M.S. (2011). Doğal işsizlik oranı mı? İşsizlik histerisi mi? Türkiye için sektörel panel birim kök sınaması analizi. Ege Akademik Bakış, 11(2), 205-215. Erişim adresi: https://hdl.handle.net/ CR - Güloğlu, B., Tekin, R.B. and Sarıdoğan, E. (2012). Economic determinants of technological progress in G7 countries: A re-examination. Economics Letters, 116(3), 604-608. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2012.06.012 CR - Held, D., McGrew, A., Goldblatt, D. and Perraton, J. (1999). Global transformations: Politics, economics and culture. Oxford: Polity Press. CR - Heritage Foundation. (2024). 2024 index of economic freedom. Retrieved from https://www.heritage.org/index CR - Hofstede, G. (2001). Culture’s consequences: Comparing values, behaviors, institutions and organizations across nations (2. ed.). New Delhi: Sage Publications. CR - Hsing, Y. (2011). The stock market and macroeconomic variables in a BRICS country and policy implications. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 1(1), 12-18. Retrieved from www.econjournals.com CR - Huang, C.L. (2020). International stock market co-movements following US financial globalization. International Review of Economics & Finance, 69, 788-814. doi:10.1016/j.iref.2020.06.009 CR - Hull, J.C. and Basu, S. (2016). Options, futures, and other derivatives. Pearson Education India. CR - Idrees, S.M., Alam, M.A. and Agarwal, P. (2019). A prediction approach for stock market volatility based on time series data. IEEE Access, 7, 17287-17298. doi:10.1109/ACCESS.2019.2895252 CR - Insaidoo, M., Brafu-Insaidoo, W.G., Peprah, J.A. and Cantah, W.G. (2024). The role of financial globalization in the long-run volatility between forex and stock markets during COVID-19: Evidence from Africa. Research in Globalization, 9, 100242. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resglo.2024.100242 CR - Kadooğlu Aydın, G. ve Münyas, T. (2024). Politik istikrar/istikrarsızlık ve ekonomik büyüme endeksi arasındaki ilişkinin incelenmesi. Doğuş Üniversitesi Dergisi, 25(1), 145–170. https://doi.org/10.31671/doujournal.1285511 CR - Kar, M., Nazlıoğlu, Ş. and Ağır, H. (2011). Financial development and economic growth nexus in the MENA countries: Bootstrap panel Granger causality analysis. Economic Modelling, 28(1-2), 685-693. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2010.05.015 CR - Keohane, R.O. and Nye, J.S. (2000). Power and interdependence (3. ed.). New York: Longman. CR - Kevser, M., Tunçel, M.B., Gürsoy, S. and Zeren, F. (2023). The impact of environmental, social and governance (ESG) scores on stock market: Evidence from G7 countries. Journal of Global Responsibility, 1(1), 305-319. https://doi.org/10.1108/JGR-04-2023-0070 CR - Khan, R.M., Gul, F. and Ali, E. (2017). Factors influencing stock returns in listed firms of Karachi Stock Exchange. Paradigms, 11(2), 248-251. doi:10.24312/paradigms110219 CR - KOF Swiss Economic Institute. (2024). KOF globalisation index. Retrieved from https://kof.ethz.ch/en/forecasts-and-indicators/indicators/kof-globalisation-index.html CR - Kurt, P. (2024). Küreselleşmenin hisse senedi piyasası oynaklığı üzerindeki etkisi: BRICS-T ülkeleri örneği (Yayımlanmamış doktora tezi). Bandırma Onyedi Eylül Üniversitesi, Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, Bandırma. CR - Lam, S.S. and Ang, W.W.L. (2006). Globalization and stock market returns. Global Economy Journal, 6(1), 1-28. https://doi.org/10.2202/1524-5861.1118 CR - Lee, J. and Strazicich, M.C. (2003). Minimum Lagrange multiplier unit root test with two structural breaks. Review of Economics and Statistics, 85(4), 1082-1089. https://doi.org/10.1162/003465303772815961 CR - Li, W., Chien, F., Kamran, H.W., Aldeehani, T.M., Sadiq, M., Nguyen, V.C. and Taghizadeh-Hesary, F. (2022). The nexus between COVID-19 fear and stock market volatility. Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 35(1), 1765-1785. https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2021.1914125 CR - Mishra, A.K., Nakhate, A.T., Bagra, Y., Singh, A. and Kar, B.P. (2024). The impact of directional global economic policy uncertainty on Indian stock market volatility: New evidence. Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, 31, 423–452. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10690-023-09421-y CR - Mlambo, C., Maredza, A. and Sibanda, K. (2013). Effects of exchange rate volatility on the stock market: A case study of South Africa. Mediterranean Journal of Social Sciences, 4(14), 561–570. https://doi.org/10.5901/mjss.2013.v4n14p561 CR - O’Connell, P. (1998). The overvaluation of purchasing power parity. Journal of International Economics, 44, 1–19. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1996(97)00017-2 CR - Oluwole, F.O. (2014). Globalization and stock market growth in Nigeria. European Scientific Journal, 10(31), 317-332. Retrieved from https://core.ac.uk/ CR - Pedroni, P. (1996). Fully modified OLS for heterogeneous cointegrated panels and the case of purchasing power parity. Indiana University Department of Economics, 5, 1-45. Retrieved from http://web.williams.edu/ CR - Pedroni, P. (2000). Fully-modified OLS for heterogeneous cointegrated panels. Advances in Econometrics, 15, 93-130. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0731-9053(00)15004-2 CR - Pedroni, P. (2001). Purchasing power parity tests in cointegrated panels. Review of Economics and Statistics, 83(4), 727-731. https://doi.org/10.1162/003465301753237803 CR - Pedroni, P. (2004). Panel cointegration: Asymptotic and finite sample properties of pooled time series tests with an application to the PPP hypothesis. Econometric Theory, 20(3), 597-625. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0266466604203073 CR - Pesaran, M.H. (2007). A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross-section dependence. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22(2), 265-312. https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.951 CR - Pesaran, M.H. (2015). Time series and panel data econometrics (1st ed.). Oxford: Oxford University Press. CR - Pesaran, M.H. and Yamagata, T. (2008). Testing slope homogeneity in large panels. Journal of Econometrics, 142(1), 50-93. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2007.05.010 CR - Pesaran, M.H., Ullah, A. and Yamagata, T. (2008). A bias-adjusted LM test of error cross-section independence. The Econometrics Journal, 11(1), 105-127. Retrieved from https://files.econ.cam.ac.uk/ CR - Satrovic, E., Ahmad, M. and Muslija, A. (2021). Does democracy improve environmental quality of GCC region? Analysis robust to cross-section dependence and slope heterogeneity. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 28, 62927-62942. doi:10.1007/s11356-021-15020-z CR - Steger, M.B. (2003). Globalization: A very short introduction (1. ed.). Oxford: Oxford University Press. CR - Swamy, P.A. (1970). Efficient inference in a random coefficient regression model. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 311-323. https://doi.org/10.2307/1913012 CR - Uçar, İ.H., Alsu, E. (2022). Hisse senedi piyasaları arasındaki uzun dönem ilişkisinin incelenmesi: Türkiye, Çin, Hindistan ve Pakistan örneği. Social Science Development Journal, 7(34), 241-265. http://dx.doi.org/10.31567/ssd.753 CR - Uçar, Ö. (2023). Küreselleşmenin sosyal adalete etkisi (Yayımlanmamış doktora tezi). Aydın Adnan Menderes Üniversitesi, Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, Aydın. CR - Ustalar, S.A. and Şanlısoy, S. (2023). Küresel belirsizliğin borsa İstanbul imalat sanayi üzerindeki etkisi. İzmir İktisat Dergisi, 38(2), 526-549. https://doi.org/10.24988/ije.1194709 CR - Wang, Y.C., Tsai, J.J. and Li, X. (2019). What drives China's 2015 stock market surges and turmoil? Asia Pacific Journal of Financial Studies, 48(3), 410-436. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajfs.12261 CR - Westerlund, J. (2008). Panel cointegration tests of the Fisher effect. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 23(2), 193-233. https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.967 CR - Westerlund, J. and Edgerton, D.L. (2008). A simple test for cointegration in dependent panels with structural breaks. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 70(5), 665-704. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0084.2008.00513.x CR - Wood, V.R. and Wilberger, J.S. (2015). Globalization, cultural diversity and organizational commitment: Theoretical underpinnings. World Journal of Management, 6(2), 154-171. http://dx.doi.org/10.21102/wjm.2015.09.62.11 CR - World Bank. (2024). World development indicators: Stock market volatility. Retrieved from https://data.worldbank.org CR - Yerdelen Tatoğlu, F. (2017). Panel zaman serileri analizi. İstanbul: Beta Yayınları. CR - Yurttançıkmaz, Z.Ç. (2012). Döviz kuru ve enflasyonun hisse senedi getirileri üzerindeki etkisi. EKEV Akademi Dergisi, 16(51), 393-410. Erişim adresi: https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/sosekev UR - https://doi.org/10.30784/epfad.1642047 L1 - https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/4619437 ER -