@article{article_1670991, title={THE NEXUS BETWEEN BIRTH RATE, MARRIAGE RATE, AGING POPULATION, AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: EVIDENCE FROM TURKIYE PROVINCES AMID THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC}, journal={Journal of Economics Business and International Relations-JEBI}, volume={4}, pages={200–215}, year={2025}, DOI={10.58654/jebi.1670991}, author={Korucu Gümüşoğlu, Nebile}, keywords={Doğum oranı, Yaşlanan nüfus, Ekonomik Büyüme, COVID-19, Panel Veri Analizi, Türkiye.}, abstract={This study investigates the determinants of birth rate across 81 Turkish provinces from 2018 to 2023, focusing on the effects of marriage rate, aging population, and GDP per capita with a particular focus on the effect of the COVID19 pandemic. To address the challenges posed by province-specific heterogeneity, the study employs panel data methods to estimate both Fixed Effects (FE) and Random Effects (RE) models. Furthermore, the selection of the most appropriate model specification is facilitated by the Hausman test, confirming the appropriateness of the FE model. while the robustness of the findings is ensured through the application of heteroskedasticity test. The estimation results of this study suggest a positive relationship between the marriage rate and the birth rate while the aging population, defined as the ratio of people aged 65 and over in the population and GDP per capita show significant negative effects. Moreover, the COVID19 pandemic is found to have a statistically significant negative impact on birth rates. Furthermore, the findings underscore the substantial impact of the pandemic on birth rates, highlighting declining shifts in demographic patterns during and following the pandemic. This study has made a significant contribution to the existing literature by offering a province-level empirical analysis of Turkiye. It provides valuable insights for policymakers on demographic trends, family planning, and economic development.}, number={1}, publisher={İstanbul Kültür Üniversitesi}