TY - JOUR T1 - Ekonomik Karmaşıklığı Belirleyen Makroekonomik Faktörler: E7 Ülkeleri Üzerine Ampirik Bir Analiz TT - Macroeconomic Factors Determining Economic Complexity: An Empirical Analysis for E7 Countries AU - Zengin Taşdemir, Selin PY - 2025 DA - September Y2 - 2025 DO - 10.30784/epfad.1702620 JF - Ekonomi Politika ve Finans Araştırmaları Dergisi JO - EPF Journal PB - Ekonomi ve Finansal Araştırmalar Derneği WT - DergiPark SN - 2587-151X SP - 1318 EP - 1335 VL - 10 IS - 3 LA - tr AB - Bu çalışma, ülkelerin üretim yapılarında yer alan bilgi birikimi ve teknoloji yoğunluğunu yansıtan Ekonomik Karmaşıklık Endeksi (ECI) ile çeşitli makroekonomik değişkenler arasındaki olası ilişkileri incelemeyi amaçlamaktadır. Ekonomik karmaşıklık, ülkelerin üretim yapılarındaki çeşitlilik ve sofistikasyon düzeyine bağlı olarak, uzun vadeli büyüme potansiyelleri hakkında önemli bilgiler sunmaktadır. Araştırmada, gelişmekte olan ülkeler arasında yer alan ve yüksek büyüme potansiyeliyle öne çıkan E-7 (Emerging-7) ülkeleri analiz edilmiştir. Çalışmada, 2000-2009 dönemine ait yıllık panel veri seti kullanılarak, ekonomik karmaşıklığın olası belirleyicileri ampirik olarak test edilmiştir. Belirleyiciler arasında ortaya çıkabilecek olası içsellik probleminin tahmin sonuçlarını saptırma riskine karşı Araç Değişkenler yaklaşımına dayalı İki Aşamalı En Küçük Kareler (IV-2SLS) yöntemi uygulanmıştır. Elde edilen bulgular, içsellik varsayımını göz ardı eden Driscoll-Kraay tahmincisi ile karşılaştırmalı olarak değerlendirilmiştir. Bulgular, ekonomik büyüme oranı, doğrudan yabancı sermaye yatırımları ve ticaret hadlerinin ekonomik karmaşıklığı artırdığını; düşük beşeri sermaye düzeyi ile doğal kaynak rantına yüksek bağımlılığın ise azaltıcı etkiler yarattığını göstermektedir. Bulgular, politika çıkarımlarında içsellik probleminin dikkate alınmasının önemini vurgulamaktadır. 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The findings were evaluated comparatively with the Driscoll-Kraay estimator, which disregards the endogeneity assumption. The findings show that the economic growth rate, foreign direct investment, and terms of trade increase economic complexity, while low human capital levels and high dependence on natural resource rents have a reducing effect. The findings emphasize the importance of considering the endogeneity problem in policy implications. CR - Acemoglu, D. (2002). Technical change, inequality, and the labor market. Journal of Economic Literature, 40(1), 7-72. https://doi.org/10.1257/0022051026976 CR - Agosin, M., Alvarez, R. and Baravo-Ortega, C. (2011). Determinants of export diversification around the world: 1962-2000. The World Economy, 35(3), 295-315. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9701.2011.01395.x CR - Arellano, M. and Bond, S. (1991). Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations. 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