TY - JOUR TT - Causes and Results of the Greek Debt Crisis: An Analysis with Artificial Neural Networks AU - Türk, Armağan AU - Erarslan, Cemil PY - 2016 DA - April DO - 10.21547/jss.256726 JF - Gaziantep Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi JO - GAUN-JSS PB - Gaziantep Üniversitesi WT - DergiPark SN - 1303-0094 SP - 281 EP - 302 VL - 15 IS - 2 KW - Yunanistan KW - Borç Krizi KW - Yapay Sinir Ağları N2 - Starting in the United States in July 2007 as a subprime mortgage crisis, the financial crisis has become global in 2009 after spreading to Eurozone member countries, particularly Greece. In the 1950s, Greece was the poorest country among the EU-15 countries, while it has become a middle-income country among the EU-27 countries in the 2000s. Greece had three important breakpoints during this period. From the 1950s until the late 1970s, Greece was tested by the oil shocks like the rest of the world, but it was one of the best performers in the OECD and the best one in Europe in terms of economic growth rate. This strong growth came to an end in 1981 and low and negative growth rates continued until 1990. As a result of strong efforts in the 1990-93 periods, significant growth rates restarted in 1995. However, the government that came to power following the 2004 election, opposed to reforms implemented between 1990 and 1993 and public spending radically increased from this date. The deterioration of public finances that led to unsustainable high budget deficits and public debt stocks increased the vulnerability of the Greek economy to external shocks. This constitutes the main reason behind the financial crisis that broke out in 2009 in Greece. This study aims to empirically analyze the causes and consequences of the Greek debt crisis. The econometric approach used in this study is "artificial neural networks". According to estimation results, the basic determinants of the Greek crisis are high budget deficits, increasing public sector debt, insufficient per capita savings rates, and low economic growth. CR - AKEL, V. ve Bayramoğlu M. F. (2008). “Kriz Dönemlerinde Yapay Sinir Ağları ile Finansal Öngörüde Bulunma: İmkb 100 Endeksi Örnegi”, International Symposium on International CapitalFlowsandEmergingMarkets, Balıkesir, Bandırma, 24-27 Nisan, (ss.79-87). CR - AREZKI, R.Bertrand C. ve Amadou N. R. Sy (2011). “Sovereign Rating News and Financial Markets Spillovers: Evidence from the European Debt Crisis”, IMF Working Paper Series, WP/11/68, March-2011, (ss.1-27). CR - BAUER, C, Bernhard H. ve Volker K. (2011). “Debt and Currency Crises”, (in) Editor Robert W. Kolb, Financial Contagion-The Viral Threat to the Wealth of Nations, New Jersey: John Wiley&Sons, (ss.75-86). CR - BECK,T., Peydro, J.L., (2015). “Five Years of Crisis (Resolotion)- Some Lessons”, (in) Editors Richard Baldwin ve Francesco Giovazzi, The Eurozone Crisis: A Consensus View of the Cause and a Few Possible Solutions, CEPR Press (ss.63-71). CR - BENLİ, Y. K. (2005). “Bankalarda Mali Başarısızlığın Öngörülmesi Lojistik Regresyon ve Yapay Sinir Ağı Karşılaştırması”, Gazi Üniversitesi Endüstriyel Sanatlar Eğitim Fakültesi Dergisi, Sayı 16, (ss.31-46). CR - BUNDA, I., A. Javier H. ve Subir L. (2011). “Measuring Contagion in Emerging Market Bonds”, (in) Editor Robert W. Kolb, Financial Contagion-The Viral Threat to the Wealth of Nations, New Jersey: John Wiley&Sons, (ss.177-184). CR - DEMYANYK, Y. ve Hasan I. (2009).Financial Crises and Bank Failures: a Review of Prediction Methods, Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 35, (ss.1-24). CR - DWYER, G. P. ve Paula A. T. (2011). “The Financial Crisis of 2008 and Subprime Securities”, (in) Editor Robert W. Kolb, Financial Contagion-The Viral Threat to the Wealth of Nations, New Jersey: John Wiley&Sons, (ss.229-236). CR - FLASSBECK, H. ve Costas L., (2015), Agaınst The Troıka Crısıs and Austerıty In The Eurozone, Verso, (ss.1-125). CR - HAMZAÇEBİ, C. ve Fevzi K. (2004). “Yapay Sinir Ağları İle Türkiye Elektrik Enerjisi Tüketiminin 2010 Yılına Kadar Tahmini”, Gazi Üniversitesi, Müh. Mim. Fak. Dergisi, (ss.227-233). CR - HARARİ, D., (2015), Greek Debt Crisis: Backround and Developments in 2015, House of Commons Library, Briefing Paper, Number 7114, (ss.1-35) CR - IMF (2010). "Greece: Staff Report on Request for Stand-By Arrangement", IMF Country Report No. 10/110, (ss.1-144). JOYCE, J. (2013). “The IMF and Global Financial Crises”, The USA: Cambridge University Press, (ss.1-263). CR - KANNAN, P. ve Fritzi K.-G. (2011). “Uncertainty and Contagion”, (in) Editor Robert W. Kolb, Financial Contagion-The Viral Threat to the Wealth of Nations, New Jersey: John Wiley&Sons, (ss.21-29). CR - KAPLANIS, Y. (2011). “An Economy That Excludes The Manyand An Accidental Revolt”, (in)Editor Antonis V. ve Dimitris D., Revoltand Crisis in Greece: Between A Present Yet to Passand A Future Still to UR - https://doi.org/10.21547/jss.256726 L1 - https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/223107 ER -