TY - JOUR TT - Estimation of Turkey Electric Energy Demand until Year 2035 Using TLBO Algorithm AU - Tefek, Mehmet Fatih AU - Uguz, Harun PY - 2016 DA - December DO - 10.18201/ijisae.266082 JF - International Journal of Intelligent Systems and Applications in Engineering PB - İsmail SARITAŞ WT - DergiPark SN - 2147-6799 SP - 48 EP - 52 VL - 4 IS - Special Issue-1 KW - Teaching Learning Based Optimization (TLBO) Algorithm KW - Energy Demand Estimation KW - TLBOEDL Model KW - TLBOEDQ Model KW - Turkey Energy Report 2013 N2 - In this study, the estimation of Turkey primary electric energy demanduntil 2035 is tried to estimate by using Teaching-Learning Based Optimization(TLBO) Algorithm. Two models are proposed which are based on economicindicators TLBO algorithm linear energy demand (TLBOEDL) and TLBO algorithmquadratic energy demand (TLBOEDQ). In both of these two models the indicatorsused are Gross Domestic Product (GDP), population, importation and exportation.After a comparison of these two models with real values between 1979 and 2005years, it is applied to the estimation of Turkey electric energy demand until2035 by three different scenario. The estimation results are suitable with theestimation of Turkey total primary energy supply of 2013 Energy Report of WorldEnergy Council Turkish National Committee(WEC-TNC ). CR - T. Lorde, K. Waithe, B. Francis, “The importance of electrical energy for economic growth in Barbados”, Energy Economics, vol. 32(6), pp. 1411-1420, Nov. 2010. CR - Turkey Energy Report 2013, World Energy Council Turkish National Committee (WEC-TNC), ISSN: 1301-6318, Ankara, Jan. 2014. CR - V. Yiğit, “Estimation Of Turkey Net Electric Energy Consumption Until to Year 2020 Using Genetic Algorithm”, International J. of Engineering Res. and Development, Vol. 3, pp. 37-41, Jun. 2011. CR - Haldenbilen, S., Ceylan, H., “Genetic algorithm approach to estimate transport energy demand in Turkey”, Energy Policy, Vol. 33(1), pp. 89-98, Jan. 2005. CR - O. E. Canyurt., H. Ceylan, H.K. Öztürk., A. Hepbaşlı, “Energy demand estimation based on two-different genetic algorithm approaches”, Energy Sources, vol. 26, pp. 1313–20, Feb. 2004. CR - H. Ceylan, H. K. Öztürk, “Estimating energy demand of Turkey based on economic indicators using genetic algorithm approach”, Energy Convers Manag, vol. 45 (15–16), pp. 2525–37, Sep. 2004. CR - H.K. Öztürk,O.E. Canyurt, A. Hepbaşlı, Z. Utlu, “Residential-commercial energy input estimation based on genetic algorithm approaches: an application of Turkey”, Energy Build, vol. 36, pp. 175–83, Feb. 2004. CR - A. Sözen, E. Arcaklıoğlu, M. Özkaymak, “Turkey’s net energy consumption”, Apply Energy, vol. 8, pp. 209–21, Sep. 2004. CR - Y.S. Murat, H. Ceylan, “Use of artificial neural networks for transport energy demand modeling”, Energy Policy, vol. 34, pp. 3165–72, Nov. 2006. CR - C. Hamzaçebi, “Forecasting of Turkey’s net electricity energy consumption on sectorial bases”, Energy Policy, vol. 35, pp. 2009–16, Mar. 2007. CR - M.D. Toksarı, “Ant colony optimization approach to estimate energy demand of Turkey”, Energy Policy, vol. 35, pp. 3984–90, Mar. 2007. CR - M. S. Kıran, E. Özceylan, M. Gündüz, T. Paksoy, “A novel hybrid approach based on Particle Swarm Optimization and Ant Colony Algorithm to forecast energy demand of Turkey”, Energy Conversion and Manag. ,vol. 53, pp.75–83, Sep. 2011. CR - R.V. Rao, V.J. Savsani, D. P. Vakharia, “Teaching–learning-based optimization: a novel method for constrained mechanical design optimization problems”, Computer-Aided Desig., vol. 43, pp. 303–15, Dec. 2010. CR - A. Unler, “Improvement of energy demand forecasts using swarm intelligence: the case of Turkey with projections to 2025”, Energy Policy , vol. 36, pp. 1937–44, Apr. 2008. CR - M.D. Toksarı, “Estimating the net electricity energy generation and demand using the ant colony optimization approach: case of Turkey”, Energy Policy, vol. 37, pp. 1181–87, Jan. 2009. CR - E. Assareh, M.A. Behrang, M.R. Assari, A. Ghanbarzadeh, “Application of PSO and GA techniques on demand estimation of oil in Iran”, Energy, vol. 35, pp. 5223–29, Dec. 2010 CR - TSI., Turkish Statistical Institute, Statistics, (http://www.tuik.gov.tr/) Ankara, 2015. CR - MENR., The Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources, (http://www.enerji.gov.tr/tr-TR/EIGM-Raporlari), Ankara, 2015. UR - https://doi.org/10.18201/ijisae.266082 L1 - https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/232580 ER -