TY - JOUR TT - MEASURING MACROECONOMIC VULNERABILITY: A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF THE EMERGING MARKETS AND TURKEY AU - Bayraktar, Yüksel AU - Elüstü, Serap PY - 2016 DA - August JF - Hak İş Uluslararası Emek ve Toplum Dergisi PB - Hak-İş (Hak İşçi Sendikaları Konfederasyonu) WT - DergiPark SN - 2147-3668 SP - 8 EP - 29 VL - 5 IS - 12 KW - Makroekonomik Kırılganlık KW - Yükselen Piyasalar KW - Türkiye N2 - Economic vulnerability is an important problem that makes economies, especially emerging markets, defenseless against to shocks and damages the mechanism of the system. Vulnerabil-ity increase risks and uncertainty, therefore generate instability. This study aims to make com-parative analysis of macroeconomic vulnerability in the selected emerging markets and Turkey. The analysis will rely upon the six main indicators used by FED in order to measure vulnerability in emerging markets. The findings of the analysis that is reached by using the data of interna-tional organizations are as follows: i) The most important indicators which cause vulnerability in emerging markets are current deficit and inflation. ii) Egypt, Pakistan, Turkey, Nigeria, Brazil, Colombia and South Africa are vulnerable according to three or more indicators. iii) Turkey is vulnerable considering the current deficit, high inflation and external debt rate, insufficiency of the forex reserves. CR - BANK OF RUSSIA. (2015). http://www.cbr.ru/eng/, (Erişim Tarihi: 10.09.2015) CR - BESADA, H., TOK, E. (2014). South Africa in the BRICS: Soft Power Balancing and Inst-rumentalization, Journal of International and Global Studies, Volume 5, Number 2, pp.76-95 CR - BAYRAKTAR, F. (2003). Dünyada ve Türkiyede Doğrudan Yabancı Sermaye Yatırımları, Ankara: Türkiye Kalkınma Bankası A.Ş. Genel Araştırmalar, http://www.kalkinma.com.tr/data/file/raporlar/ESA/GA/2003-GA/GA-03-01-01_Dogrudan_Yabanci_Sermaye_Yatirimlari.pdf, (Erişim Tarihi: 11.03.2014) CR - CHASE-DUNN, C. (1975). The Effects of International Economic Dependence on Deve-lopment and Inequality: A Cross-National Study, American Sociological Review, Vol.40, ABD: American Sociological Association, pp.720-738 CR - ÇAĞLAR, Ü. v.d.. (2011). Küreselleşmenin Sektörel Etkileri Araştırma Projesi, Edi-tör:Cengiz Ceylan, İstanbul: İstanbul Ticaret Odası Yayını, Yayın No:2010-98 CR - DEMBIERMONT, C., DREHMANN, M., MUKSAKUNRATANA, S. (2013). How Much Does the Private Sector Really Borrow? A New Database For Total Credit To The Private Non-Financial Sector, BIS Quarterly Review: International Banking And Financial Market Developments, Basel: Bank for International Settlements, pp.65-81 CR - ERKAL, M. E. (2006). Sosyoloji (Toplumbilimi), İstanbul: Der Yayınları CR - ERTÜRK, E. (1994). Döviz Ekonomisi, İstanbul: Der Yayınları CR - FED. (2014). Monetary Policy Report, http://www.federalreserve.gov/ monetarypo-licy/files/20140211_mprfullreport.pdf, (Erişim Tarihi: 15.08.2015) CR - GALINDO, A. , MICCO, A., ORDONEZ, G. (2002). Financial Liberalization and Growth: Empirical Evidence, http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTFR/Resources/financial_liberalization_version23.pdf, (Erişim Tarihi: 15.01.2015) CR - GOLDMAN Sachs Economic Research Group. (2001). Building Better Global Economic BRICs, http://www.goldmansachs.com/our-thinking/archive/archive-pdfs/build-better-brics.pdf, (Erişim Tarihi: 18.07.2015) CR - IMF. (2015). World Economic Outlook: Adjusting to Lower Commodity Prices, Washing-ton: IMF Publications CR - IMF. (2015). World Outlook Database, https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/ 2015/02/weodata/index.aspx, (Erişim Tarihi: 03.01.2016) CR - KRUGMAN, P. R., OBSTFELD, M. (2003). International Economics Theory And Policy, Sixth Edition, Boston: Pearson Education CR - MINSKY, H. P. (1976). A Theory Of Systematic Fragility, http://digitalcommons.bard. edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1230&context=hm_archive, (Erişim Tarihi: 05.05.2015) CR - MINSKY, H. P. (1995). Sources of Financial Fragility: Financial Factors in the Economics of Capitalism, http://digitalcommons.bard.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1068& context=hm_archive, (Erişim Tarihi: 02.05.2014) CR - MİNİBAŞ D. T., (1986). Gelişmekte Olan Ülkelerde Kalkınmanın Finansmanı, İktisat Fakültesi Mecmuası, Cilt:XLIV Sayı.1-4, İstanbul: İstanbul Üniversitesi Yayınları, ss.295-301 CR - MSCI. (2014). MSCI Market Classification Framework, https://www.msci.com/ docu-ments/1296102/1330218/MSCI_Market_Classification_Framework.pdf/d93e536f-cee1-4e12-9b69-ec3886ab8cc8, (Erişim Tarihi: 02.10.2015) CR - MUNIR, R. , AWAN, R. U. , HUSSAIN, Z. (2010). Investment, Savings, Interest Rate and Bank Credit to the Private Sector Nexus in Pakistan, International Journal of Marke-ting Studies, Vol.2 No.1, Canada: Canadian Center of Science and Education, pp.140-146 CR - OECD. (2014). OECD Factbook 2014:Economic, Environmental And Social Statistics, Paris: OECD Publishing CR - S&P DOW JONES INDICES. (2015). Country Classification Consultation, http://www.spindices.com/documents/index-policies/20150618-spdji-country-classification-consultation.pdf, (Erişim Tarihi: 02.10.2015) CR - SUNDARARAJAN, V., BALINO, T. J. T. (2013). Banking Crises:Cases And Issues, Washing-ton: IMF Publications CR - TCMB. (2005). Türkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankası’nda Döviz Rezervi Yönetimi, http://www.tcmb.gov.tr/wps/wcm/connect/190faaac-0065-48a4-8550-cfdd698abf02/Doviz-Rezerv-Yonetimi.pdf?MOD=AJPERES, (Erişim Tarihi: 10.09.2015) CR - TCMB. (2013). Enflasyon ve Fiyat İstikrarı, Ankara: TCMB Yayınları CR - THE WORLD BANK. (2015). http://data.worldbank.org/ , (Erişim Tarihi: 20.12.2015) CR - TRADING ECONOMICS. (2015) http://www.tradingeconomics.com/, (Erişim Tari-hi:01.09.2015) CR - WILSON, D., STUPNYTSKA, A. (2007). The N-11: More Than an Acronym, Goldman Sachs Global Economics Paper, No:153, http://www.chicagobooth.edu/~/ me-dia/E60BDC EB6C5245E59B7ADA7C6B1B6F2B.pdf, (Erişim Tarihi: 12.05.2015) CR - YELDAN, E. (2005). “Yükselen Piyasa Ekonomisi” Olarak Türkiye, http://yeldane.bilkent.edu.tr/Yeldan14_2Mar05.pdf, (Erişim Tarihi: 16.07.2015) UR - http://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/hakisderg/issue//281592 L1 - http://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/263269 ER -